Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 98.01 | NA | NA | 0.984042547708707 | NA |
2 | 99.2 | NA | NA | 0.985593725430661 | NA |
3 | 100.7 | NA | NA | 1.00961255520418 | NA |
4 | 106.41 | NA | NA | 1.02644202234675 | NA |
5 | 107.51 | NA | NA | 1.02927250257126 | NA |
6 | 107.1 | NA | NA | 1.02092423913387 | NA |
7 | 99.75 | 99.6192569268983 | 104.187083333333 | 0.956157459636135 | 1.00131242770861 |
8 | 98.96 | 99.1559477158591 | 104.734166666667 | 0.946739262569768 | 0.998023843043479 |
9 | 107.26 | 107.324466822169 | 105.30125 | 1.01921360688662 | 0.99939932781333 |
10 | 107.11 | 107.407546951598 | 105.6325 | 1.01680398505761 | 0.997229738877364 |
11 | 107.2 | 106.181984219161 | 105.66 | 1.00494022543215 | 1.00958746239605 |
12 | 107.65 | 105.683912142342 | 105.656666666667 | 1.00025786802229 | 1.01860347348809 |
13 | 104.78 | 103.967375307251 | 105.653333333333 | 0.984042547708707 | 1.00781615088722 |
14 | 105.56 | 104.155902247303 | 105.678333333333 | 0.985593725430661 | 1.01348073150346 |
15 | 107.95 | 106.718150444572 | 105.702083333333 | 1.00961255520418 | 1.01154301822414 |
16 | 107.11 | 108.500481656339 | 105.705416666667 | 1.02644202234675 | 0.98718455775392 |
17 | 107.47 | 109.065145280793 | 105.963333333333 | 1.02927250257126 | 0.985374380819044 |
18 | 107.06 | 108.687169113092 | 106.459583333333 | 1.02092423913387 | 0.985028875750741 |
19 | 99.71 | 102.253072329254 | 106.941666666667 | 0.956157459636135 | 0.975129624261404 |
20 | 99.6 | 101.701492908094 | 107.422916666667 | 0.946739262569768 | 0.979336656247586 |
21 | 107.19 | 110.055959288625 | 107.98125 | 1.01921360688662 | 0.973959072210626 |
22 | 107.26 | 110.590567093155 | 108.762916666667 | 1.01680398505761 | 0.969883804914847 |
23 | 113.24 | 110.228124801807 | 109.68625 | 1.00494022543215 | 1.02732401738311 |
24 | 113.52 | 110.606014401235 | 110.5775 | 1.00025786802229 | 1.02634563422739 |
25 | 110.48 | 109.672361977592 | 111.450833333333 | 0.984042547708707 | 1.00736409800833 |
26 | 111.41 | 110.671087436452 | 112.28875 | 0.985593725430661 | 1.00667665404456 |
27 | 115.5 | 114.243550027925 | 113.155833333333 | 1.00961255520418 | 1.01099799482568 |
28 | 118.32 | 117.099927382725 | 114.083333333333 | 1.02644202234675 | 1.01041907236448 |
29 | 118.42 | 118.018958326077 | 114.6625 | 1.02927250257126 | 1.00339811230002 |
30 | 117.5 | 117.208483429063 | 114.80625 | 1.02092423913387 | 1.00248716272413 |
31 | 110.23 | 109.913088777764 | 114.952916666667 | 0.956157459636135 | 1.00288328920386 |
32 | 109.19 | 109.061207250495 | 115.196666666667 | 0.946739262569768 | 1.00118092172966 |
33 | 118.41 | 117.581153086138 | 115.364583333333 | 1.01921360688662 | 1.00704914769168 |
34 | 118.3 | 117.575586802174 | 115.6325 | 1.01680398505761 | 1.00616125521912 |
35 | 116.1 | 116.650530292507 | 116.077083333333 | 1.00494022543215 | 0.995280516161168 |
36 | 114.11 | 116.57547000277 | 116.545416666667 | 1.00025786802229 | 0.978850868002408 |
37 | 113.41 | 115.164959464719 | 117.0325 | 0.984042547708707 | 0.984761341706051 |
38 | 114.33 | 115.82122531588 | 117.514166666667 | 0.985593725430661 | 0.987124766537286 |
39 | 116.61 | 119.096000371376 | 117.962083333333 | 1.00961255520418 | 0.979126080106608 |
40 | 123.64 | 121.518332604751 | 118.387916666667 | 1.02644202234675 | 1.01745964867827 |
41 | 123.77 | 122.006960409998 | 118.537083333333 | 1.02927250257126 | 1.01445031975289 |
42 | 123.39 | 120.953573846286 | 118.474583333333 | 1.02092423913387 | 1.02014348213316 |
43 | 116.03 | 113.323782116075 | 118.52 | 0.956157459636135 | 1.0238804056253 |
44 | 114.95 | 112.183079968819 | 118.494166666667 | 0.946739262569768 | 1.02466432577845 |
45 | 123.4 | 120.649410715203 | 118.375 | 1.01921360688662 | 1.02279819908354 |
46 | 123.53 | 119.94007973576 | 117.957916666667 | 1.01680398505761 | 1.02993094778784 |
47 | 114.45 | 117.86650796528 | 117.287083333333 | 1.00494022543215 | 0.971013750858844 |
48 | 114.26 | 116.66257579211 | 116.6325 | 1.00025786802229 | 0.97940577108128 |
49 | 114.35 | 113.977958141546 | 115.82625 | 0.984042547708707 | 1.00326415619757 |
50 | 112.77 | 113.23157780231 | 114.886666666667 | 0.985593725430661 | 0.995923594713867 |
51 | 115.31 | 115.132850420301 | 114.036666666667 | 1.00961255520418 | 1.00153865364275 |
52 | 114.93 | 116.309139341342 | 113.312916666667 | 1.02644202234675 | 0.988142468002501 |
53 | 116.38 | 116.381986183446 | 113.072083333333 | 1.02927250257126 | 0.999982933927225 |
54 | 115.07 | 115.584788503741 | 113.215833333333 | 1.02092423913387 | 0.99554622619114 |
55 | 105 | NA | NA | 0.956157459636135 | NA |
56 | 103.43 | NA | NA | 0.946739262569768 | NA |
57 | 114.52 | NA | NA | 1.01921360688662 | NA |
58 | 115.04 | NA | NA | 1.01680398505761 | NA |
59 | 117.16 | NA | NA | 1.00494022543215 | NA |
60 | 115 | NA | NA | 1.00025786802229 | NA |