Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 92.8 | NA | NA | -1.89504340277778 | NA |
2 | 90.61 | NA | NA | -0.12316840277778 | NA |
3 | 88.49 | NA | NA | 0.421831597222223 | NA |
4 | 88.33 | NA | NA | 1.28901909722223 | NA |
5 | 87.7 | NA | NA | 0.66641493055556 | NA |
6 | 87.33 | NA | NA | 0.595894097222223 | NA |
7 | 87.33 | 87.9150607638889 | 87.4145833333333 | 0.50047743055556 | -0.58506076388889 |
8 | 87.33 | 87.5843315972222 | 86.715 | 0.869331597222214 | -0.254331597222233 |
9 | 85.47 | 85.7516232638889 | 86.205 | -0.453376736111113 | -0.281623263888903 |
10 | 86.1 | 86.0204774305556 | 85.8233333333334 | 0.197144097222222 | 0.0795225694444213 |
11 | 86.1 | 83.9216232638889 | 85.4979166666667 | -1.57629340277777 | 2.1783767361111 |
12 | 86.13 | 84.4502690972222 | 84.9425 | -0.492230902777777 | 1.67973090277778 |
13 | 83.31 | 82.2357899305556 | 84.1308333333333 | -1.89504340277778 | 1.07421006944445 |
14 | 83.31 | 83.1480815972222 | 83.27125 | -0.12316840277778 | 0.161918402777772 |
15 | 83.55 | 82.7076649305556 | 82.2858333333333 | 0.421831597222223 | 0.842335069444445 |
16 | 84.11 | 82.4931857638889 | 81.2041666666667 | 1.28901909722223 | 1.61681423611111 |
17 | 84.11 | 80.7493315972222 | 80.0829166666667 | 0.66641493055556 | 3.36066840277778 |
18 | 77.59 | 79.5379774305556 | 78.9420833333333 | 0.595894097222223 | -1.94797743055555 |
19 | 77.59 | 78.4217274305556 | 77.92125 | 0.50047743055556 | -0.83172743055556 |
20 | 76.44 | 77.8880815972222 | 77.01875 | 0.869331597222214 | -1.44808159722223 |
21 | 72.71 | 75.6528732638889 | 76.10625 | -0.453376736111113 | -2.94287326388891 |
22 | 72.9 | 75.3500607638889 | 75.1529166666667 | 0.197144097222222 | -2.45006076388889 |
23 | 72.39 | 72.5924565972222 | 74.16875 | -1.57629340277777 | -0.202456597222209 |
24 | 72.46 | 72.9640190972222 | 73.45625 | -0.492230902777777 | -0.504019097222226 |
25 | 72.48 | 71.0720399305555 | 72.9670833333333 | -1.89504340277778 | 1.40796006944446 |
26 | 72.48 | 72.3543315972222 | 72.4775 | -0.12316840277778 | 0.125668402777791 |
27 | 72.48 | 72.5234982638889 | 72.1016666666667 | 0.421831597222223 | -0.0434982638888783 |
28 | 72.3 | 73.0490190972222 | 71.76 | 1.28901909722223 | -0.749019097222217 |
29 | 72.3 | 72.0743315972222 | 71.4079166666667 | 0.66641493055556 | 0.225668402777785 |
30 | 72.3 | 71.7058940972222 | 71.11 | 0.595894097222223 | 0.59410590277777 |
31 | 71.14 | 71.1754774305556 | 70.675 | 0.50047743055556 | -0.0354774305555594 |
32 | 71.14 | 71.1472482638889 | 70.2779166666667 | 0.869331597222214 | -0.00724826388888289 |
33 | 68.99 | 69.6353732638889 | 70.08875 | -0.453376736111113 | -0.645373263888885 |
34 | 68.42 | 70.1454774305556 | 69.9483333333333 | 0.197144097222222 | -1.72547743055556 |
35 | 68.42 | 68.1862065972222 | 69.7625 | -1.57629340277777 | 0.233793402777778 |
36 | 69.28 | 68.9902690972222 | 69.4825 | -0.492230902777777 | 0.289730902777777 |
37 | 65.22 | 67.3553732638889 | 69.2504166666667 | -1.89504340277778 | -2.13537326388889 |
38 | 70.21 | 68.9430815972222 | 69.06625 | -0.12316840277778 | 1.26691840277776 |
39 | 70.21 | 69.3934982638889 | 68.9716666666667 | 0.421831597222223 | 0.816501736111107 |
40 | 71.2 | 70.2794357638889 | 68.9904166666667 | 1.28901909722223 | 0.920564236111119 |
41 | 68.94 | 69.3247482638889 | 68.6583333333333 | 0.66641493055556 | -0.384748263888895 |
42 | 68.94 | 68.5575607638889 | 67.9616666666667 | 0.595894097222223 | 0.382439236111111 |
43 | 68.93 | 67.9096440972222 | 67.4091666666667 | 0.50047743055556 | 1.02035590277778 |
44 | 68.93 | 67.6522482638889 | 66.7829166666667 | 0.869331597222214 | 1.27775173611113 |
45 | 68.93 | 65.4920399305555 | 65.9454166666666 | -0.453376736111113 | 3.43796006944447 |
46 | 68.93 | 65.2658940972222 | 65.06875 | 0.197144097222222 | 3.66410590277781 |
47 | 59.94 | 62.5816232638889 | 64.1579166666667 | -1.57629340277777 | -2.64162326388888 |
48 | 61.04 | 62.9373524305555 | 63.4295833333333 | -0.492230902777777 | -1.89735243055554 |
49 | 60.2 | 60.9787065972222 | 62.87375 | -1.89504340277778 | -0.778706597222211 |
50 | 60.2 | 62.1864149305556 | 62.3095833333333 | -0.12316840277778 | -1.98641493055555 |
51 | 60.12 | 62.1672482638889 | 61.7454166666667 | 0.421831597222223 | -2.04724826388889 |
52 | 60.25 | 62.4702690972222 | 61.18125 | 1.28901909722223 | -2.22026909722222 |
53 | 58.03 | 61.6634982638889 | 60.9970833333333 | 0.66641493055556 | -3.63349826388889 |
54 | 62.37 | 61.8304774305556 | 61.2345833333333 | 0.595894097222223 | 0.539522569444443 |
55 | 62.16 | NA | NA | 0.50047743055556 | NA |
56 | 62.16 | NA | NA | 0.869331597222214 | NA |
57 | 62.16 | NA | NA | -0.453376736111113 | NA |
58 | 62.16 | NA | NA | 0.197144097222222 | NA |
59 | 62.29 | NA | NA | -1.57629340277777 | NA |
60 | 64.39 | NA | NA | -0.492230902777777 | NA |