Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.999948929974004 |
beta | FALSE |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
2 | 2.59 | 2.58 | 0.00999999999999979 |
3 | 2.6 | 2.58999948929974 | 0.0100005107002601 |
4 | 2.6 | 2.59999948927366 | 5.10726341218515e-07 |
5 | 2.61 | 2.59999999997392 | 0.0100000000260825 |
6 | 2.62 | 2.60999948929974 | 0.0100005107002614 |
7 | 2.64 | 2.61999948927366 | 0.0200005107263412 |
8 | 2.65 | 2.6399989785734 | 0.0100010214266026 |
9 | 2.66 | 2.64999948924758 | 0.0100005107524246 |
10 | 2.67 | 2.65999948927366 | 0.0100005107263437 |
11 | 2.68 | 2.66999948927366 | 0.0100005107263428 |
12 | 2.69 | 2.67999948927366 | 0.0100005107263423 |
13 | 2.69 | 2.68999948927366 | 5.10726342550782e-07 |
14 | 2.71 | 2.68999999997392 | 0.0200000000260827 |
15 | 2.72 | 2.70999897859948 | 0.0100010214005213 |
16 | 2.73 | 2.71999948924758 | 0.0100005107524228 |
17 | 2.73 | 2.72999948927366 | 5.1072634388305e-07 |
18 | 2.74 | 2.72999999997392 | 0.0100000000260829 |
19 | 2.74 | 2.73999948929974 | 5.10700261191488e-07 |
20 | 2.74 | 2.73999999997392 | 2.60813592944942e-11 |
21 | 2.74 | 2.74 | 1.33226762955019e-15 |
22 | 2.74 | 2.74 | 0 |
23 | 2.75 | 2.74 | 0.00999999999999979 |
24 | 2.75 | 2.74999948929974 | 5.1070025985922e-07 |
25 | 2.75 | 2.74999999997392 | 2.60813592944942e-11 |
26 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 1.33226762955019e-15 |
27 | 2.77 | 2.75 | 0.02 |
28 | 2.78 | 2.76999897859948 | 0.0100010214005195 |
29 | 2.79 | 2.77999948924758 | 0.0100005107524233 |
30 | 2.8 | 2.78999948927366 | 0.0100005107263437 |
31 | 2.82 | 2.79999948927366 | 0.0200005107263426 |
32 | 2.83 | 2.8199989785734 | 0.0100010214266031 |
33 | 2.84 | 2.82999948924758 | 0.0100005107524241 |
34 | 2.87 | 2.83999948927366 | 0.0300005107263441 |
35 | 2.89 | 2.86999846787314 | 0.0200015321268627 |
36 | 2.9 | 2.88999897852123 | 0.0100010214787654 |
37 | 2.9 | 2.89999948924757 | 5.10752427018701e-07 |
38 | 2.91 | 2.89999999997392 | 0.0100000000260843 |
39 | 2.92 | 2.90999948929974 | 0.010000510700261 |
40 | 2.92 | 2.91999948927366 | 5.10726341218515e-07 |
41 | 2.92 | 2.91999999997392 | 2.60826915621237e-11 |
42 | 2.92 | 2.92 | 1.33226762955019e-15 |
43 | 2.94 | 2.92 | 0.02 |
44 | 2.95 | 2.93999897859948 | 0.0100010214005199 |
45 | 2.95 | 2.94999948924758 | 5.10752423021898e-07 |
46 | 2.97 | 2.94999999997392 | 0.020000000026084 |
47 | 2.99 | 2.96999897859948 | 0.0200010214005211 |
48 | 3 | 2.98999897854732 | 0.0100010214526827 |
49 | 3 | 2.99999948924757 | 5.10752425686434e-07 |
50 | 3.01 | 2.99999999997392 | 0.0100000000260838 |
51 | 3.03 | 3.00999948929974 | 0.0200005107002612 |
52 | 3.03 | 3.0299989785734 | 1.02142660152182e-06 |
53 | 3.04 | 3.02999999994784 | 0.0100000000521647 |
54 | 3.04 | 3.03999948929974 | 5.10700262523756e-07 |
55 | 3.05 | 3.03999999997392 | 0.0100000000260811 |
56 | 3.05 | 3.04999948929974 | 5.10700261191488e-07 |
57 | 3.09 | 3.04999999997392 | 0.0400000000260814 |
58 | 3.09 | 3.08999795719896 | 2.04280104121324e-06 |
59 | 3.09 | 3.08999999989567 | 1.04325881267187e-10 |
60 | 3.1 | 3.08999999999999 | 0.0100000000000056 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
61 | 3.09999948929974 | 3.08328732187806 | 3.11671165672142 |
62 | 3.09999948929974 | 3.0763655189768 | 3.12363345962268 |
63 | 3.09999948929974 | 3.07105415173872 | 3.12894482686076 |
64 | 3.09999948929974 | 3.06657643468445 | 3.13342254391503 |
65 | 3.09999948929974 | 3.06263147365652 | 3.13736750494296 |
66 | 3.09999948929974 | 3.0590649487941 | 3.14093402980538 |
67 | 3.09999948929974 | 3.05578518596131 | 3.14421379263817 |
68 | 3.09999948929974 | 3.05273245392625 | 3.14726652467323 |
69 | 3.09999948929974 | 3.04986526300378 | 3.1501337155957 |
70 | 3.09999948929974 | 3.04715340468045 | 3.15284557391903 |
71 | 3.09999948929974 | 3.04457407389412 | 3.15542490470536 |
72 | 3.09999948929974 | 3.04210955333346 | 3.15788942526603 |