| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0.088712332270154 |
| gamma | 0.0498388774295448 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 1.47 | 1.46497329059829 | 0.00502670940171024 |
| 14 | 1.46 | 1.46095583787458 | -0.000955837874577314 |
| 15 | 1.46 | 1.46087104326745 | -0.000871043267450577 |
| 16 | 1.45 | 1.45079377098769 | -0.000793770987687514 |
| 17 | 1.45 | 1.45030668704541 | -0.000306687045414256 |
| 18 | 1.45 | 1.44944614678901 | 0.00055385321099477 |
| 19 | 1.44 | 1.44741194706575 | -0.00741194706575476 |
| 20 | 1.45 | 1.44883774928822 | 0.00116225071177811 |
| 21 | 1.44 | 1.43935752192621 | 0.000642478073786812 |
| 22 | 1.45 | 1.44941451765457 | 0.000585482345428989 |
| 23 | 1.47 | 1.45946645715894 | 0.0105335428410629 |
| 24 | 1.48 | 1.47040091231144 | 0.00959908768856454 |
| 25 | 1.5 | 1.49166913643462 | 0.00833086356537982 |
| 26 | 1.5 | 1.492824853438 | 0.00717514656200313 |
| 27 | 1.52 | 1.50346137742389 | 0.0165386225761086 |
| 28 | 1.54 | 1.51492855720515 | 0.0250714427948455 |
| 29 | 1.55 | 1.5467360367022 | 0.00326396329780398 |
| 30 | 1.54 | 1.55619225716546 | -0.0161922571654551 |
| 31 | 1.55 | 1.54267247093426 | 0.00732752906574374 |
| 32 | 1.54 | 1.56540584646079 | -0.0254058464607889 |
| 33 | 1.57 | 1.53356870123462 | 0.0364312987653783 |
| 34 | 1.61 | 1.58680060671573 | 0.0231993932842711 |
| 35 | 1.62 | 1.62885867900123 | -0.00885867900122927 |
| 36 | 1.64 | 1.6280728049262 | 0.011927195073802 |
| 37 | 1.63 | 1.6595475608853 | -0.0295475608853022 |
| 38 | 1.63 | 1.62734299451294 | 0.00265700548706005 |
| 39 | 1.67 | 1.63757870366655 | 0.0324212963334494 |
| 40 | 1.7 | 1.67045487247951 | 0.0295451275204865 |
| 41 | 1.69 | 1.71265922298241 | -0.0226592229824081 |
| 42 | 1.68 | 1.69981573713088 | -0.0198157371308758 |
| 43 | 1.67 | 1.68597450354101 | -0.0159745035410104 |
| 44 | 1.68 | 1.68664070140836 | -0.0066407014083627 |
| 45 | 1.66 | 1.67646825596518 | -0.0164682559651839 |
| 46 | 1.65 | 1.67500731857009 | -0.0250073185700903 |
| 47 | 1.65 | 1.66278886101591 | -0.0127888610159148 |
| 48 | 1.66 | 1.65165433132811 | 0.00834566867188546 |
| 49 | 1.67 | 1.67281136172702 | -0.00281136172701757 |
| 50 | 1.67 | 1.66297862593803 | 0.00702137406197378 |
| 51 | 1.65 | 1.6736015084068 | -0.0236015084068042 |
| 52 | 1.65 | 1.64150776355094 | 0.00849223644905628 |
| 53 | 1.65 | 1.65184446298586 | -0.00184446298586205 |
| 54 | 1.65 | 1.65084750303927 | -0.000847503039267172 |
| 55 | 1.66 | 1.64868898573471 | 0.0113110142652857 |
| 56 | 1.66 | 1.67177574552386 | -0.0117757455238621 |
| 57 | 1.67 | 1.65114775834089 | 0.0188522416591128 |
| 58 | 1.67 | 1.68282018466699 | -0.0128201846669875 |
| 59 | 1.67 | 1.68168287618504 | -0.0116828761850449 |
| 60 | 1.66 | 1.67064646099105 | -0.0106464609910464 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 1.67011865527277 | 1.63981525334178 | 1.70042205720377 |
| 62 | 1.66065397721221 | 1.61585724066184 | 1.70545071376259 |
| 63 | 1.66118929915166 | 1.60391969055899 | 1.71845890774432 |
| 64 | 1.6517246210911 | 1.5827903675272 | 1.72065887465499 |
| 65 | 1.65184327636387 | 1.57160880059961 | 1.73207775212813 |
| 66 | 1.65112859830331 | 1.55974380095681 | 1.74251339564981 |
| 67 | 1.64833058690942 | 1.54582587810765 | 1.75083529571119 |
| 68 | 1.65761590884886 | 1.54394917105794 | 1.77128264663978 |
| 69 | 1.64731789745497 | 1.5224004414931 | 1.77223535341683 |
| 70 | 1.65701988606107 | 1.5207319568236 | 1.79330781529855 |
| 71 | 1.66672187466718 | 1.51892245791247 | 1.81452129142189 |
| 72 | 1.66642386327329 | 1.5069571633858 | 1.82589056316078 |
