Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 100.34 | NA | NA | 0.745486111111116 | NA |
2 | 100.21 | NA | NA | 0.590486111111107 | NA |
3 | 100.44 | NA | NA | 0.796944444444448 | NA |
4 | 101.59 | NA | NA | 0.829861111111106 | NA |
5 | 102.44 | NA | NA | 0.358715277777768 | NA |
6 | 103.1 | NA | NA | -0.364097222222221 | NA |
7 | 103.34 | 102.279131944444 | 102.710416666667 | -0.431284722222224 | 1.06086805555557 |
8 | 103.44 | 101.996840277778 | 103.08625 | -1.08940972222222 | 1.44315972222222 |
9 | 103.35 | 102.445381944444 | 103.455416666667 | -1.01003472222222 | 0.904618055555545 |
10 | 103.67 | 103.361631944444 | 103.769166666667 | -0.407534722222224 | 0.308368055555562 |
11 | 104.13 | 103.814965277778 | 104.001666666667 | -0.186701388888886 | 0.315034722222222 |
12 | 104.27 | 104.337986111111 | 104.170416666667 | 0.167569444444445 | -0.0679861111110966 |
13 | 104.75 | 105.049652777778 | 104.304166666667 | 0.745486111111116 | -0.299652777777794 |
14 | 104.82 | 104.984236111111 | 104.39375 | 0.590486111111107 | -0.164236111111109 |
15 | 104.69 | 105.247361111111 | 104.450416666667 | 0.796944444444448 | -0.557361111111121 |
16 | 104.87 | 105.341111111111 | 104.51125 | 0.829861111111106 | -0.471111111111085 |
17 | 104.74 | 104.963298611111 | 104.604583333333 | 0.358715277777768 | -0.22329861111109 |
18 | 104.85 | 104.412152777778 | 104.77625 | -0.364097222222221 | 0.437847222222231 |
19 | 104.8 | 104.608715277778 | 105.04 | -0.431284722222224 | 0.191284722222235 |
20 | 104.13 | 104.279340277778 | 105.36875 | -1.08940972222222 | -0.149340277777767 |
21 | 104.02 | 104.704131944444 | 105.714166666667 | -1.01003472222222 | -0.684131944444445 |
22 | 104.46 | 105.646215277778 | 106.05375 | -0.407534722222224 | -1.18621527777778 |
23 | 105.58 | 106.192465277778 | 106.379166666667 | -0.186701388888886 | -0.612465277777773 |
24 | 106.94 | 106.812569444444 | 106.645 | 0.167569444444445 | 0.127430555555549 |
25 | 108.41 | 107.604236111111 | 106.85875 | 0.745486111111116 | 0.805763888888904 |
26 | 109.05 | 107.660069444444 | 107.069583333333 | 0.590486111111107 | 1.38993055555557 |
27 | 108.75 | 108.179444444444 | 107.3825 | 0.796944444444448 | 0.570555555555572 |
28 | 108.96 | 108.732361111111 | 107.9025 | 0.829861111111106 | 0.227638888888904 |
29 | 108.46 | 108.862881944444 | 108.504166666667 | 0.358715277777768 | -0.402881944444445 |
30 | 107.51 | 108.702569444444 | 109.066666666667 | -0.364097222222221 | -1.19256944444443 |
31 | 107.27 | 109.129131944444 | 109.560416666667 | -0.431284722222224 | -1.85913194444443 |
32 | 106.72 | 108.900590277778 | 109.99 | -1.08940972222222 | -2.18059027777777 |
33 | 108.94 | 109.512048611111 | 110.522083333333 | -1.01003472222222 | -0.5720486111111 |
34 | 112.02 | 110.799548611111 | 111.207083333333 | -0.407534722222224 | 1.2204513888889 |
35 | 112.46 | 111.764548611111 | 111.95125 | -0.186701388888886 | 0.695451388888912 |
36 | 113.56 | 112.904236111111 | 112.736666666667 | 0.167569444444445 | 0.655763888888913 |
37 | 113.64 | 114.307152777778 | 113.561666666667 | 0.745486111111116 | -0.667152777777773 |
38 | 114.13 | 115.014652777778 | 114.424166666667 | 0.590486111111107 | -0.884652777777774 |
39 | 116.44 | 116.007777777778 | 115.210833333333 | 0.796944444444448 | 0.432222222222222 |
40 | 117.71 | 116.600277777778 | 115.770416666667 | 0.829861111111106 | 1.10972222222222 |
41 | 117.57 | 116.552881944444 | 116.194166666667 | 0.358715277777768 | 1.01711805555556 |
42 | 117.25 | 116.203402777778 | 116.5675 | -0.364097222222221 | 1.04659722222223 |
43 | 117.33 | 116.528298611111 | 116.959583333333 | -0.431284722222224 | 0.801701388888887 |
44 | 117.36 | 116.278506944444 | 117.367916666667 | -1.08940972222222 | 1.08149305555555 |
45 | 117.18 | 116.633715277778 | 117.64375 | -1.01003472222222 | 0.546284722222225 |
46 | 117.21 | 117.357881944444 | 117.765416666667 | -0.407534722222224 | -0.14788194444445 |
47 | 117.44 | 117.643298611111 | 117.83 | -0.186701388888886 | -0.203298611111094 |
48 | 117.54 | 118.060486111111 | 117.892916666667 | 0.167569444444445 | -0.520486111111097 |
49 | 119.07 | 118.714236111111 | 117.96875 | 0.745486111111116 | 0.355763888888887 |
50 | 118.5 | 118.646319444444 | 118.055833333333 | 0.590486111111107 | -0.14631944444443 |
51 | 118.69 | 118.940694444444 | 118.14375 | 0.796944444444448 | -0.250694444444434 |
52 | 118.38 | 119.051527777778 | 118.221666666667 | 0.829861111111106 | -0.671527777777769 |
53 | 118.45 | 118.646215277778 | 118.2875 | 0.358715277777768 | -0.196215277777753 |
54 | 117.88 | 117.977152777778 | 118.34125 | -0.364097222222221 | -0.0971527777777652 |
55 | 118.52 | NA | NA | -0.431284722222224 | NA |
56 | 118.26 | NA | NA | -1.08940972222222 | NA |
57 | 118.39 | NA | NA | -1.01003472222222 | NA |
58 | 117.87 | NA | NA | -0.407534722222224 | NA |
59 | 118.36 | NA | NA | -0.186701388888886 | NA |
60 | 117.91 | NA | NA | 0.167569444444445 | NA |