Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 12693.7 | NA | NA | 1.00000725993766 | NA |
2 | 13154 | NA | NA | 0.976278527765074 | NA |
3 | 15405.1 | NA | NA | 1.0960158329779 | NA |
4 | 13869.4 | NA | NA | 0.99126867078156 | NA |
5 | 12827.7 | NA | NA | 1.00270182906185 | NA |
6 | 15716.7 | NA | NA | 1.0532843131307 | NA |
7 | 13012.5 | 13039.6837614692 | 14178.0208333333 | 0.919711144083818 | 0.997915305158739 |
8 | 12837.6 | 12960.4789063538 | 14304.1416666667 | 0.906064775389911 | 0.990518953254608 |
9 | 15052.7 | 14547.9233078858 | 14431.2666666667 | 1.00808360374135 | 1.03469750846436 |
10 | 15002.6 | 14821.5735952717 | 14553.9458333333 | 1.01838867376608 | 1.01221371020862 |
11 | 14839.6 | 15247.0632180616 | 14714.8208333333 | 1.03617049713053 | 0.973275954048715 |
12 | 15022.6 | 14741.6053376259 | 14860.1166666667 | 0.992024872233567 | 1.01906133395506 |
13 | 14097.8 | 14954.941904491 | 14954.8333333333 | 1.00000725993766 | 0.942685039502988 |
14 | 14776.8 | 14723.1425780635 | 15080.8833333333 | 0.976278527765074 | 1.00364442724452 |
15 | 16833.3 | 16680.1873276358 | 15218.9291666667 | 1.0960158329779 | 1.00917931371853 |
16 | 15385.5 | 15153.3837405094 | 15286.8583333333 | 0.99126867078156 | 1.01531778403197 |
17 | 15172.6 | 15453.88290911 | 15412.2416666667 | 1.00270182906185 | 0.981798560868856 |
18 | 16858.9 | 16485.7164159356 | 15651.725 | 1.0532843131307 | 1.02263678293675 |
19 | 14143.5 | 14615.3443899029 | 15891.2333333333 | 0.919711144083818 | 0.967715821309768 |
20 | 14731.8 | 14576.6643989158 | 16087.8833333333 | 0.906064775389911 | 1.01064273669467 |
21 | 16471.6 | 16418.6870565739 | 16287.0291666667 | 1.00808360374135 | 1.00322272683825 |
22 | 15214 | 16730.9462764295 | 16428.8416666667 | 1.01838867376608 | 0.90933290613893 |
23 | 17637.4 | 17144.7101838836 | 16546.225 | 1.03617049713053 | 1.02873713296009 |
24 | 17972.4 | 16542.9199671906 | 16675.9125 | 0.992024872233567 | 1.08641038194251 |
25 | 16896.2 | 16754.6508035039 | 16754.5291666667 | 1.00000725993766 | 1.00844835252947 |
26 | 16698 | 16437.9229303293 | 16837.3291666667 | 0.976278527765074 | 1.01582177205557 |
27 | 19691.6 | 18529.3350069771 | 16906.0833333333 | 1.0960158329779 | 1.06272567216175 |
28 | 15930.7 | 16888.9919258947 | 17037.7541666667 | 0.99126867078156 | 0.943259376871074 |
29 | 17444.6 | 17195.6052316604 | 17149.2708333333 | 1.00270182906185 | 1.01448013983719 |
30 | 17699.4 | 17993.5148536054 | 17083.2458333333 | 1.0532843131307 | 0.98365439682028 |
31 | 15189.8 | 15664.0296934254 | 17031.4666666667 | 0.919711144083818 | 0.96972492374523 |
32 | 15672.7 | 15455.8303762863 | 17058.1958333333 | 0.906064775389911 | 1.01403157374491 |
33 | 17180.8 | 17174.6405503228 | 17036.9208333333 | 1.00808360374135 | 1.00035863630794 |
34 | 17664.9 | 17358.9441386797 | 17045.5 | 1.01838867376608 | 1.01762525755461 |
35 | 17862.9 | 17727.1200334353 | 17108.3041666667 | 1.03617049713053 | 1.00765944870394 |
36 | 16162.3 | 17034.9891044403 | 17171.9375 | 0.992024872233567 | 0.948770785875477 |
37 | 17463.6 | 17314.704869432 | 17314.5791666667 | 1.00000725993766 | 1.0085993455673 |
38 | 16772.1 | 17040.1281366996 | 17454.1666666667 | 0.976278527765074 | 0.984270767534763 |
39 | 19106.9 | 19199.6445902285 | 17517.6708333333 | 1.0960158329779 | 0.99516946317456 |
40 | 16721.3 | 17505.503215115 | 17659.6958333333 | 0.99126867078156 | 0.955202475160047 |
41 | 18161.3 | 17886.8971180857 | 17838.7 | 1.00270182906185 | 1.01534099962127 |
42 | 18509.9 | 18944.3189917531 | 17985.95 | 1.0532843131307 | 0.977068640369588 |
43 | 17802.7 | 16717.7849046297 | 18177.2125 | 0.919711144083818 | 1.06489586398913 |
44 | 16409.9 | 16658.8050280317 | 18385.8875 | 0.906064775389911 | 0.985058650508674 |
45 | 17967.7 | 18677.9662261438 | 18528.1916666667 | 1.00808360374135 | 0.96197304259231 |
46 | 20286.6 | 19118.8216058148 | 18773.6 | 1.01838867376608 | 1.06108004030071 |
47 | 19537.3 | 19723.1038968119 | 19034.6125 | 1.03617049713053 | 0.990579378490118 |
48 | 18021.9 | 19050.4447029875 | 19203.5958333333 | 0.992024872233567 | 0.946009412429819 |
49 | 20194.3 | 19407.9075658427 | 19407.7666666667 | 1.00000725993766 | 1.04051917660311 |
50 | 19049.6 | 19116.2210364368 | 19580.7041666667 | 0.976278527765074 | 0.996514947368007 |
51 | 20244.7 | 21694.3729955896 | 19793.85 | 1.0960158329779 | 0.933177465148023 |
52 | 21473.3 | 19764.2410506469 | 19938.3291666667 | 0.99126867078156 | 1.08647227813978 |
53 | 19673.6 | 19899.8168620031 | 19846.1958333333 | 1.00270182906185 | 0.988632213875544 |
54 | 21053.2 | 20703.4749533823 | 19656.1125 | 1.0532843131307 | 1.01689209407624 |
55 | 20159.5 | NA | NA | 0.919711144083818 | NA |
56 | 18203.6 | NA | NA | 0.906064775389911 | NA |
57 | 21289.5 | NA | NA | 1.00808360374135 | NA |
58 | 20432.3 | NA | NA | 1.01838867376608 | NA |
59 | 17180.4 | NA | NA | 1.03617049713053 | NA |
60 | 15816.8 | NA | NA | 0.992024872233567 | NA |