Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 18.49 | NA | NA | 1.03851889850973 | NA |
2 | 18.07 | NA | NA | 0.98235071250918 | NA |
3 | 17.8 | NA | NA | 0.967626585014318 | NA |
4 | 17.88 | NA | NA | 0.966851300335627 | NA |
5 | 18.12 | NA | NA | 0.970100032025246 | NA |
6 | 18.68 | NA | NA | 0.975453207460067 | NA |
7 | 18.8 | 18.7532809821435 | 18.9275 | 0.990795455403172 | 1.00249124502006 |
8 | 19.64 | 19.5893855648061 | 19.05625 | 1.02797694010133 | 1.0025837683896 |
9 | 19.56 | 19.7304917396948 | 19.1491666666667 | 1.03035772173001 | 0.991358971588538 |
10 | 19.3 | 19.520370490554 | 19.2295833333333 | 1.01512186469046 | 0.988710742418508 |
11 | 20.07 | 19.784557356899 | 19.3020833333333 | 1.02499595588899 | 1.01442754760452 |
12 | 19.82 | 19.5334700509601 | 19.3429166666667 | 1.00985132633186 | 1.01466866605331 |
13 | 20.29 | 20.1200055100029 | 19.37375 | 1.03851889850973 | 1.00844902800412 |
14 | 19.36 | 19.0698832065844 | 19.4125 | 0.98235071250918 | 1.01521334925194 |
15 | 18.74 | 18.8477531651039 | 19.4783333333333 | 0.967626585014318 | 0.994282970274494 |
16 | 18.87 | 18.924502785236 | 19.5733333333333 | 0.966851300335627 | 0.997119988522049 |
17 | 18.87 | 19.0539772540159 | 19.64125 | 0.970100032025246 | 0.990344417254036 |
18 | 18.91 | 19.2107380432531 | 19.6941666666667 | 0.975453207460067 | 0.98434531549095 |
19 | 19.31 | 19.5810080188449 | 19.7629166666667 | 0.990795455403172 | 0.986159649258909 |
20 | 20.06 | 20.3757879239836 | 19.82125 | 1.02797694010133 | 0.984501805517328 |
21 | 20.72 | 20.4916685066229 | 19.8879166666667 | 1.03035772173001 | 1.01114265016064 |
22 | 20.42 | 20.2605635168908 | 19.95875 | 1.01512186469046 | 1.00786930151159 |
23 | 20.58 | 20.5101690773387 | 20.01 | 1.02499595588899 | 1.00340469756236 |
24 | 20.58 | 20.2538306637435 | 20.05625 | 1.00985132633186 | 1.01610408133018 |
25 | 21.18 | 20.875095292461 | 20.1008333333333 | 1.03851889850973 | 1.01460614685908 |
26 | 19.87 | 19.7853619755286 | 20.1408333333333 | 0.98235071250918 | 1.00427781026074 |
27 | 19.83 | 19.4779199785945 | 20.1295833333333 | 0.967626585014318 | 1.01807585316053 |
28 | 19.48 | 19.4091369995292 | 20.0745833333333 | 0.966851300335627 | 1.00365101243154 |
29 | 19.49 | 19.4052343072783 | 20.0033333333333 | 0.970100032025246 | 1.00436818702518 |
30 | 19.4 | 19.4086737566002 | 19.8970833333333 | 0.975453207460067 | 0.999553098954157 |
31 | 19.89 | 19.5843106703629 | 19.76625 | 0.990795455403172 | 1.01560888891023 |
32 | 20.44 | 20.1697642122383 | 19.6208333333333 | 1.02797694010133 | 1.01339806380075 |
33 | 20.07 | 20.0365938461921 | 19.44625 | 1.03035772173001 | 1.00166725712286 |
34 | 19.75 | 19.5542078860437 | 19.2629166666667 | 1.01512186469046 | 1.01001278676678 |
35 | 19.54 | 19.5697352878106 | 19.0925 | 1.02499595588899 | 0.99848054726478 |
36 | 19.07 | 19.11985177855 | 18.9333333333333 | 1.00985132633186 | 0.997392669193917 |
37 | 19.55 | 19.4873744143274 | 18.7645833333333 | 1.03851889850973 | 1.00321364922442 |
38 | 18.01 | 18.2537134896081 | 18.5816666666667 | 0.98235071250918 | 0.986648552923392 |
39 | 17.5 | 17.8212626295012 | 18.4175 | 0.967626585014318 | 0.981973071370971 |
40 | 17.41 | 17.663567547715 | 18.2691666666667 | 0.966851300335627 | 0.985644601690458 |
41 | 17.47 | 17.5911472473911 | 18.1333333333333 | 0.970100032025246 | 0.993113169613819 |
42 | 17.6 | 17.5683187051923 | 18.0104166666667 | 0.975453207460067 | 1.00180331967671 |
43 | 17.64 | 17.729871843 | 17.8945833333333 | 0.990795455403172 | 0.994931049485533 |
44 | 18.3 | 18.3236889573063 | 17.825 | 1.02797694010133 | 0.998707194967046 |
45 | 18.27 | 18.3614039169461 | 17.8204166666667 | 1.03035772173001 | 0.995021953802687 |
46 | 17.99 | 18.124154959161 | 17.8541666666667 | 1.01512186469046 | 0.992598001977841 |
47 | 18.04 | 18.3542609167856 | 17.9066666666667 | 1.02499595588899 | 0.982878040243061 |
48 | 17.62 | 18.1457660200257 | 17.96875 | 1.00985132633186 | 0.971025416097317 |
49 | 18.22 | 18.7270920373767 | 18.0325 | 1.03851889850973 | 0.972922008587098 |
50 | 17.67 | 17.7936459059163 | 18.1133333333333 | 0.98235071250918 | 0.993051120238649 |
51 | 17.73 | 17.6442675999923 | 18.2345833333333 | 0.967626585014318 | 1.00485893786873 |
52 | 17.99 | 17.7630726607078 | 18.3720833333333 | 0.966851300335627 | 1.01277523003068 |
53 | 18.15 | 17.9460421757737 | 18.4991666666667 | 0.970100032025246 | 1.01136505878169 |
54 | 18.41 | 18.1649709170887 | 18.6220833333333 | 0.975453207460067 | 1.01348909855291 |
55 | 18.36 | NA | NA | 0.990795455403172 | NA |
56 | 19.52 | NA | NA | 1.02797694010133 | NA |
57 | 19.96 | NA | NA | 1.03035772173001 | NA |
58 | 19.6 | NA | NA | 1.01512186469046 | NA |
59 | 19.48 | NA | NA | 1.02499595588899 | NA |
60 | 19.13 | NA | NA | 1.00985132633186 | NA |