Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.0725975572270489
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
3100.1100.3-0.200000000000017
4100.2100.685480488555-0.485480488554586
5100.1100.750235791004-0.65023579100415
6100.4100.603030260956-0.203030260955629
799.8100.888290759967-1.08829075996709
899.7100.209283509241-0.509283509240703
999.4100.072310770534-0.672310770533812
10100.299.72350265089560.476497349104363
11100.5100.558095194466-0.0580951944657784
12100.6100.853877625261-0.253877625260927
13100.9100.935446729832-0.0354467298323584
14101.9101.2328733838350.667126616165135
15102.1102.28130514653-0.18130514652961
16102.6102.4681428357790.131857164221145
17103.5102.9777153438040.522284656195808
18103.9103.915631934021-0.0156319340211724
19103.7104.314497093797-0.614497093796516
20103104.069886105864-1.06988610586376
21103.1103.292214988067-0.192214988066894
22103.2103.378260649471-0.178260649470801
23103.2103.46531936177-0.265319361769528
24103.1103.44605782422-0.346057824220026
25103.7103.3209348715220.379065128477677
26104.2103.948454073880.25154592612023
27104.4104.466715693647-0.0667156936465148
28104.9104.6618722972590.238127702740925
29105.4105.1791597867860.220840213213847
30105.9105.6951922468030.204807753197031
31105.5106.210060789386-0.710060789386247
32106.1105.7585121105940.341487889405911
33105.4106.383303297188-0.983303297187561
34105.7105.6119178797980.0880821202015341
35106.2105.918312426560.281687573439527
36106.7106.4387622562930.261237743706602
37106.8106.957727478342-0.157727478342011
38106.8107.046276848707-0.246276848706785
39106.8107.028397751089-0.228397751089105
40107.3107.0118166322840.288183367716115
41107.3107.532738040814-0.23273804081353
42107.5107.515841827577-0.015841827576665
43107.4107.714691749593-0.314691749592583
44106.9107.591845897293-0.691845897292652
45108.1107.0416195751721.05838042482833
46108.6108.3184554086310.281544591368885
47108.2108.838894858215-0.638894858214982
48108.3108.392512652184-0.0925126521836575
49108.3108.485796459623-0.185796459622523
50109.3108.4723080905120.827691909487498
51109.2109.532396501278-0.33239650127787
52109.4109.408265327254-0.00826532725429274
53109.7109.6076652846860.0923347153140526
54109.6109.914368559465-0.314368559465009
55109.3109.791546169979-0.491546169978847
56108.4109.455861118774-1.05586111877408
57108.7108.479208180780.22079181921994
58109.4108.7952371275110.604762872488863
59109109.539141434755-0.53914143475545
60110.3109.1000010835921.19999891640768
61109.5110.487118073599-0.987118073598623
62109.7109.6154557127610.0845442872393107
63109.5109.821593421492-0.32159342149177
64110.9109.5982465246711.30175347532882
65110.9111.092750647092-0.19275064709187
66110.4111.078757420959-0.678757420959073
67111.1110.5294812902480.570518709752278
68110.8111.270899554928-0.470899554928053
69111.3110.9367133975410.363286602459027
70111.7111.4630871174530.236912882547202
71112.2111.8802864140010.319713585998642
72111.7112.403496839357-0.703496839357157
73111.3111.852424687303-0.552424687302889
74111.9111.4123200044530.487679995547239
75111.7112.047724380838-0.347724380838002
76111.8111.822480440201-0.02248044020088
77111.5111.920848415157-0.420848415156897
78112.9111.5902958482541.30970415174637
79112113.085377170361-1.08537717036054
80112.4112.1065814391220.29341856087764
81111.1112.527882909887-1.42788290988716
82111.7111.1242220986230.57577790137691
83111.4111.766022167768-0.366022167768378
84112.2111.4394498524970.760550147502556
85112.5112.2946639353550.205336064645195
86113.2112.6095708320590.590429167941352
87114.7113.3524345473671.34756545263321
88115.2114.9502645074320.249735492568462
89114.1115.468394694145-1.36839469414491
90113.7114.269052582028-0.56905258202751
91115.5113.8277407546391.67225924536142
92115115.749142690902-0.749142690902161
93115.4115.1947567615280.205243238471837
94115115.609656919279-0.609656919278606
95114.6115.165397316192-0.565397316192403
96114.6114.724350852174-0.124350852174103
97114.5114.715323284067-0.215323284067154
98115.2114.599691339630.600308660370217
99116.3115.3432722819550.956727718045101
100116.5116.512728377216-0.0127283772163764
101118.4116.7118043281231.688195671877
102118.5118.734363210023-0.234363210022565
103118.7118.817349013471-0.117349013471028
104119.2119.008829761750.191170238249967
105119.5119.522708254061-0.0227082540614845
106118.5119.821059690288-1.32105969028773
107118.6118.725153983822-0.125153983821733
108118.2118.816068110319-0.61606811031902
109118.6118.3713430704240.228656929575607
110120.6118.7879430049551.81205699504538
111124.5120.9194939163513.58050608364891
112124.6125.079429911661-0.479429911660603
113126.5125.1446244712121.35537552878755
114126127.143021423728-1.14302142372775
115126.3126.560040860507-0.260040860506933
116126.3126.841162529255-0.541162529254905
117125.1126.801875451568-1.7018754515682
118126.7125.478323451081.22167654892036
119123.9127.167014184253-3.26701418425284
120123.6124.12983693505-0.529836935049985
121124.9123.7913720678371.10862793216333
122126.2125.1718557475851.02814425241459
123126.3126.546496508788-0.246496508787743
124126.4126.628601464385-0.228601464384738
125126.2126.712005556492-0.5120055564919
126125.8126.474835203804-0.674835203803909
127124.9126.025843816477-1.12584381647692
128126.2125.0441103055821.15588969441848
129125.9126.42802507382-0.528025073820217
130124.6126.089691743306-1.48969174330625
131122.9124.681543761721-1.7815437617209
132119.9122.852208036527-2.95220803652688


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
133119.637884944649117.953708581719121.322061307579
134119.375769889298116.906015251751121.845524526845
135119.113654833947115.980028767035122.247280900859
136118.851539778596115.106393376032122.59668618116
137118.589424723245114.259399988854122.919449457636
138118.327309667894113.426443552484123.228175783304
139118.065194612543112.600385054892123.530004170193
140117.803079557192111.776805655051123.829353459332
141117.540964501841110.952801776892124.129127226789
142117.27884944649110.126383100936124.431315792043
143117.016734391139109.296142715122124.737326067156
144116.754619335788108.461063428731125.048175242844