| Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast | ||||||||
| time | Y[t] | F[t] | 95% LB | 95% UB | p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t]) | P(F[t]>Y[t-1]) | P(F[t]>Y[t-s]) | P(F[t]>Y[84]) |
| 80 | 197.11 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 81 | 190.522 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 82 | 192.175 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 83 | 189.153 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 84 | 201.316 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 85 | 188.959 | 191.4576 | 186.1325 | 196.7826 | 0.1789 | 1e-04 | 0.6347 | 1e-04 |
| 86 | 192.146 | 195.3198 | 188.6787 | 201.9609 | 0.1745 | 0.9698 | 0.8233 | 0.0384 |
| 87 | 187.763 | 191.8828 | 183.9723 | 199.7934 | 0.1537 | 0.474 | 0.7506 | 0.0097 |
| 88 | 200.365 | 203.3854 | 194.4277 | 212.3431 | 0.2543 | 0.9997 | 0.6747 | 0.6747 |
| Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance | ||||||
| time | % S.E. | PE | MAPE | Sq.E | MSE | RMSE |
| 85 | 0.0142 | -0.0131 | 0 | 6.2428 | 0 | 0 |
| 86 | 0.0173 | -0.0162 | 0.0146 | 10.073 | 8.1579 | 2.8562 |
| 87 | 0.021 | -0.0215 | 0.0169 | 16.9728 | 11.0962 | 3.3311 |
| 88 | 0.0225 | -0.0149 | 0.0164 | 9.1228 | 10.6028 | 3.2562 |
