| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 0 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 377.26 | 371.009400986173 | 6.25059901382747 |
| 14 | 381.87 | 381.788967825247 | 0.0810321747532612 |
| 15 | 387.09 | 387.006007022759 | 0.0839929772405412 |
| 16 | 387.14 | 387.111586824448 | 0.0284131755517478 |
| 17 | 388.78 | 388.840155434546 | -0.0601554345464592 |
| 18 | 389.16 | 389.256960233212 | -0.0969602332118598 |
| 19 | 389.16 | 387.822904872258 | 1.33709512774215 |
| 20 | 389.42 | 389.622558969856 | -0.202558969856341 |
| 21 | 389.49 | 389.786360132994 | -0.296360132994039 |
| 22 | 388.97 | 390.199291231528 | -1.22929123152784 |
| 23 | 388.97 | 389.877562360102 | -0.907562360101622 |
| 24 | 389.09 | 388.938478692329 | 0.151521307671032 |
| 25 | 389.09 | 388.981311765419 | 0.108688234581166 |
| 26 | 391.76 | 393.727152874889 | -1.96715287488922 |
| 27 | 390.96 | 397.000784557307 | -6.04078455730655 |
| 28 | 391.76 | 390.970931539217 | 0.78906846078263 |
| 29 | 392.8 | 393.467447811764 | -0.667447811764191 |
| 30 | 393.06 | 393.270648577591 | -0.210648577591371 |
| 31 | 393.06 | 391.698675593603 | 1.36132440639722 |
| 32 | 393.26 | 393.516382229114 | -0.256382229113569 |
| 33 | 393.87 | 393.619353292974 | 0.250646707026135 |
| 34 | 394.47 | 394.575168313851 | -0.105168313851266 |
| 35 | 394.57 | 395.375188361354 | -0.805188361354112 |
| 36 | 394.57 | 394.522585487858 | 0.0474145121421543 |
| 37 | 394.57 | 394.444722818233 | 0.125277181767331 |
| 38 | 399.57 | 399.257267335755 | 0.312732664245061 |
| 39 | 406.13 | 404.893525967298 | 1.23647403270229 |
| 40 | 407.03 | 406.099163922434 | 0.930836077566255 |
| 41 | 409.46 | 408.761550539062 | 0.69844946093815 |
| 42 | 409.9 | 409.904491318228 | -0.00449131822824711 |
| 43 | 409.9 | 408.434054810897 | 1.46594518910251 |
| 44 | 410.14 | 410.329711379342 | -0.189711379341986 |
| 45 | 410.54 | 410.468552392052 | 0.0714476079483006 |
| 46 | 410.69 | 411.22947675274 | -0.539476752739915 |
| 47 | 410.79 | 411.58818722323 | -0.798187223229604 |
| 48 | 410.97 | 410.696551956336 | 0.273448043663791 |
| 49 | 410.97 | 410.79507706388 | 0.174922936119799 |
| 50 | 413.8 | 415.807244919368 | -2.00724491936751 |
| 51 | 423.31 | 419.274282723274 | 4.03571727672602 |
| 52 | 423.85 | 423.231862165259 | 0.618137834741219 |
| 53 | 426.6 | 425.608099843132 | 0.991900156868326 |
| 54 | 426.26 | 427.017580428343 | -0.757580428343317 |
| 55 | 426.26 | 424.692416093257 | 1.56758390674258 |
| 56 | 426.32 | 426.663800743816 | -0.343800743815734 |
| 57 | 427.14 | 426.619028779675 | 0.520971220325009 |
| 58 | 427.55 | 427.813851083007 | -0.263851083006841 |
| 59 | 428.29 | 428.440909837978 | -0.150909837978134 |
| 60 | 428.8 | 428.146885692364 | 0.653114307635917 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 428.571102441923 | 425.458646072192 | 431.683558811653 |
| 62 | 433.569308996239 | 429.147458564377 | 437.9911594281 |
| 63 | 439.253033525006 | 433.807242880042 | 444.698824169969 |
| 64 | 439.130999677434 | 432.871531826951 | 445.390467527916 |
| 65 | 440.913219610157 | 433.913783254488 | 447.912655965825 |
| 66 | 441.308327373574 | 433.658113437531 | 448.958541309617 |
| 67 | 439.647253693184 | 431.432132377515 | 447.862375008852 |
| 68 | 440.029851976661 | 431.257053151188 | 448.802650802133 |
| 69 | 440.303864417924 | 431.010384158502 | 449.597344677346 |
| 70 | 440.965324284196 | 431.172794594524 | 450.757853973868 |
| 71 | 441.850443583438 | 431.579209094633 | 452.121678072242 |
| 72 | 441.668843757482 | 431.034798608382 | 452.302888906583 |
