Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 1 |
beta | 0 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 14.87 | 14.76 | 0.109999999999998 |
4 | 14.94 | 14.92 | 0.0199999999999996 |
5 | 15.01 | 14.99 | 0.0199999999999996 |
6 | 15.03 | 15.06 | -0.0300000000000011 |
7 | 15.04 | 15.08 | -0.0400000000000009 |
8 | 15.05 | 15.09 | -0.0399999999999991 |
9 | 15.06 | 15.1 | -0.0400000000000009 |
10 | 15.11 | 15.11 | -1.77635683940025e-15 |
11 | 15.23 | 15.16 | 0.0700000000000003 |
12 | 15.23 | 15.28 | -0.0500000000000007 |
13 | 15.25 | 15.28 | -0.0300000000000011 |
14 | 15.33 | 15.3 | 0.0299999999999994 |
15 | 15.38 | 15.38 | 0 |
16 | 15.52 | 15.43 | 0.0899999999999981 |
17 | 15.59 | 15.57 | 0.0199999999999996 |
18 | 15.66 | 15.64 | 0.0199999999999996 |
19 | 15.67 | 15.71 | -0.0400000000000009 |
20 | 15.72 | 15.72 | 0 |
21 | 15.75 | 15.77 | -0.0200000000000014 |
22 | 15.77 | 15.8 | -0.0300000000000011 |
23 | 15.79 | 15.82 | -0.0300000000000011 |
24 | 15.79 | 15.84 | -0.0500000000000007 |
25 | 16.49 | 15.84 | 0.649999999999999 |
26 | 16.67 | 16.54 | 0.130000000000003 |
27 | 16.64 | 16.72 | -0.0800000000000018 |
28 | 16.66 | 16.69 | -0.0300000000000011 |
29 | 16.73 | 16.71 | 0.0199999999999996 |
30 | 16.76 | 16.78 | -0.0199999999999996 |
31 | 16.76 | 16.81 | -0.0500000000000007 |
32 | 16.76 | 16.81 | -0.0500000000000007 |
33 | 16.76 | 16.81 | -0.0500000000000007 |
34 | 16.79 | 16.81 | -0.0200000000000031 |
35 | 16.8 | 16.84 | -0.0399999999999991 |
36 | 16.81 | 16.85 | -0.0400000000000027 |
37 | 16.91 | 16.86 | 0.0500000000000007 |
38 | 17.03 | 16.96 | 0.0700000000000003 |
39 | 17.12 | 17.08 | 0.0399999999999991 |
40 | 17.2 | 17.17 | 0.0299999999999976 |
41 | 17.25 | 17.25 | 0 |
42 | 17.25 | 17.3 | -0.0500000000000007 |
43 | 17.3 | 17.3 | 0 |
44 | 17.27 | 17.35 | -0.0800000000000018 |
45 | 17.31 | 17.32 | -0.0100000000000016 |
46 | 17.33 | 17.36 | -0.0300000000000011 |
47 | 17.35 | 17.38 | -0.0299999999999976 |
48 | 17.36 | 17.4 | -0.0400000000000027 |
49 | 17.39 | 17.41 | -0.0199999999999996 |
50 | 17.42 | 17.44 | -0.0199999999999996 |
51 | 17.54 | 17.47 | 0.0699999999999967 |
52 | 17.59 | 17.59 | 0 |
53 | 17.64 | 17.64 | 0 |
54 | 17.63 | 17.69 | -0.0600000000000023 |
55 | 17.67 | 17.68 | -0.00999999999999801 |
56 | 17.7 | 17.72 | -0.0200000000000031 |
57 | 17.78 | 17.75 | 0.0300000000000011 |
58 | 17.87 | 17.83 | 0.0399999999999991 |
59 | 17.9 | 17.92 | -0.0200000000000031 |
60 | 17.91 | 17.95 | -0.0399999999999991 |
61 | 17.93 | 17.96 | -0.0300000000000011 |
62 | 17.97 | 17.98 | -0.0100000000000016 |
63 | 18.08 | 18.02 | 0.0599999999999987 |
64 | 18.08 | 18.13 | -0.0500000000000007 |
65 | 18.09 | 18.13 | -0.0399999999999991 |
66 | 18.09 | 18.14 | -0.0500000000000007 |
67 | 18.12 | 18.14 | -0.0199999999999996 |
68 | 18.13 | 18.17 | -0.0400000000000027 |
69 | 18.15 | 18.18 | -0.0300000000000011 |
70 | 18.17 | 18.2 | -0.0299999999999976 |
71 | 18.19 | 18.22 | -0.0300000000000011 |
72 | 18.2 | 18.24 | -0.0400000000000027 |
73 | 18.21 | 18.25 | -0.0399999999999991 |
74 | 18.39 | 18.26 | 0.129999999999999 |
75 | 18.48 | 18.44 | 0.0399999999999991 |
76 | 18.48 | 18.53 | -0.0500000000000007 |
77 | 18.5 | 18.53 | -0.0300000000000011 |
78 | 18.52 | 18.55 | -0.0300000000000011 |
79 | 18.48 | 18.57 | -0.0899999999999999 |
80 | 18.53 | 18.53 | 0 |
81 | 18.62 | 18.58 | 0.0399999999999991 |
82 | 18.65 | 18.67 | -0.0200000000000031 |
83 | 18.7 | 18.7 | 0 |
84 | 18.72 | 18.75 | -0.0300000000000011 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
85 | 18.77 | 18.6025829172346 | 18.9374170827654 |
86 | 18.82 | 18.5832364909802 | 19.0567635090198 |
87 | 18.87 | 18.5800251065953 | 19.1599748934047 |
88 | 18.92 | 18.5851658344692 | 19.2548341655308 |
89 | 18.97 | 18.5956440223418 | 19.3443559776582 |
90 | 19.02 | 18.6099135729994 | 19.4300864270006 |
91 | 19.07 | 18.6270560337788 | 19.5129439662212 |
92 | 19.12 | 18.6464729819604 | 19.5935270180396 |
93 | 19.17 | 18.6677487517038 | 19.6722512482962 |
94 | 19.22 | 18.6905806992404 | 19.7494193007596 |
95 | 19.27 | 18.7147403529713 | 19.8252596470287 |
96 | 19.32 | 18.7400502131907 | 19.8999497868093 |