Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 541 | 0 | 55 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | -6 | -7.67015875140195 | -2.5987984132633 | -1.73104283533475 | -1.67015875140195 |
2 | -3 | -0.163875069741431 | -2.41656651404875 | -3.41955841620982 | 2.83612493025857 |
3 | -3 | -0.257588346888028 | -0.634337656027088 | -5.10807399708488 | 2.74241165311197 |
4 | -7 | -7.72850055927979 | 0.490751144940244 | -6.76225058566046 | -0.728500559279787 |
5 | -9 | -10.3994081204316 | 0.815835294667625 | -8.41642717423603 | -1.3994081204316 |
6 | -11 | -12.8312855970709 | 0.876166857383295 | -10.0448812603124 | -1.83128559707091 |
7 | -13 | -14.5652545831887 | 0.238589929577489 | -11.6733353463887 | -1.56525458318874 |
8 | -11 | -10.6422197963177 | 1.93434549311578 | -13.2921256967981 | 0.357780203682294 |
9 | -9 | -5.71918263537555 | 2.63009868258296 | -14.9109160472074 | 3.28081736462445 |
10 | -17 | -19.2099305995932 | 1.47459399289736 | -16.2646633933042 | -2.2099305995932 |
11 | -22 | -25.9506800899994 | -0.430909170599659 | -17.6184107394009 | -3.95068008999943 |
12 | -25 | -29.2880999327829 | -2.37976770328114 | -18.332132363936 | -4.28809993278287 |
13 | -20 | -18.3553475982656 | -2.5987984132633 | -19.0458539884711 | 1.64465240173438 |
14 | -24 | -26.4124949787942 | -2.41656651404875 | -19.170938507157 | -2.41249497879421 |
15 | -24 | -28.0696393181299 | -0.634337656027088 | -19.296023025843 | -4.06963931812992 |
16 | -22 | -25.6585912206797 | 0.490751144940244 | -18.8321599242606 | -3.65859122067969 |
17 | -19 | -20.4475384719895 | 0.815835294667625 | -18.3682968226781 | -1.4475384719895 |
18 | -18 | -19.3217141277621 | 0.876166857383295 | -17.5544527296212 | -1.32171412776207 |
19 | -17 | -17.4979812930132 | 0.238589929577489 | -16.7406086365643 | -0.497981293013162 |
20 | -11 | -8.06832170799926 | 1.93434549311578 | -15.8660237851165 | 2.93167829200074 |
21 | -11 | -9.63865974891424 | 2.63009868258296 | -14.9914389336687 | 1.36134025108576 |
22 | -12 | -11.3107211193936 | 1.47459399289736 | -14.1638728735038 | 0.689278880606413 |
23 | -10 | -6.23278401606151 | -0.430909170599659 | -13.3363068133388 | 3.76721598393849 |
24 | -15 | -14.9484607797774 | -2.37976770328114 | -12.6717715169415 | 0.0515392202226259 |
25 | -15 | -15.3939653661925 | -2.5987984132633 | -12.0072362205442 | -0.39396536619255 |
26 | -15 | -16.1768697486611 | -2.41656651404875 | -11.4065637372902 | -1.17686974866105 |
27 | -13 | -14.5597710899367 | -0.634337656027088 | -10.8058912540362 | -1.55977108993668 |
28 | -8 | -6.44503289450483 | 0.490751144940244 | -10.0457182504354 | 1.55496710549517 |
29 | -13 | -17.530290047833 | 0.815835294667625 | -9.2855452468346 | -4.53029004783303 |
30 | -9 | -10.6056287579219 | 0.876166857383295 | -8.27053809946137 | -1.60562875792193 |
31 | -7 | -6.98305897748935 | 0.238589929577489 | -7.25553095208814 | 0.0169410225106494 |
32 | -4 | -3.81299479813058 | 1.93434549311578 | -6.1213506949852 | 0.187005201869417 |
33 | -4 | -5.6429282447007 | 2.63009868258296 | -4.98717043788226 | -1.6429282447007 |
34 | -2 | -1.45807525424655 | 1.47459399289736 | -4.01651873865081 | 0.541924745753446 |
35 | 0 | 3.47677621001901 | -0.430909170599659 | -3.04586703941935 | 3.47677621001901 |
36 | -2 | 0.872055048952639 | -2.37976770328114 | -2.4922873456715 | 2.87205504895264 |
37 | -3 | -1.46249393481305 | -2.5987984132633 | -1.93870765192365 | 1.53750606518695 |
38 | 1 | 6.48610098276695 | -2.41656651404875 | -2.06953446871819 | 5.48610098276695 |
39 | -2 | -1.16530105846018 | -0.634337656027088 | -2.20036128551274 | 0.834698941539825 |
40 | -1 | 0.437721478384214 | 0.490751144940244 | -2.92847262332446 | 1.43772147838421 |
41 | 1 | 4.84074866646855 | 0.815835294667625 | -3.65658396113618 | 3.84074866646855 |
42 | -3 | -2.09645377395098 | 0.876166857383295 | -4.77971308343232 | 0.903546226049024 |
43 | -4 | -2.33574772384903 | 0.238589929577489 | -5.90284220572846 | 1.66425227615097 |
44 | -9 | -12.7966073708554 | 1.93434549311578 | -7.1377381222604 | -3.79660737085538 |
45 | -9 | -12.2574646437906 | 2.63009868258296 | -8.37263403879234 | -3.25746464379062 |
46 | -7 | -6.34470060204397 | 1.47459399289736 | -9.12989339085339 | 0.655299397956028 |
47 | -14 | -17.6819380864859 | -0.430909170599659 | -9.88715274291444 | -3.6819380864859 |
48 | -12 | -11.0755387600181 | -2.37976770328114 | -10.5446935367008 | 0.924461239981898 |
49 | -16 | -18.1989672562496 | -2.5987984132633 | -11.2022343304871 | -2.19896725624961 |
50 | -20 | -25.7642443185851 | -2.41656651404875 | -11.8191891673662 | -5.76424431858509 |
51 | -12 | -10.9295183397277 | -0.634337656027088 | -12.4361440042452 | 1.07048166027232 |
52 | -12 | -11.5016828360196 | 0.490751144940244 | -12.9890683089206 | 0.498317163980378 |
53 | -10 | -7.27384268107161 | 0.815835294667625 | -13.541992613596 | 2.72615731892839 |
54 | -10 | -6.84164993006338 | 0.876166857383295 | -14.0345169273199 | 3.15835006993662 |