Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 97.81 | NA | NA | 1.0010335557385 | NA |
2 | 97.81 | NA | NA | 1.00012423810204 | NA |
3 | 97.34 | NA | NA | 1.00076324458593 | NA |
4 | 97.02 | NA | NA | 1.00168639993256 | NA |
5 | 96.96 | NA | NA | 0.999667788879871 | NA |
6 | 96.89 | NA | NA | 0.999051830037025 | NA |
7 | 96.89 | 96.73547587454 | 96.8825 | 0.998482449095967 | 1.00159738838377 |
8 | 96.87 | 96.6261774328933 | 96.7608333333333 | 0.998608363572313 | 1.00252335933786 |
9 | 96.63 | 96.442988037596 | 96.6541666666667 | 0.997815110963618 | 1.00193909340854 |
10 | 96.35 | 96.5712820587925 | 96.5791666666667 | 0.999918361193762 | 0.997708614258038 |
11 | 96.34 | 96.6791578233686 | 96.5375 | 1.00146738649093 | 0.996491924102315 |
12 | 96.39 | 96.6503996208752 | 96.5170833333333 | 1.00138127140748 | 0.997305757431975 |
13 | 96.39 | 96.5976526421908 | 96.4979166666667 | 1.0010335557385 | 0.997850334490426 |
14 | 96.31 | 96.4915697736519 | 96.4795833333333 | 1.00012423810204 | 0.998118283554948 |
15 | 96.28 | 96.5482170367422 | 96.4745833333333 | 1.00076324458593 | 0.997221936924634 |
16 | 96.28 | 96.6631549628257 | 96.5004166666667 | 1.00168639993256 | 0.996036183973376 |
17 | 96.7 | 96.5083448667081 | 96.5404166666667 | 0.999667788879871 | 1.00198589182683 |
18 | 96.66 | 96.4813491278465 | 96.5729166666667 | 0.999051830037025 | 1.0018516622515 |
19 | 96.66 | 96.4554847544393 | 96.6020833333333 | 0.998482449095967 | 1.0021203070627 |
20 | 96.66 | 96.4951100851744 | 96.6295833333333 | 0.998608363572313 | 1.00170879036958 |
21 | 96.72 | 96.4629443398153 | 96.6741666666667 | 0.997815110963618 | 1.00266481250333 |
22 | 96.88 | 96.725019506826 | 96.7329166666667 | 0.999918361193762 | 1.00160227926512 |
23 | 96.77 | 96.8827895252884 | 96.7408333333333 | 1.00146738649093 | 0.998835814639101 |
24 | 96.74 | 96.8364896404784 | 96.7029166666667 | 1.00138127140748 | 0.999003581802308 |
25 | 96.74 | 96.765325762777 | 96.6654166666667 | 1.0010335557385 | 0.999738276468587 |
26 | 96.62 | 96.6386713803394 | 96.6266666666667 | 1.00012423810204 | 0.999806791835269 |
27 | 97.04 | 96.6587179783319 | 96.585 | 1.00076324458593 | 1.00394462113344 |
28 | 96.93 | 96.7107350668225 | 96.5479166666667 | 1.00168639993256 | 1.00226722434718 |
29 | 96.24 | 96.4970986040832 | 96.5291666666667 | 0.999667788879871 | 0.997335685654778 |
30 | 96.21 | 96.4355592523031 | 96.5270833333333 | 0.999051830037025 | 0.99766103650923 |
31 | 96.21 | 96.3830947768799 | 96.5295833333333 | 0.998482449095967 | 0.998204096088836 |
32 | 96.18 | 96.3981618565443 | 96.5325 | 0.998608363572313 | 0.997736867048679 |
33 | 96.2 | 96.3111932916896 | 96.5220833333333 | 0.997815110963618 | 0.998845479036348 |
34 | 96.51 | 96.5042042020624 | 96.5120833333333 | 0.999918361193762 | 1.00006005746574 |
35 | 96.69 | 96.6595457537165 | 96.5179166666667 | 1.00146738649093 | 1.00031506713637 |
36 | 96.77 | 96.6616651601785 | 96.5283333333333 | 1.00138127140748 | 1.00112076322751 |
37 | 96.77 | 96.6414478602544 | 96.5416666666667 | 1.0010335557385 | 1.00133019674883 |
38 | 96.66 | 96.5682459652398 | 96.55625 | 1.00012423810204 | 1.00095014705759 |
39 | 96.75 | 96.6478763765155 | 96.5741666666667 | 1.00076324458593 | 1.00105665667279 |
40 | 96.98 | 96.7528893694864 | 96.59 | 1.00168639993256 | 1.00234732659659 |
41 | 96.33 | 96.5895678745545 | 96.6216666666666 | 0.999667788879871 | 0.997312671748447 |
42 | 96.37 | 96.5825031256377 | 96.6741666666667 | 0.999051830037025 | 0.997799776162756 |
43 | 96.37 | 96.5807110949301 | 96.7275 | 0.998482449095967 | 0.997818290085657 |
44 | 96.37 | 96.6536391628915 | 96.7883333333333 | 0.998608363572313 | 0.997065406275976 |
45 | 96.44 | 96.6334044212716 | 96.845 | 0.997815110963618 | 0.997998575933138 |
46 | 96.65 | 96.8666746079952 | 96.8745833333333 | 0.999918361193762 | 0.997763166652804 |
47 | 97.31 | 97.061384542546 | 96.9191666666667 | 1.00146738649093 | 1.00256142500569 |
48 | 97.41 | 97.1231350294188 | 96.9891666666667 | 1.00138127140748 | 1.00295362140539 |
49 | 97.41 | 97.1544775575703 | 97.0541666666667 | 1.0010335557385 | 1.0026300634706 |
50 | 97.48 | 97.1358164703627 | 97.12375 | 1.00012423810204 | 1.00354332255747 |
51 | 97.29 | 97.2579249710277 | 97.18375 | 1.00076324458593 | 1.00032979347423 |
52 | 97.15 | 97.4148371321084 | 97.2508333333333 | 1.00168639993256 | 0.997281347072938 |
53 | 97.23 | 97.2868361572982 | 97.3191666666666 | 0.999667788879871 | 0.999415787792643 |
54 | 97.15 | 97.2676861724048 | 97.36 | 0.999051830037025 | 0.998790079449447 |
55 | 97.15 | 97.2455339922865 | 97.3933333333333 | 0.998482449095967 | 0.999017600208827 |
56 | 97.26 | 97.2869233001236 | 97.4225 | 0.998608363572313 | 0.999723258797685 |
57 | 96.99 | 97.2516340337728 | 97.4645833333333 | 0.997815110963618 | 0.997309720948422 |
58 | 97.71 | 97.5516186854129 | 97.5595833333333 | 0.999918361193762 | 1.00162356418808 |
59 | 97.89 | 97.8358526547656 | 97.6925 | 1.00146738649093 | 1.00055345094631 |
60 | 97.81 | 97.9693022037581 | 97.8341666666667 | 1.00138127140748 | 0.9983739579626 |
61 | 97.81 | 98.0837703751476 | 97.9825 | 1.0010335557385 | 0.997208810651339 |
62 | 97.78 | 98.139274455925 | 98.1270833333333 | 1.00012423810204 | 0.99633913682451 |
63 | 98 | 98.3733590040558 | 98.2983333333333 | 1.00076324458593 | 0.996204673624692 |
64 | 98.72 | 98.6385640173594 | 98.4725 | 1.00168639993256 | 1.0008255998397 |
65 | 98.85 | 98.5830720568792 | 98.6158333333333 | 0.999667788879871 | 1.00270764480708 |
66 | 98.93 | 98.66802382084 | 98.7616666666667 | 0.999051830037025 | 1.00265512745685 |
67 | 98.93 | NA | NA | 0.998482449095967 | NA |
68 | 98.95 | NA | NA | 0.998608363572313 | NA |
69 | 99.41 | NA | NA | 0.997815110963618 | NA |
70 | 99.47 | NA | NA | 0.999918361193762 | NA |
71 | 99.57 | NA | NA | 1.00146738649093 | NA |
72 | 99.63 | NA | NA | 1.00138127140748 | NA |