| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.7949 | 0.2677 | -0.0652 | 0.1116 | -0.0256 | -0.9367 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.085 ) | (0.5999 ) | (0.4141 ) | (0.8483 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.7925 | 0.26 | -0.0555 | 0.1143 | 0 | -0.9341 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0852 ) | (0.6282 ) | (0.3772 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.7838 | 0.2133 | 0 | 0.1267 | 0 | -0.9334 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0618 ) | (NA ) | (0.319 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.7549 | 0.2397 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8934 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0317 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.143834818248342 |
| 2.13507276404364 |
| -1.36488007242248 |
| -0.289634018156677 |
| 1.86921363138622 |
| 2.94680561718968 |
| -1.10349491846618 |
| -1.06216399968299 |
| 1.99576638591325 |
| -3.63679641281016 |
| -2.29306086874244 |
| 0.990718243688076 |
| 5.50096244101465 |
| 3.14041054086673 |
| 3.30502056624534 |
| -0.00726018503030562 |
| 0.372723540975927 |
| -2.24510052647632 |
| 0.892239568349886 |
| -0.318126982361361 |
| 1.5003139729472 |
| 1.12861987956441 |
| -0.09498496398483 |
| -1.20491901630456 |
| 0.376024665008545 |
| 0.0698899865116491 |
| 4.63563005295076 |
| -3.73929977463391 |
| 5.23257416253082 |
| -2.52774338043482 |
| -0.98849916178299 |
| 2.21347027549843 |
| 2.23619558421263 |
| -3.23892588007432 |
| -4.3473442307875 |
| 0.427911672785828 |
| 0.727755770095941 |
| -0.421967526688686 |
| -1.11169210716728 |
| 0.180042488749353 |
| -1.39680913764519 |
| 0.913082014182216 |
| -1.40601572228076 |
| -0.700417269668283 |
| -1.03708866481857 |
| 2.53751290444386 |
| -1.56293056177311 |
| 1.65043029916049 |
| 0.876503780356279 |
| -1.13791198205763 |
| -2.80652083025241 |
| 1.5874059808773 |
| 4.27271579753982 |
| 0.891393855664978 |
| -0.126829750519967 |
| 3.31612584404167 |
| 6.00501061647983 |
| -4.21724919216226 |
| 4.57430593711769 |
| -0.255485738612096 |
| -0.258786072103664 |
| 3.22475875488443 |
| 2.84823492982415 |
| -5.59256400097471 |
| 2.6238118867788 |
| 1.19494638009981 |
| 0.574226744373426 |
| 0.914323313981378 |
| 4.00546328638062 |
| -3.0057901938455 |
| 0.893787324006602 |
| -5.64782156365265 |
| -8.3708284190616 |
| -4.82587021121791 |
| -0.396354138543889 |
| 0.562090094685458 |
| 0.359772057609957 |
| 3.86678872912941 |
| -1.54195942012579 |
| -0.0286617135785812 |
| 0.975569265981577 |
| -2.88729720996113 |
| -0.963691955102135 |
| -1.07107438040979 |
| 0.856981784271256 |
