| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 125326 | NA | NA | 0.994478638668996 | NA |
| 2 | 122716 | NA | NA | 0.971504146696046 | NA |
| 3 | 116615 | NA | NA | 0.931939659306085 | NA |
| 4 | 113719 | NA | NA | 0.907687276030653 | NA |
| 5 | 110737 | NA | NA | 0.843907049097937 | NA |
| 6 | 112093 | NA | NA | 0.860095046303237 | NA |
| 7 | 143565 | 141791.316614723 | 126010 | 1.12523860498947 | 1.01250911147187 |
| 8 | 149946 | 147492.548547779 | 125168.166666667 | 1.17835510797697 | 1.01663440951003 |
| 9 | 149147 | 143001.97889636 | 124191.083333333 | 1.15146736028172 | 1.04297158089045 |
| 10 | 134339 | 130219.279653772 | 123194.291666667 | 1.05702364851542 | 1.03163679262534 |
| 11 | 122683 | 121097.551877304 | 122022.958333333 | 0.992416128336264 | 1.01309232183573 |
| 12 | 115614 | 118853.40105409 | 120554.75 | 0.985887333797215 | 0.972744565781373 |
| 13 | 116566 | 118294.725787635 | 118951.5 | 0.994478638668996 | 0.985386281796379 |
| 14 | 111272 | 113982.857432618 | 117326.166666667 | 0.971504146696046 | 0.976216972502022 |
| 15 | 104609 | 107602.335525768 | 115460.625 | 0.931939659306085 | 0.972181500418727 |
| 16 | 101802 | 103116.527103155 | 113603.583333333 | 0.907687276030653 | 0.987252023122931 |
| 17 | 94542 | 94586.7195514075 | 112081.916666667 | 0.843907049097937 | 0.999527211096657 |
| 18 | 93051 | 95403.1401904053 | 110921.625 | 0.860095046303237 | 0.975345253985236 |
| 19 | 124129 | 123759.367969766 | 109985 | 1.12523860498947 | 1.00298669940141 |
| 20 | 130374 | 128532.274781005 | 109077.708333333 | 1.17835510797697 | 1.01432889305144 |
| 21 | 123946 | 124637.225967227 | 108242.083333333 | 1.15146736028172 | 0.994454096985367 |
| 22 | 114971 | 113594.455752574 | 107466.333333333 | 1.05702364851542 | 1.01211805838856 |
| 23 | 105531 | 105862.971891214 | 106671.958333333 | 0.992416128336264 | 0.996864135917561 |
| 24 | 104919 | 104506.152393089 | 106002.125 | 0.985887333797215 | 1.00395046222119 |
| 25 | 104782 | 104843.904960318 | 105426 | 0.994478638668996 | 0.999409551176666 |
| 26 | 101281 | 101680.659943667 | 104663.125 | 0.971504146696046 | 0.996069459581713 |
| 27 | 94545 | 96880.1755913554 | 103955.416666667 | 0.931939659306085 | 0.975896249391565 |
| 28 | 93248 | 93863.6386519045 | 103409.666666667 | 0.907687276030653 | 0.993441138008855 |
| 29 | 84031 | 87015.9590883625 | 103110.833333333 | 0.843907049097937 | 0.965696417994642 |
| 30 | 87486 | 88714.7544120026 | 103145.291666667 | 0.860095046303237 | 0.986149379320873 |
| 31 | 115867 | 116362.846424577 | 103411.708333333 | 1.12523860498947 | 0.995738790861404 |
| 32 | 120327 | 122462.17483478 | 103926.375 | 1.17835510797697 | 0.982564617706159 |
| 33 | 117008 | 120701.510529784 | 104824.083333333 | 1.15146736028172 | 0.969399632916169 |
| 34 | 108811 | 111992.184072033 | 105950.5 | 1.05702364851542 | 0.971594588511761 |
| 35 | 104519 | 106323.494325434 | 107136 | 0.992416128336264 | 0.983028263537777 |
| 36 | 106758 | 106904.569804384 | 108434.875 | 0.985887333797215 | 0.998628965958588 |
| 37 | 109337 | 109113.077446294 | 109718.875 | 0.994478638668996 | 1.00205220638027 |
| 38 | 109078 | 107884.847341825 | 111049.291666667 | 0.971504146696046 | 1.01105950175185 |
| 39 | 108293 | 104843.211671935 | 112500 | 0.931939659306085 | 1.032904260305 |
| 40 | 106534 | 103348.138639755 | 113858.75 | 0.907687276030653 | 1.03082649965618 |
| 41 | 99197 | 97094.389347802 | 115053.416666667 | 0.843907049097937 | 1.02165532598044 |
| 42 | 103493 | 99968.3813470085 | 116229.458333333 | 0.860095046303237 | 1.03525733442414 |
| 43 | 130676 | 131988.847392299 | 117298.541666667 | 1.12523860498947 | 0.990053346034634 |
| 44 | 137448 | 139218.62996086 | 118146.583333333 | 1.17835510797697 | 0.987281659348628 |
| 45 | 134704 | 136684.021423915 | 118704.208333333 | 1.15146736028172 | 0.985513877896717 |
| 46 | 123725 | 125692.972262873 | 118912.166666667 | 1.05702364851542 | 0.984343020715927 |
| 47 | 118277 | 118075.43801316 | 118977.75 | 0.992416128336264 | 1.00170706109782 |
| 48 | 121225 | 117273.721994874 | 118952.458333333 | 0.985887333797215 | 1.03369278247431 |
| 49 | 120528 | 118228.054282234 | 118884.458333333 | 0.994478638668996 | 1.01945346839825 |
| 50 | 118240 | 115411.940032408 | 118797.166666667 | 0.971504146696046 | 1.02450405015978 |
| 51 | 112514 | 110554.992182183 | 118628.916666667 | 0.931939659306085 | 1.01771975900092 |
| 52 | 107304 | 107452.208838025 | 118380.208333333 | 0.907687276030653 | 0.998620699940678 |
| 53 | 100001 | 99563.3449083192 | 117979.041666667 | 0.843907049097937 | 1.00439574516187 |
| 54 | 102082 | 100841.270307126 | 117244.333333333 | 0.860095046303237 | 1.01230378880686 |
| 55 | 130455 | 130873.173315452 | 116307.041666667 | 1.12523860498947 | 0.996804743822909 |
| 56 | 135574 | 135943.342840108 | 115367.041666667 | 1.17835510797697 | 0.997283111975976 |
| 57 | 132540 | 131781.793070935 | 114446.833333333 | 1.15146736028172 | 1.00575350290352 |
| 58 | 119920 | 120112.151654624 | 113632.416666667 | 1.05702364851542 | 0.998400231350641 |
| 59 | 112454 | 112072.85041159 | 112929.291666667 | 0.992416128336264 | 1.00340090920335 |
| 60 | 109415 | 110623.460063384 | 112207 | 0.985887333797215 | 0.989075915156769 |
| 61 | 109843 | 110752.14398926 | 111367.041666667 | 0.994478638668996 | 0.991791183840665 |
| 62 | 106365 | 107413.060640586 | 110563.666666667 | 0.971504146696046 | 0.990242707596863 |
| 63 | 102304 | 102366.349042414 | 109842.25 | 0.931939659306085 | 0.999390922476018 |
| 64 | 97968 | 99162.6791490683 | 109247.625 | 0.907687276030653 | 0.987952330863586 |
| 65 | 92462 | 91835.8638736979 | 108822.25 | 0.843907049097937 | 1.00681799135862 |
| 66 | 92286 | 93308.9521018313 | 108486.791666667 | 0.860095046303237 | 0.989036935055118 |
| 67 | 120092 | NA | NA | 1.12523860498947 | NA |
| 68 | 126656 | NA | NA | 1.17835510797697 | NA |
| 69 | 124144 | NA | NA | 1.15146736028172 | NA |
| 70 | 114045 | NA | NA | 1.05702364851542 | NA |
| 71 | 108120 | NA | NA | 0.992416128336264 | NA |
| 72 | 105698 | NA | NA | 0.985887333797215 | NA |
