Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 65 | NA | NA | 1.02238503742154 | NA |
2 | 65.3 | NA | NA | 1.03256598920881 | NA |
3 | 62.9 | NA | NA | 0.992786660083957 | NA |
4 | 63.5 | NA | NA | 0.967806011666513 | NA |
5 | 62.1 | NA | NA | 0.973035281116718 | NA |
6 | 59.3 | NA | NA | 0.998729369607664 | NA |
7 | 61.6 | 63.560094445717 | 62.3666666666667 | 1.01913566722154 | 0.96916155548839 |
8 | 61.5 | 63.5248171241143 | 62.2541666666666 | 1.02041068936399 | 0.968125573346269 |
9 | 60.1 | 62.7592871208099 | 62.1833333333333 | 1.00926218902401 | 0.957627193634452 |
10 | 59.5 | 60.9445997304188 | 62.125 | 0.980999593246178 | 0.976296509669293 |
11 | 62.7 | 60.8045437719606 | 62.0875 | 0.979336320063791 | 1.03117293725857 |
12 | 65.5 | 62.5502601864929 | 62.3291666666667 | 1.00354719197529 | 1.04715791436698 |
13 | 63.8 | 64.1631809735133 | 62.7583333333333 | 1.02238503742154 | 0.994339729296414 |
14 | 63.8 | 65.1635186356524 | 63.1083333333333 | 1.03256598920881 | 0.979075429562418 |
15 | 62.7 | 63.1040020815865 | 63.5625 | 0.992786660083957 | 0.99359783740714 |
16 | 62.3 | 62.1855687746221 | 64.2541666666667 | 0.967806011666513 | 1.00184015725244 |
17 | 62.4 | 63.137826803461 | 64.8875 | 0.973035281116718 | 0.988314029151529 |
18 | 64.8 | 65.3002552828477 | 65.3833333333333 | 0.998729369607664 | 0.992339152723356 |
19 | 66.4 | 67.3648676033441 | 66.1 | 1.01913566722154 | 0.985676991024084 |
20 | 65.1 | 68.7969390191616 | 67.4208333333333 | 1.02041068936399 | 0.946263030421573 |
21 | 67.4 | 69.8030961483733 | 69.1625 | 1.00926218902401 | 0.965573215502285 |
22 | 68.8 | 69.4057212221671 | 70.75 | 0.980999593246178 | 0.991272747959377 |
23 | 68.6 | 70.6427932206015 | 72.1333333333333 | 0.979336320063791 | 0.971082779608922 |
24 | 71.5 | 73.8234403096819 | 73.5625 | 1.00354719197529 | 0.968527065388238 |
25 | 75 | 76.7768563727015 | 75.0958333333333 | 1.02238503742154 | 0.976856875148991 |
26 | 84.3 | 79.1892066557387 | 76.6916666666667 | 1.03256598920881 | 1.06453901434421 |
27 | 84 | 77.4952720417202 | 78.0583333333333 | 0.992786660083957 | 1.08393709431432 |
28 | 79.1 | 76.1381054428143 | 78.6708333333333 | 0.967806011666513 | 1.03890160570662 |
29 | 78.8 | 76.5859852512284 | 78.7083333333333 | 0.973035281116718 | 1.02890887597135 |
30 | 82.7 | 78.450191982682 | 78.55 | 0.998729369607664 | 1.05417205375681 |
31 | 85.3 | 79.7940763448335 | 78.2958333333333 | 1.01913566722154 | 1.06900165911279 |
32 | 84.5 | 79.302917408405 | 77.7166666666667 | 1.02041068936399 | 1.06553456999356 |
33 | 80.8 | 77.4398467119884 | 76.7291666666667 | 1.00926218902401 | 1.04339049508335 |
34 | 70.1 | 74.5559690867095 | 76 | 0.980999593246178 | 0.94023323496034 |
35 | 68.2 | 74.2867404448388 | 75.8541666666667 | 0.979336320063791 | 0.918064241230796 |
36 | 68.1 | 76.0981472781592 | 75.8291666666667 | 1.00354719197529 | 0.894896951315729 |
37 | 72.3 | 77.2710091407885 | 75.5791666666667 | 1.02238503742154 | 0.935667863069689 |
38 | 73.1 | 77.9974534098602 | 75.5375 | 1.03256598920881 | 0.937210085768761 |
39 | 71.5 | 75.4641959996317 | 76.0125 | 0.992786660083957 | 0.94746918128365 |
40 | 74.1 | 74.8396323771617 | 77.3291666666667 | 0.967806011666513 | 0.990117103015227 |
41 | 80.3 | 77.177915047241 | 79.3166666666667 | 0.973035281116718 | 1.04045308752961 |
42 | 80.6 | 81.4338959743849 | 81.5375 | 0.998729369607664 | 0.989759841839727 |
43 | 81.4 | 85.5054824798875 | 83.9 | 1.01913566722154 | 0.95198573985179 |
44 | 87.4 | 87.7595709965091 | 86.0041666666666 | 1.02041068936399 | 0.995902771715652 |
45 | 89.3 | 88.4828571635594 | 87.6708333333333 | 1.00926218902401 | 1.00923504125698 |
46 | 93.2 | 87.2640013175527 | 88.9541666666667 | 0.980999593246178 | 1.06802345288805 |
47 | 92.8 | 87.9199181337269 | 89.775 | 0.979336320063791 | 1.05550598737877 |
48 | 96.8 | 90.8711982333621 | 90.55 | 1.00354719197529 | 1.06524401440611 |
49 | 100.3 | 93.8293868093615 | 91.775 | 1.02238503742154 | 1.06896147796197 |
50 | 95.6 | 96.0802652958794 | 93.05 | 1.03256598920881 | 0.995001415801669 |
51 | 89 | 93.6032356015824 | 94.2833333333333 | 0.992786660083957 | 0.950821832471948 |
52 | 87.4 | 92.4899945149298 | 95.5666666666667 | 0.967806011666513 | 0.944967079502765 |
53 | 86.7 | 94.4290197187062 | 97.0458333333333 | 0.973035281116718 | 0.918149952824565 |
54 | 92.8 | 98.7701732818246 | 98.8958333333333 | 0.998729369607664 | 0.939554897157164 |
55 | 98.6 | NA | NA | 1.01913566722154 | NA |
56 | 100.8 | NA | NA | 1.02041068936399 | NA |
57 | 105.5 | NA | NA | 1.00926218902401 | NA |
58 | 107.8 | NA | NA | 0.980999593246178 | NA |
59 | 113.7 | NA | NA | 0.979336320063791 | NA |
60 | 120.3 | NA | NA | 1.00354719197529 | NA |