Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.496747147581487
beta0.0590114706957529
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1337.3934.69461805555562.69538194444445
1437.4236.05503424134891.36496575865105
1537.4236.75833228735870.661667712641346
1643.4943.19958168337130.29041831662871
1744.344.20034392610690.0996560738931294
1844.3644.34635019843080.0136498015692297
1944.5243.2529498942471.26705010575296
2044.6644.57139797700070.0886020229992823
2144.7745.3299692629272-0.559969262927233
2244.7745.4374497969304-0.667449796930377
2344.8245.1344742059104-0.314474205910393
2444.9744.9855364719553-0.0155364719553148
2545.2846.4944317571624-1.21443175716239
2645.545.27285191851530.227148081484685
2745.5245.05338031420630.466619685793702
2845.5251.2015650298769-5.68156502987691
2945.1748.9553557207326-3.78535572073263
3045.2546.8299219675288-1.57992196752879
3145.3245.23069450268430.0893054973156637
3245.4144.99151759730190.418482402698103
3345.4445.21770435779710.222295642202916
3445.4445.31275769443910.127242305560941
3545.4645.25854936848670.201450631513346
3645.5345.20783105717930.322168942820724
3745.6145.9825264579969-0.372526457996869
3845.845.63071265366540.16928734633462
3945.8345.22739035794260.602609642057374
4045.8348.0773992765422-2.24739927654223
4145.9648.320406207204-2.36040620720397
4246.0147.8835049975027-1.87350499750266
4346.1846.8406805647715-0.660680564771454
4446.3246.23482059448410.0851794055159445
4546.5146.02714927995440.482850720045597
4646.5146.04187538460.468124615399951
4746.5646.04241611347310.517583886526857
4846.5446.0668261780040.473173821995992
4946.6246.42869015221760.191309847782414
5046.7646.50792271269120.252077287308808
5146.8246.24451659712630.575483402873743
5246.8247.5267001752741-0.706700175274086
5346.748.4032623028687-1.70326230286868
5446.7248.4821816207908-1.76218162079076
5546.4748.0526291670664-1.58262916706639
5646.7447.2847392715736-0.544739271573597
5746.8946.86641083264690.0235891673531015
5846.8946.53425038312430.355749616875727
5946.9646.38922680163230.570773198367675
6047.646.30463532356081.29536467643918
6147.6746.84409924219340.825900757806608
6247.5847.19877450426540.381225495734576
6347.5847.09569335502180.484306644978219
6447.5847.6180657723565-0.0380657723564894
6547.5748.2755907772908-0.705590777290816
6647.5348.8000381665563-1.27003816655629
6747.6848.6993323408347-1.01933234083472
6847.5648.7441074329266-1.18410743292664
6947.8148.2859731396467-0.475973139646747
7047.8147.8499587213834-0.0399587213833641
7147.8147.58212116385780.227878836142231
7247.8147.6473408693450.162659130654966
7348.1247.31016385375610.809836146243889
7448.1347.35489042819060.775109571809402
7548.0147.43270764002350.577292359976497


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7647.674472487190845.236716462642550.1122285117391
7747.952175995026345.197684170119950.7066678199326
7848.500950666073145.431718860248551.5701824718978
7949.1524175523945.768375081199152.5364600235809
8049.645616479419945.945330417686253.3459025411536
8150.191762380638846.172867337001954.2106574242758
8250.285271935060145.944746878742554.6257969913777
8350.246905287922845.58125944460354.9125511312425
8450.234256353441745.239658221215355.228854485668
8550.205355928557344.877725227734455.5329866293801
8649.869966472049844.205041115137255.5348918289624
8749.480120759998443.473506508530855.486735011466