Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 105.32 | NA | NA | 0.993715745772321 | NA |
2 | 106.93 | NA | NA | 0.995162094768801 | NA |
3 | 107.99 | NA | NA | 0.998817266424619 | NA |
4 | 109.41 | NA | NA | 1.00301926065846 | NA |
5 | 111.79 | NA | NA | 1.00336451311754 | NA |
6 | 112.7 | NA | NA | 0.999333467999233 | NA |
7 | 113.41 | 113.179828302283 | 112.905 | 1.00243415528349 | 1.00203368127669 |
8 | 115.14 | 114.007899272006 | 113.90625 | 1.00089239415753 | 1.00993002007074 |
9 | 115.6 | 114.972123033234 | 114.895416666667 | 1.00066761902949 | 1.00546112353326 |
10 | 116.21 | 116.116417101675 | 115.854166666667 | 1.00226362540558 | 1.00080594028528 |
11 | 116.9 | 116.865489755735 | 116.687916666667 | 1.00152177786819 | 1.00029529884602 |
12 | 117.31 | 117.266311085529 | 117.40625 | 0.998808079514751 | 1.00037256151461 |
13 | 117.62 | 117.345822177116 | 118.087916666667 | 0.993715745772321 | 1.00233649411455 |
14 | 118.66 | 118.139838778733 | 118.714166666667 | 0.995162094768801 | 1.00440292814553 |
15 | 120 | 119.148079364071 | 119.289166666667 | 0.998817266424619 | 1.00715009961114 |
16 | 120.41 | 120.221888582523 | 119.86 | 1.00301926065846 | 1.00156470189992 |
17 | 120.8 | 120.835606383292 | 120.430416666667 | 1.00336451311754 | 0.999705332026232 |
18 | 120.93 | 120.915185738457 | 120.995833333333 | 0.999333467999233 | 1.00012251779173 |
19 | 121.54 | 121.860072725242 | 121.564166666667 | 1.00243415528349 | 0.997373440552893 |
20 | 122.04 | 122.25942298484 | 122.150416666667 | 1.00089239415753 | 0.998205267295697 |
21 | 122.5 | 122.84529247079 | 122.763333333333 | 1.00066761902949 | 0.997189208769462 |
22 | 123.01 | 123.799603010097 | 123.52 | 1.00226362540558 | 0.993621926154059 |
23 | 123.79 | 124.607253098656 | 124.417916666667 | 1.00152177786819 | 0.993441368152067 |
24 | 123.99 | 125.199760427108 | 125.349166666667 | 0.998808079514751 | 0.990337358290617 |
25 | 124.58 | 125.476901266898 | 126.270416666667 | 0.993715745772321 | 0.992852060755066 |
26 | 125.77 | 126.545226621674 | 127.160416666667 | 0.995162094768801 | 0.993873916524792 |
27 | 127.6 | 127.925186092777 | 128.076666666667 | 0.998817266424619 | 0.997457997891507 |
28 | 130.97 | 129.431277094136 | 129.041666666667 | 1.00301926065846 | 1.01188833905073 |
29 | 131.79 | 130.474594805974 | 130.037083333333 | 1.00336451311754 | 1.01008169594994 |
30 | 132.29 | 130.968480426529 | 131.055833333333 | 0.999333467999233 | 1.01009036349179 |
31 | 132.29 | 132.38103686584 | 132.059583333333 | 1.00243415528349 | 0.999312311883974 |
32 | 132.65 | 133.17373750463 | 133.055 | 1.00089239415753 | 0.996067261350143 |
33 | 133.88 | 134.12198264757 | 134.0325 | 1.00066761902949 | 0.998195801741126 |
34 | 134.79 | 135.190746722675 | 134.885416666667 | 1.00226362540558 | 0.997035694140391 |
35 | 135.9 | 135.895238136712 | 135.68875 | 1.00152177786819 | 1.00003504069276 |
36 | 136.33 | 136.376422836878 | 136.539166666667 | 0.998808079514751 | 0.999659597781551 |
37 | 136.33 | 136.578776388312 | 137.4425 | 0.993715745772321 | 0.998178513566376 |
38 | 137.91 | 137.746190649169 | 138.415833333333 | 0.995162094768801 | 1.00118921147698 |
39 | 138.92 | 139.213485898819 | 139.378333333333 | 0.998817266424619 | 0.997891828532814 |
40 | 140.12 | 140.736140011141 | 140.3125 | 1.00301926065846 | 0.995622019965221 |
41 | 141.92 | 141.710605078702 | 141.235416666667 | 1.00336451311754 | 1.0014776235073 |
42 | 142.57 | 142.061081921321 | 142.155833333333 | 0.999333467999233 | 1.00358238915117 |
43 | 143.69 | 143.463781814295 | 143.115416666667 | 1.00243415528349 | 1.00157683132875 |
44 | 144.61 | 144.182302724871 | 144.05375 | 1.00089239415753 | 1.00296636457489 |
45 | 145.02 | 145.106811435466 | 145.01 | 1.00066761902949 | 0.99940174114084 |
46 | 146.07 | 146.368909414854 | 146.038333333333 | 1.00226362540558 | 0.997957835335048 |
47 | 146.77 | 147.306744194039 | 147.082916666667 | 1.00152177786819 | 0.996356282280384 |
48 | 147.55 | 147.999219522165 | 148.175833333333 | 0.998808079514751 | 0.996964716951786 |
49 | 148.14 | 148.433391187149 | 149.372083333333 | 0.993715745772321 | 0.998023415184399 |
50 | 148.62 | 149.88882680884 | 150.6175 | 0.995162094768801 | 0.99153488064552 |
51 | 151.16 | 151.779439458163 | 151.959166666667 | 0.998817266424619 | 0.995918818382948 |
52 | 152.56 | 153.998980109889 | 153.535416666667 | 1.00301926065846 | 0.990655911429658 |
53 | 154.55 | 155.805368076721 | 155.282916666667 | 1.00336451311754 | 0.991942716145038 |
54 | 156.17 | 157.024018659885 | 157.12875 | 0.999333467999233 | 0.994561222753225 |
55 | 158.8 | 159.402067202404 | 159.015 | 1.00243415528349 | 0.996222964902708 |
56 | 159.39 | 161.105724956084 | 160.962083333333 | 1.00089239415753 | 0.98935031665354 |
57 | 162.44 | 163.047947954982 | 162.939166666667 | 1.00066761902949 | 0.99627135476032 |
58 | 166.48 | 165.306680616893 | 164.933333333333 | 1.00226362540558 | 1.00709783403023 |
59 | 168.3 | 167.231185363245 | 166.977083333333 | 1.00152177786819 | 1.00639123997377 |
60 | 170.32 | 168.769849705707 | 168.97125 | 0.998808079514751 | 1.00918499540644 |
61 | 170.64 | 169.769296345335 | 170.842916666667 | 0.993715745772321 | 1.00512874632462 |
62 | 172.85 | 171.901397694253 | 172.737083333333 | 0.995162094768801 | 1.00551829315218 |
63 | 174.38 | 174.711867721411 | 174.91875 | 0.998817266424619 | 0.998100485526601 |
64 | 177.2 | 177.770954512187 | 177.235833333333 | 1.00301926065846 | 0.996788257599486 |
65 | 178.96 | 180.164968112479 | 179.560833333333 | 1.00336451311754 | 0.993311862316503 |
66 | 179.62 | 181.771679216995 | 181.892916666667 | 0.999333467999233 | 0.9881627367571 |
67 | 180.27 | NA | NA | 1.00243415528349 | NA |
68 | 183.38 | NA | NA | 1.00089239415753 | NA |
69 | 190.81 | NA | NA | 1.00066761902949 | NA |
70 | 193.72 | NA | NA | 1.00226362540558 | NA |
71 | 196.86 | NA | NA | 1.00152177786819 | NA |
72 | 197.73 | NA | NA | 0.998808079514751 | NA |