Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.999952120979739 |
beta | FALSE |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
2 | 2.35 | 2.35 | 0 |
3 | 2.35 | 2.35 | 0 |
4 | 2.35 | 2.35 | 0 |
5 | 2.35 | 2.35 | 0 |
6 | 2.35 | 2.35 | 0 |
7 | 2.35 | 2.35 | 0 |
8 | 2.36 | 2.35 | 0.00999999999999979 |
9 | 2.36 | 2.3599995212098 | 4.78790202596002e-07 |
10 | 2.36 | 2.35999999997708 | 2.29238850124602e-11 |
11 | 2.36 | 2.36 | 8.88178419700125e-16 |
12 | 2.36 | 2.36 | 0 |
13 | 2.36 | 2.36 | 0 |
14 | 2.37 | 2.36 | 0.0100000000000002 |
15 | 2.37 | 2.3699995212098 | 4.78790202596002e-07 |
16 | 2.39 | 2.36999999997708 | 0.0200000000229239 |
17 | 2.4 | 2.38999904241959 | 0.0100009575804063 |
18 | 2.41 | 2.39999952116395 | 0.010000478836051 |
19 | 2.41 | 2.40999952118687 | 4.78813128701461e-07 |
20 | 2.42 | 2.40999999997707 | 0.010000000022925 |
21 | 2.44 | 2.4199995212098 | 0.0200004787902039 |
22 | 2.44 | 2.43999904239667 | 9.57603329077017e-07 |
23 | 2.44 | 2.43999999995415 | 4.584910229255e-11 |
24 | 2.44 | 2.44 | 2.22044604925031e-15 |
25 | 2.44 | 2.44 | 0 |
26 | 2.45 | 2.44 | 0.0100000000000002 |
27 | 2.45 | 2.4499995212098 | 4.78790202596002e-07 |
28 | 2.46 | 2.44999999997708 | 0.0100000000229237 |
29 | 2.47 | 2.4599995212098 | 0.0100004787902042 |
30 | 2.48 | 2.46999952118687 | 0.0100004788131263 |
31 | 2.48 | 2.47999952118687 | 4.78813127813282e-07 |
32 | 2.48 | 2.47999999997707 | 2.29252172800898e-11 |
33 | 2.49 | 2.48 | 0.0100000000000011 |
34 | 2.5 | 2.4899995212098 | 0.0100004787902024 |
35 | 2.5 | 2.49999952118687 | 4.78813126481015e-07 |
36 | 2.5 | 2.49999999997707 | 2.29252172800898e-11 |
37 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 8.88178419700125e-16 |
38 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0 |
39 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0 |
40 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0 |
41 | 2.51 | 2.5 | 0.00999999999999979 |
42 | 2.52 | 2.5099995212098 | 0.0100004787902028 |
43 | 2.54 | 2.51999952118687 | 0.0200004788131265 |
44 | 2.56 | 2.53999904239667 | 0.0200009576033304 |
45 | 2.57 | 2.55999904237375 | 0.0100009576262541 |
46 | 2.57 | 2.56999952116395 | 4.78836053030562e-07 |
47 | 2.58 | 2.56999999997707 | 0.0100000000229263 |
48 | 2.59 | 2.5799995212098 | 0.0100004787902037 |
49 | 2.6 | 2.58999952118687 | 0.0100004788131267 |
50 | 2.6 | 2.59999952118687 | 4.78813127813282e-07 |
51 | 2.62 | 2.59999999997707 | 0.0200000000229252 |
52 | 2.62 | 2.61999904241959 | 9.57580406524272e-07 |
53 | 2.63 | 2.61999999995415 | 0.010000000045848 |
54 | 2.63 | 2.6299995212098 | 4.78790204816448e-07 |
55 | 2.63 | 2.62999999997708 | 2.29238850124602e-11 |
56 | 2.63 | 2.63 | 8.88178419700125e-16 |
57 | 2.63 | 2.63 | 0 |
58 | 2.63 | 2.63 | 0 |
59 | 2.63 | 2.63 | 0 |
60 | 2.64 | 2.63 | 0.0100000000000002 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
61 | 2.6399995212098 | 2.6271971941521 | 2.6528018482675 |
62 | 2.6399995212098 | 2.62189473007988 | 2.65810431233972 |
63 | 2.6399995212098 | 2.61782594807366 | 2.66217309434594 |
64 | 2.6399995212098 | 2.6143957865332 | 2.66560325588639 |
65 | 2.6399995212098 | 2.61137374413467 | 2.66862529828493 |
66 | 2.6399995212098 | 2.60864160359844 | 2.67135743882116 |
67 | 2.6399995212098 | 2.60612913767659 | 2.673869904743 |
68 | 2.6399995212098 | 2.6037905891011 | 2.67620845331849 |
69 | 2.6399995212098 | 2.60159417460001 | 2.67840486781958 |
70 | 2.6399995212098 | 2.59951675287581 | 2.68048228954379 |
71 | 2.6399995212098 | 2.59754085406457 | 2.68245818835502 |
72 | 2.6399995212098 | 2.59565290578636 | 2.68434613663324 |