Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.960953822848989
beta0.591847004487882
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
3101.23101.130.100000000000009
4101.11101.272969146435-0.16296914643533
5101.55101.0705503983310.479449601669316
6101.55101.758147437761-0.208147437760672
7101.55101.666614190734-0.116614190733586
8101.6101.5967172875510.00328271244879375
9101.71101.6439027739660.0660972260344437
10101.81101.7890420877850.0209579122147687
11101.95101.9027241589930.0472758410069929
12102.12102.0685840947980.0514159052024041
13102.11102.267664601778-0.157664601778237
14102.25102.1761586025290.0738413974714547
15102.35102.3491155605140.00088443948637007
16102.42102.452467264847-0.0324672648470283
17102.34102.505304165768-0.165304165767523
18102.32102.336476237564-0.0164762375636087
19102.39102.3012944194210.0887055805788606
20102.45102.4176376742040.0323623257964272
21102.68102.4982433357580.181756664241874
22102.77102.825781914502-0.0557819145024609
23102.83102.893331613436-0.0633316134355653
24102.83102.91760732786-0.0876073278595442
25103.21102.868729616680.341270383319923
26103.58103.4260768945180.153923105482107
27102.5103.890933953502-1.39093395350203
28102.68102.0801782196970.59982178030296
29102.7102.5235880433030.176411956697052
30102.7102.6604526984680.0395473015319965
31102.73102.688288779040.0417112209595416
32102.72102.741927027692-0.0219270276919445
33102.71102.721941132008-0.0119411320076637
34102.91102.7047598497010.20524015029919
35103.1103.0130075499010.0869924500988475
36103.1103.257100551449-0.157100551448764
37103.39103.1772824529190.212717547081496
38103.38103.573822945963-0.193822945963376
39103.34103.469462392917-0.129462392917219
40103.33103.35331922335-0.0233192233502137
41103.33103.3259122182580.00408778174198687
42103.33103.3271669548290.00283304517108718
43103.48103.3288272069240.151172793075773
44104.38103.5590127646430.82098723535745
45105.76104.8997854152130.860214584786732
46107.37106.7674901513180.602509848682445
47108.16108.730222566419-0.570222566418934
48111.21109.2417062464921.96829375350794
49112.77113.312029635721-0.542029635721306
50114.39114.661775510838-0.27177551083787
51114.37116.116654157349-1.74665415734931
52114.52115.160854564283-0.640854564282634
53114.54114.903199204041-0.363199204040825
54114.78114.7057927649550.0742072350445255
55114.83114.97091816349-0.140918163489729
56115.86114.9491725239620.910827476037696
57117116.4561277479430.54387225205744
58117.27117.919776568539-0.649776568539394
59117.38117.866831598749-0.486831598748623
60117.83117.693589765310.136410234689777


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
61118.196836189428117.195626348919119.198046029938
62118.568998677046116.739232983593120.398764370499
63118.941161164663116.15510508386121.727217245466
64119.31332365228115.454164361597123.172482942963
65119.685486139898114.646682746412124.724289533383
66120.057648627515113.741012860257126.374284394773
67120.429811115132112.743938030461128.115684199803
68120.801973602749111.661059867273129.942887338226
69121.174136090367110.49708803099131.851184149744
70121.546298577984109.256046733088133.83655042288
71121.918461065601107.941422728586135.895499402617
72122.290623553219106.55627331683138.024973789607