Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Maand[t] = + 0.00120924323309522 + 0.00408912539054832CVI[t] -0.00115797746764674Econ.Sit.[t] + 0.00106141146337753Werkloos[t] -0.000778164673748723Fin.Sit.[t] -0.000823348155444153`Spaarverm. `[t] -1.82631833698499e-05t + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 0.00120924323309522 | 0.001634 | 0.7402 | 0.462397 | 0.231198 |
CVI | 0.00408912539054832 | 0.00161 | 2.5394 | 0.014016 | 0.007008 |
Econ.Sit. | -0.00115797746764674 | 0.000414 | -2.8 | 0.007074 | 0.003537 |
Werkloos | 0.00106141146337753 | 0.000408 | 2.6016 | 0.01195 | 0.005975 |
Fin.Sit. | -0.000778164673748723 | 0.000682 | -1.1407 | 0.259038 | 0.129519 |
`Spaarverm. ` | -0.000823348155444153 | 0.000404 | -2.0399 | 0.046264 | 0.023132 |
t | -1.82631833698499e-05 | 6.1e-05 | -0.3018 | 0.76397 | 0.381985 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.39857688320753 |
R-squared | 0.158863531827429 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.0654039242526993 |
F-TEST (value) | 1.69980953215968 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 6 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 54 |
p-value | 0.138838639404076 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 0.00373379524303528 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 0.000752826253513296 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 0.00135685210312076 | 0.00347473690580704 | -0.00211788480268628 |
2 | 0.00154228855721393 | 0.00583506623064656 | -0.00429277767343263 |
3 | 0.00165837479270315 | 0.00272633754338751 | -0.00106796275068436 |
4 | 0.00192786069651741 | 0.00208374703500743 | -0.000155886338490016 |
5 | 0.00220326936744847 | 0.000765895076524149 | 0.00143737429092432 |
6 | 0.00248756218905473 | 0.00566765041721572 | -0.003180088228161 |
7 | 0.00308457711442786 | 0.0030650946644187 | 1.94824500091616e-05 |
8 | 0.00373134328358209 | 0.00234733032286804 | 0.00138401296071405 |
9 | 0.00514096185737977 | 0.00275855909283428 | 0.00238240276454549 |
10 | 0.00696517412935323 | 0.00466130088775974 | 0.0023038732415935 |
11 | 0.0154228855721393 | 0.00443756565077713 | 0.0109853199213622 |
12 | 0.00128588020574083 | 0.00457339199844625 | -0.00328751179270542 |
13 | 0.00135752748993167 | 0.00207388526552197 | -0.000716357775590302 |
14 | 0.001543056246889 | 0.00163599203500529 | -9.29357881162942e-05 |
15 | 0.00165920026547204 | 0.00378925118674097 | -0.00213005092126893 |
16 | 0.00192882030861125 | 0.00343635869116853 | -0.00150753838255728 |
17 | 0.00220436606698429 | 0.00491692550322182 | -0.00271255943623754 |
18 | 0.00248880039820806 | 0.00305531807377019 | -0.000566517675562125 |
19 | 0.003086112493778 | 0.0064420366757438 | -0.0033559241819658 |
20 | 0.0037332005973121 | 0.00189476684543251 | 0.00183843375187958 |
21 | 0.00514352082296333 | 0.00547710642454977 | -0.000333585601586437 |
22 | 0.00696864111498258 | 0.00635996613264012 | 0.000608674982342462 |
23 | 0.01543056246889 | 0.00719507324861426 | 0.00823548922027574 |
24 | 0.00128652058432935 | 0.00284484171429489 | -0.00155832112996554 |
25 | 0.00135820354943861 | 0.00235056591886082 | -0.000992362369422208 |
26 | 0.00154382470119522 | 0.00410346648160837 | -0.00255964178041315 |
27 | 0.00166002656042497 | 0.00326513245072573 | -0.00160510589030076 |
28 | 0.00192978087649402 | 0.00470433985715925 | -0.00277455898066523 |
29 | 0.00220546385885031 | 0.00457493590770339 | -0.00236947204885308 |
30 | 0.00249003984063745 | 0.00314937689841132 | -0.000659337057773868 |
31 | 0.00308764940239044 | 0.00288294507877624 | 0.0002047043236142 |
32 | 0.00373505976095618 | 0.00290475133095569 | 0.000830308430000486 |
33 | 0.0051460823373174 | 0.0024917661981927 | 0.00265431613912469 |
34 | 0.00722111553784861 | 0.00457778685562523 | 0.00264332868222338 |
35 | 0.0154382470119522 | 0.00374226055388706 | 0.0116959864580651 |
36 | 0.00128716160106295 | 0.00343709647573539 | -0.00214993487467244 |
37 | 0.0013588802826471 | 0.00150405152964403 | -0.000145171246996931 |
38 | 0.00154459392127554 | 0.00295044534577275 | -0.00140585142449721 |
39 | 0.0016608536787909 | 0.00346851541926271 | -0.00180766174047182 |
40 | 0.00193074240159442 | 0.00528982837301911 | -0.0033590859714247 |
41 | 0.00220656274467934 | 0.00230980854686906 | -0.000103245802189721 |
42 | 0.00249128051818635 | 0.00162483167481937 | 0.000866448843366976 |
43 | 0.00308918784255107 | 0.00442881036500755 | -0.00133962252245648 |
44 | 0.00373692077727952 | 0.0033743201730098 | 0.000362600604269719 |
45 | 0.00514864640425179 | 0.00270054238418208 | 0.0024481040200697 |
46 | 0.00697558545092177 | 0.00472367328639823 | 0.00225191216452355 |
47 | 0.0154459392127554 | 0.00550742205449402 | 0.00993851715826134 |
48 | 0.00128780325689598 | 0.00495100824732611 | -0.00366320499043013 |
49 | 0.00135955769056467 | 0.00439203013315633 | -0.00303247244259166 |
50 | 0.00154536390827517 | 0.00212676263208976 | -0.000581398723814586 |
51 | 0.00166168162180126 | 0.0022261736493626 | -0.000564492027561335 |
52 | 0.00193170488534397 | 0.00272947274585541 | -0.000797767860511447 |
53 | 0.00220766272610739 | 0.00400398092831713 | -0.00179631820220974 |
54 | 0.00249252243270189 | 0.00557489052906584 | -0.00308236809636394 |
55 | 0.00309072781655035 | 0.00292740347687387 | 0.000163324339676482 |
56 | 0.00373878364905284 | 0.00387678287063816 | -0.000137999221585317 |
57 | 0.00515121302758392 | 0.00696121123242931 | -0.0018099982048454 |
58 | 0.0069790628115653 | 0.00670499874492861 | 0.000274064066636695 |
59 | 0.0154536390827517 | 0.00632449086268372 | 0.00912914822006802 |
60 | 0.0012884455527847 | 0.00540122267509561 | -0.00411277712231091 |
61 | 0.00136023577420086 | 0.00609231172637569 | -0.00473207595217483 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
10 | 0.00115790280254302 | 0.00231580560508604 | 0.998842097197457 |
11 | 0.209530987231231 | 0.419061974462462 | 0.790469012768769 |
12 | 0.636484428500173 | 0.727031142999653 | 0.363515571499827 |
13 | 0.616015105136433 | 0.767969789727134 | 0.383984894863567 |
14 | 0.521409955812984 | 0.957180088374032 | 0.478590044187016 |
15 | 0.420246288307893 | 0.840492576615787 | 0.579753711692107 |
16 | 0.322799258948995 | 0.645598517897989 | 0.677200741051005 |
17 | 0.256826273147763 | 0.513652546295525 | 0.743173726852237 |
18 | 0.191211302783624 | 0.382422605567249 | 0.808788697216376 |
19 | 0.206963844180957 | 0.413927688361915 | 0.793036155819043 |
20 | 0.162278276197208 | 0.324556552394416 | 0.837721723802792 |
21 | 0.119229285554189 | 0.238458571108378 | 0.880770714445811 |
22 | 0.0946278802764444 | 0.189255760552889 | 0.905372119723556 |
23 | 0.483179338557743 | 0.966358677115485 | 0.516820661442257 |
24 | 0.449447261196486 | 0.898894522392972 | 0.550552738803514 |
25 | 0.408197461240495 | 0.81639492248099 | 0.591802538759505 |
26 | 0.330792207562771 | 0.661584415125542 | 0.669207792437229 |
27 | 0.261425102360038 | 0.522850204720075 | 0.738574897639962 |
28 | 0.213841937037309 | 0.427683874074618 | 0.786158062962691 |
29 | 0.1621262379286 | 0.3242524758572 | 0.8378737620714 |
30 | 0.141406507508128 | 0.282813015016256 | 0.858593492491872 |
31 | 0.10984372383816 | 0.21968744767632 | 0.89015627616184 |
32 | 0.110251017192543 | 0.220502034385085 | 0.889748982807457 |
33 | 0.104185679587659 | 0.208371359175317 | 0.895814320412341 |
34 | 0.0835707552909103 | 0.167141510581821 | 0.91642924470909 |
35 | 0.608879964007937 | 0.782240071984126 | 0.391120035992063 |
36 | 0.576134356813064 | 0.847731286373872 | 0.423865643186936 |
37 | 0.572735854114784 | 0.854528291770431 | 0.427264145885215 |
38 | 0.515175361823646 | 0.969649276352708 | 0.484824638176354 |
39 | 0.451609340701976 | 0.903218681403953 | 0.548390659298024 |
40 | 0.467699161443085 | 0.93539832288617 | 0.532300838556915 |
41 | 0.380014752157586 | 0.760029504315172 | 0.619985247842414 |
42 | 0.305366120499919 | 0.610732240999838 | 0.694633879500081 |
43 | 0.311590033097799 | 0.623180066195598 | 0.688409966902201 |
44 | 0.229851204842053 | 0.459702409684106 | 0.770148795157947 |
45 | 0.165177780826118 | 0.330355561652235 | 0.834822219173882 |
46 | 0.126715600722444 | 0.253431201444888 | 0.873284399277556 |
47 | 0.581320573617392 | 0.837358852765217 | 0.418679426382608 |
48 | 0.672603029999715 | 0.65479394000057 | 0.327396970000285 |
49 | 0.561261500325943 | 0.877476999348114 | 0.438738499674057 |
50 | 0.419775739695067 | 0.839551479390133 | 0.580224260304933 |
51 | 0.369645569773361 | 0.739291139546721 | 0.63035443022664 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 1 | 0.0238095238095238 | NOK |
5% type I error level | 1 | 0.0238095238095238 | OK |
10% type I error level | 1 | 0.0238095238095238 | OK |