Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.130443957892895
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
332.532.50
434.433.21.2
535.535.25653274947150.243467250528525
635.536.3882915812477-0.888291581247714
736.636.27241931162680.327580688373175
837.137.4151502331475-0.315150233147499
937.937.87404078940490.0259592105951256
1038.138.6774270115787-0.577427011578671
113938.80210514679410.197894853205909
1241.539.72791933469291.7720806653071
1341.842.459076550381-0.659076550381037
1441.942.6731039965949-0.773103996594934
1544.642.67225725141631.92774274858373
1646.145.62371964534090.476280354659131
1746.447.1858475398692-0.785847539869238
1847.247.3833384764683-0.183338476468293
1947.748.1594230799637-0.45942307996372
2049.248.59949411506590.600505884934094
2149.350.1778264794347-0.877826479434695
2249.350.163319319114-0.863319319114041
2349.550.0507045302034-0.550704530203404
2450.150.1788684516541-0.0788684516541238
2551.950.76858053866751.13141946133252
2652.652.7161673712407-0.116167371240735
2753.253.4010140395581-0.201014039558082
2853.553.9747929726461-0.474792972646092
2953.754.2128590981144-0.512859098114397
3053.754.345959727515-0.645959727514978
3153.954.2616981840185-0.361698184018515
3254.154.4145168413325-0.314516841332455
3354.854.57349001972510.226509980274912
3455.455.30303687805440.0969631219456204
3555.955.9156851314506-0.0156851314506241
3656.856.41363910082410.38636089917587
3758.457.36403754568771.03596245431231
3859.359.09917258845660.200827411543372
3960.360.02536931087170.274630689128273
4060.561.0611932249205-0.561193224920473
4160.861.1879889595192-0.38798895951917
426161.4373781440207-0.437378144020741
4361.161.5803248078188-0.480324807818825
4461.361.6176693388128-0.317669338812799
4561.461.7762312929568-0.376231292956831
4661.561.8271541940204-0.32715419402038
4763.961.88447890611112.01552109388889
4863.964.5473914548146-0.647391454814588
496464.4629431511425-0.462943151142539
5064.164.5025550142281-0.402555014228099
5164.564.5500441449025-0.0500441449025431
5264.564.9435161885721-0.44351618857209
5365.964.88566218154521.01433781845482
5466.866.41797642122490.382023578775119
5568.767.36780908884871.3321909111513
5669.269.4415853439682-0.241585343968225
5769.669.9100719955321-0.310071995532098
5870.270.2696249772031-0.0696249772031337
5970.670.8605428196086-0.260542819608574
6070.771.2265565830182-0.526556583018234
6170.771.2578704582748-0.557870458274792
627171.1850996277059-0.185099627705895
6372.171.46095449966340.63904550033655
6473.772.6443141240011.05568587599902
6577.474.38202196795793.01797803204208
6679.778.47569896729131.22430103270869
6791.680.935401639650210.6645983603498
6893.694.2265340591123-0.626534059112288
6994.396.144806476687-1.84480647668698
7097.396.60416261832150.695837381678515
71101.799.69493040043752.00506959956255
72103104.356479614855-1.35647961485513
73103.1105.479535045092-2.3795350450924
74104.6105.269139075866-0.669139075865687
75107.2106.6818539264290.518146073571032
76107.7109.349442951032-1.64944295103224
77108.3109.634283084181-1.33428308418107
78108.8110.060233917731-1.26023391773094
79113.1110.3958440176312.70415598236875
80113.8115.048584826731-1.24858482673118
81113.8115.585714480167-1.78571448016736
82116.5115.3527788157081.14722118429233
83116.9118.202426887565-1.30242688756533
84117.6118.432533169485-0.832533169485203


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
85119.02393424778116.007505961857122.040362533704
86120.447868495561115.895256172758125.000480818363
87121.871802743341115.939521312132127.80408417455
88123.295736991122116.028995179117130.562478803126
89124.719671238902116.124518848295133.314823629509
90126.143605486683116.208066646159136.079144327206
91127.567539734463116.270192976488138.864886492438
92128.991473982243116.305591093019141.677356871468
93130.415408230024116.311177670176144.519638789872
94131.839342477804116.285154177066147.393530778542
95133.263276725585116.226503803057150.300049648112
96134.687210973365116.134703370661153.239718576069