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Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_exponentialsmoothing.wasp
Title produced by softwareExponential Smoothing
Date of computationSun, 15 Jan 2012 09:02:21 -0500
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2012/Jan/15/t1326636174fbot8wkj54drxn0.htm/, Retrieved Fri, 03 May 2024 12:37:16 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=161078, Retrieved Fri, 03 May 2024 12:37:16 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywordsKDGP2W102
Estimated Impact131
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-       [Exponential Smoothing] [] [2012-01-15 14:02:21] [76c30f62b7052b57088120e90a652e05] [Current]
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Dataseries X:
99,1
99,7
100,1
100,2
100,1
100,4
99,8
99,7
99,4
100,2
100,5
100,6
100,9
101,9
102,1
102,6
103,5
103,9
103,7
103
103,1
103,2
103,2
103,1
103,7
104,2
104,4
104,9
105,4
105,9
105,5
106,1
105,4
105,7
106,2
106,7
106,8
106,8
106,8
107,3
107,3
107,5
107,4
106,9
108,1
108,6
108,2
108,3
108,3
109,3
109,2
109,4
109,7
109,6
109,3
108,4
108,7
109,4
109
110,3
109,5
109,7
109,5
110,9
110,9
110,4
111,1
110,8
111,3
111,7
112,2
111,7
111,3
111,9
111,7
111,8
111,5
112,9
112
112,4
111,1
111,7
111,4
112,2
112,5
113,2
114,7
115,2
114,1
113,7
115,5
115
115,4
115
114,6
114,6
114,5
115,2
116,3
116,5
118,4
118,5
118,7
119,2
119,5
118,5
118,6
118,2
118,6
120,6
124,5
124,6
126,5
126
126,3
126,3
125,1
126,7
123,9
123,6
124,9
126,2
126,3
126,4
126,2
125,8
124,9
126,2
125,9
124,6
122,9
119,9




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 1 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=161078&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]1 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=161078&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=161078&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net







Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.0725975572270489
gammaFALSE

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
Parameter & Value \tabularnewline
alpha & 1 \tabularnewline
beta & 0.0725975572270489 \tabularnewline
gamma & FALSE \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=161078&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Parameter[/C][C]Value[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]alpha[/C][C]1[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]beta[/C][C]0.0725975572270489[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]gamma[/C][C]FALSE[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=161078&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=161078&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.0725975572270489
gammaFALSE







Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
3100.1100.3-0.200000000000017
4100.2100.685480488555-0.485480488554586
5100.1100.750235791004-0.65023579100415
6100.4100.603030260956-0.203030260955629
799.8100.888290759967-1.08829075996709
899.7100.209283509241-0.509283509240703
999.4100.072310770534-0.672310770533812
10100.299.72350265089560.476497349104363
11100.5100.558095194466-0.0580951944657784
12100.6100.853877625261-0.253877625260927
13100.9100.935446729832-0.0354467298323584
14101.9101.2328733838350.667126616165135
15102.1102.28130514653-0.18130514652961
16102.6102.4681428357790.131857164221145
17103.5102.9777153438040.522284656195808
18103.9103.915631934021-0.0156319340211724
19103.7104.314497093797-0.614497093796516
20103104.069886105864-1.06988610586376
21103.1103.292214988067-0.192214988066894
22103.2103.378260649471-0.178260649470801
23103.2103.46531936177-0.265319361769528
24103.1103.44605782422-0.346057824220026
25103.7103.3209348715220.379065128477677
26104.2103.948454073880.25154592612023
27104.4104.466715693647-0.0667156936465148
28104.9104.6618722972590.238127702740925
29105.4105.1791597867860.220840213213847
30105.9105.6951922468030.204807753197031
31105.5106.210060789386-0.710060789386247
32106.1105.7585121105940.341487889405911
33105.4106.383303297188-0.983303297187561
34105.7105.6119178797980.0880821202015341
35106.2105.918312426560.281687573439527
36106.7106.4387622562930.261237743706602
37106.8106.957727478342-0.157727478342011
38106.8107.046276848707-0.246276848706785
39106.8107.028397751089-0.228397751089105
40107.3107.0118166322840.288183367716115
41107.3107.532738040814-0.23273804081353
42107.5107.515841827577-0.015841827576665
43107.4107.714691749593-0.314691749592583
44106.9107.591845897293-0.691845897292652
45108.1107.0416195751721.05838042482833
46108.6108.3184554086310.281544591368885
47108.2108.838894858215-0.638894858214982
48108.3108.392512652184-0.0925126521836575
49108.3108.485796459623-0.185796459622523
50109.3108.4723080905120.827691909487498
51109.2109.532396501278-0.33239650127787
52109.4109.408265327254-0.00826532725429274
53109.7109.6076652846860.0923347153140526
54109.6109.914368559465-0.314368559465009
55109.3109.791546169979-0.491546169978847
56108.4109.455861118774-1.05586111877408
57108.7108.479208180780.22079181921994
58109.4108.7952371275110.604762872488863
59109109.539141434755-0.53914143475545
60110.3109.1000010835921.19999891640768
61109.5110.487118073599-0.987118073598623
62109.7109.6154557127610.0845442872393107
63109.5109.821593421492-0.32159342149177
64110.9109.5982465246711.30175347532882
65110.9111.092750647092-0.19275064709187
66110.4111.078757420959-0.678757420959073
67111.1110.5294812902480.570518709752278
68110.8111.270899554928-0.470899554928053
69111.3110.9367133975410.363286602459027
70111.7111.4630871174530.236912882547202
71112.2111.8802864140010.319713585998642
72111.7112.403496839357-0.703496839357157
73111.3111.852424687303-0.552424687302889
74111.9111.4123200044530.487679995547239
75111.7112.047724380838-0.347724380838002
76111.8111.822480440201-0.02248044020088
77111.5111.920848415157-0.420848415156897
78112.9111.5902958482541.30970415174637
79112113.085377170361-1.08537717036054
80112.4112.1065814391220.29341856087764
81111.1112.527882909887-1.42788290988716
82111.7111.1242220986230.57577790137691
83111.4111.766022167768-0.366022167768378
84112.2111.4394498524970.760550147502556
85112.5112.2946639353550.205336064645195
86113.2112.6095708320590.590429167941352
87114.7113.3524345473671.34756545263321
88115.2114.9502645074320.249735492568462
89114.1115.468394694145-1.36839469414491
90113.7114.269052582028-0.56905258202751
91115.5113.8277407546391.67225924536142
92115115.749142690902-0.749142690902161
93115.4115.1947567615280.205243238471837
94115115.609656919279-0.609656919278606
95114.6115.165397316192-0.565397316192403
96114.6114.724350852174-0.124350852174103
97114.5114.715323284067-0.215323284067154
98115.2114.599691339630.600308660370217
99116.3115.3432722819550.956727718045101
100116.5116.512728377216-0.0127283772163764
101118.4116.7118043281231.688195671877
102118.5118.734363210023-0.234363210022565
103118.7118.817349013471-0.117349013471028
104119.2119.008829761750.191170238249967
105119.5119.522708254061-0.0227082540614845
106118.5119.821059690288-1.32105969028773
107118.6118.725153983822-0.125153983821733
108118.2118.816068110319-0.61606811031902
109118.6118.3713430704240.228656929575607
110120.6118.7879430049551.81205699504538
111124.5120.9194939163513.58050608364891
112124.6125.079429911661-0.479429911660603
113126.5125.1446244712121.35537552878755
114126127.143021423728-1.14302142372775
115126.3126.560040860507-0.260040860506933
116126.3126.841162529255-0.541162529254905
117125.1126.801875451568-1.7018754515682
118126.7125.478323451081.22167654892036
119123.9127.167014184253-3.26701418425284
120123.6124.12983693505-0.529836935049985
121124.9123.7913720678371.10862793216333
122126.2125.1718557475851.02814425241459
123126.3126.546496508788-0.246496508787743
124126.4126.628601464385-0.228601464384738
125126.2126.712005556492-0.5120055564919
126125.8126.474835203804-0.674835203803909
127124.9126.025843816477-1.12584381647692
128126.2125.0441103055821.15588969441848
129125.9126.42802507382-0.528025073820217
130124.6126.089691743306-1.48969174330625
131122.9124.681543761721-1.7815437617209
132119.9122.852208036527-2.95220803652688

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
t & Observed & Fitted & Residuals \tabularnewline
3 & 100.1 & 100.3 & -0.200000000000017 \tabularnewline
4 & 100.2 & 100.685480488555 & -0.485480488554586 \tabularnewline
5 & 100.1 & 100.750235791004 & -0.65023579100415 \tabularnewline
6 & 100.4 & 100.603030260956 & -0.203030260955629 \tabularnewline
7 & 99.8 & 100.888290759967 & -1.08829075996709 \tabularnewline
8 & 99.7 & 100.209283509241 & -0.509283509240703 \tabularnewline
9 & 99.4 & 100.072310770534 & -0.672310770533812 \tabularnewline
10 & 100.2 & 99.7235026508956 & 0.476497349104363 \tabularnewline
11 & 100.5 & 100.558095194466 & -0.0580951944657784 \tabularnewline
12 & 100.6 & 100.853877625261 & -0.253877625260927 \tabularnewline
13 & 100.9 & 100.935446729832 & -0.0354467298323584 \tabularnewline
14 & 101.9 & 101.232873383835 & 0.667126616165135 \tabularnewline
15 & 102.1 & 102.28130514653 & -0.18130514652961 \tabularnewline
16 & 102.6 & 102.468142835779 & 0.131857164221145 \tabularnewline
17 & 103.5 & 102.977715343804 & 0.522284656195808 \tabularnewline
18 & 103.9 & 103.915631934021 & -0.0156319340211724 \tabularnewline
19 & 103.7 & 104.314497093797 & -0.614497093796516 \tabularnewline
20 & 103 & 104.069886105864 & -1.06988610586376 \tabularnewline
21 & 103.1 & 103.292214988067 & -0.192214988066894 \tabularnewline
22 & 103.2 & 103.378260649471 & -0.178260649470801 \tabularnewline
23 & 103.2 & 103.46531936177 & -0.265319361769528 \tabularnewline
24 & 103.1 & 103.44605782422 & -0.346057824220026 \tabularnewline
25 & 103.7 & 103.320934871522 & 0.379065128477677 \tabularnewline
26 & 104.2 & 103.94845407388 & 0.25154592612023 \tabularnewline
27 & 104.4 & 104.466715693647 & -0.0667156936465148 \tabularnewline
28 & 104.9 & 104.661872297259 & 0.238127702740925 \tabularnewline
29 & 105.4 & 105.179159786786 & 0.220840213213847 \tabularnewline
30 & 105.9 & 105.695192246803 & 0.204807753197031 \tabularnewline
31 & 105.5 & 106.210060789386 & -0.710060789386247 \tabularnewline
32 & 106.1 & 105.758512110594 & 0.341487889405911 \tabularnewline
33 & 105.4 & 106.383303297188 & -0.983303297187561 \tabularnewline
34 & 105.7 & 105.611917879798 & 0.0880821202015341 \tabularnewline
35 & 106.2 & 105.91831242656 & 0.281687573439527 \tabularnewline
36 & 106.7 & 106.438762256293 & 0.261237743706602 \tabularnewline
37 & 106.8 & 106.957727478342 & -0.157727478342011 \tabularnewline
38 & 106.8 & 107.046276848707 & -0.246276848706785 \tabularnewline
39 & 106.8 & 107.028397751089 & -0.228397751089105 \tabularnewline
40 & 107.3 & 107.011816632284 & 0.288183367716115 \tabularnewline
41 & 107.3 & 107.532738040814 & -0.23273804081353 \tabularnewline
42 & 107.5 & 107.515841827577 & -0.015841827576665 \tabularnewline
43 & 107.4 & 107.714691749593 & -0.314691749592583 \tabularnewline
44 & 106.9 & 107.591845897293 & -0.691845897292652 \tabularnewline
45 & 108.1 & 107.041619575172 & 1.05838042482833 \tabularnewline
46 & 108.6 & 108.318455408631 & 0.281544591368885 \tabularnewline
47 & 108.2 & 108.838894858215 & -0.638894858214982 \tabularnewline
48 & 108.3 & 108.392512652184 & -0.0925126521836575 \tabularnewline
49 & 108.3 & 108.485796459623 & -0.185796459622523 \tabularnewline
50 & 109.3 & 108.472308090512 & 0.827691909487498 \tabularnewline
51 & 109.2 & 109.532396501278 & -0.33239650127787 \tabularnewline
52 & 109.4 & 109.408265327254 & -0.00826532725429274 \tabularnewline
53 & 109.7 & 109.607665284686 & 0.0923347153140526 \tabularnewline
54 & 109.6 & 109.914368559465 & -0.314368559465009 \tabularnewline
55 & 109.3 & 109.791546169979 & -0.491546169978847 \tabularnewline
56 & 108.4 & 109.455861118774 & -1.05586111877408 \tabularnewline
57 & 108.7 & 108.47920818078 & 0.22079181921994 \tabularnewline
58 & 109.4 & 108.795237127511 & 0.604762872488863 \tabularnewline
59 & 109 & 109.539141434755 & -0.53914143475545 \tabularnewline
60 & 110.3 & 109.100001083592 & 1.19999891640768 \tabularnewline
61 & 109.5 & 110.487118073599 & -0.987118073598623 \tabularnewline
62 & 109.7 & 109.615455712761 & 0.0845442872393107 \tabularnewline
63 & 109.5 & 109.821593421492 & -0.32159342149177 \tabularnewline
64 & 110.9 & 109.598246524671 & 1.30175347532882 \tabularnewline
65 & 110.9 & 111.092750647092 & -0.19275064709187 \tabularnewline
66 & 110.4 & 111.078757420959 & -0.678757420959073 \tabularnewline
67 & 111.1 & 110.529481290248 & 0.570518709752278 \tabularnewline
68 & 110.8 & 111.270899554928 & -0.470899554928053 \tabularnewline
69 & 111.3 & 110.936713397541 & 0.363286602459027 \tabularnewline
70 & 111.7 & 111.463087117453 & 0.236912882547202 \tabularnewline
71 & 112.2 & 111.880286414001 & 0.319713585998642 \tabularnewline
72 & 111.7 & 112.403496839357 & -0.703496839357157 \tabularnewline
73 & 111.3 & 111.852424687303 & -0.552424687302889 \tabularnewline
74 & 111.9 & 111.412320004453 & 0.487679995547239 \tabularnewline
75 & 111.7 & 112.047724380838 & -0.347724380838002 \tabularnewline
76 & 111.8 & 111.822480440201 & -0.02248044020088 \tabularnewline
77 & 111.5 & 111.920848415157 & -0.420848415156897 \tabularnewline
78 & 112.9 & 111.590295848254 & 1.30970415174637 \tabularnewline
79 & 112 & 113.085377170361 & -1.08537717036054 \tabularnewline
80 & 112.4 & 112.106581439122 & 0.29341856087764 \tabularnewline
81 & 111.1 & 112.527882909887 & -1.42788290988716 \tabularnewline
82 & 111.7 & 111.124222098623 & 0.57577790137691 \tabularnewline
83 & 111.4 & 111.766022167768 & -0.366022167768378 \tabularnewline
84 & 112.2 & 111.439449852497 & 0.760550147502556 \tabularnewline
85 & 112.5 & 112.294663935355 & 0.205336064645195 \tabularnewline
86 & 113.2 & 112.609570832059 & 0.590429167941352 \tabularnewline
87 & 114.7 & 113.352434547367 & 1.34756545263321 \tabularnewline
88 & 115.2 & 114.950264507432 & 0.249735492568462 \tabularnewline
89 & 114.1 & 115.468394694145 & -1.36839469414491 \tabularnewline
90 & 113.7 & 114.269052582028 & -0.56905258202751 \tabularnewline
91 & 115.5 & 113.827740754639 & 1.67225924536142 \tabularnewline
92 & 115 & 115.749142690902 & -0.749142690902161 \tabularnewline
93 & 115.4 & 115.194756761528 & 0.205243238471837 \tabularnewline
94 & 115 & 115.609656919279 & -0.609656919278606 \tabularnewline
95 & 114.6 & 115.165397316192 & -0.565397316192403 \tabularnewline
96 & 114.6 & 114.724350852174 & -0.124350852174103 \tabularnewline
97 & 114.5 & 114.715323284067 & -0.215323284067154 \tabularnewline
98 & 115.2 & 114.59969133963 & 0.600308660370217 \tabularnewline
99 & 116.3 & 115.343272281955 & 0.956727718045101 \tabularnewline
100 & 116.5 & 116.512728377216 & -0.0127283772163764 \tabularnewline
101 & 118.4 & 116.711804328123 & 1.688195671877 \tabularnewline
102 & 118.5 & 118.734363210023 & -0.234363210022565 \tabularnewline
103 & 118.7 & 118.817349013471 & -0.117349013471028 \tabularnewline
104 & 119.2 & 119.00882976175 & 0.191170238249967 \tabularnewline
105 & 119.5 & 119.522708254061 & -0.0227082540614845 \tabularnewline
106 & 118.5 & 119.821059690288 & -1.32105969028773 \tabularnewline
107 & 118.6 & 118.725153983822 & -0.125153983821733 \tabularnewline
108 & 118.2 & 118.816068110319 & -0.61606811031902 \tabularnewline
109 & 118.6 & 118.371343070424 & 0.228656929575607 \tabularnewline
110 & 120.6 & 118.787943004955 & 1.81205699504538 \tabularnewline
111 & 124.5 & 120.919493916351 & 3.58050608364891 \tabularnewline
112 & 124.6 & 125.079429911661 & -0.479429911660603 \tabularnewline
113 & 126.5 & 125.144624471212 & 1.35537552878755 \tabularnewline
114 & 126 & 127.143021423728 & -1.14302142372775 \tabularnewline
115 & 126.3 & 126.560040860507 & -0.260040860506933 \tabularnewline
116 & 126.3 & 126.841162529255 & -0.541162529254905 \tabularnewline
117 & 125.1 & 126.801875451568 & -1.7018754515682 \tabularnewline
118 & 126.7 & 125.47832345108 & 1.22167654892036 \tabularnewline
119 & 123.9 & 127.167014184253 & -3.26701418425284 \tabularnewline
120 & 123.6 & 124.12983693505 & -0.529836935049985 \tabularnewline
121 & 124.9 & 123.791372067837 & 1.10862793216333 \tabularnewline
122 & 126.2 & 125.171855747585 & 1.02814425241459 \tabularnewline
123 & 126.3 & 126.546496508788 & -0.246496508787743 \tabularnewline
124 & 126.4 & 126.628601464385 & -0.228601464384738 \tabularnewline
125 & 126.2 & 126.712005556492 & -0.5120055564919 \tabularnewline
126 & 125.8 & 126.474835203804 & -0.674835203803909 \tabularnewline
127 & 124.9 & 126.025843816477 & -1.12584381647692 \tabularnewline
128 & 126.2 & 125.044110305582 & 1.15588969441848 \tabularnewline
129 & 125.9 & 126.42802507382 & -0.528025073820217 \tabularnewline
130 & 124.6 & 126.089691743306 & -1.48969174330625 \tabularnewline
131 & 122.9 & 124.681543761721 & -1.7815437617209 \tabularnewline
132 & 119.9 & 122.852208036527 & -2.95220803652688 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=161078&T=2

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Observed[/C][C]Fitted[/C][C]Residuals[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]3[/C][C]100.1[/C][C]100.3[/C][C]-0.200000000000017[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]4[/C][C]100.2[/C][C]100.685480488555[/C][C]-0.485480488554586[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]5[/C][C]100.1[/C][C]100.750235791004[/C][C]-0.65023579100415[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]6[/C][C]100.4[/C][C]100.603030260956[/C][C]-0.203030260955629[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]7[/C][C]99.8[/C][C]100.888290759967[/C][C]-1.08829075996709[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]8[/C][C]99.7[/C][C]100.209283509241[/C][C]-0.509283509240703[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]9[/C][C]99.4[/C][C]100.072310770534[/C][C]-0.672310770533812[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]10[/C][C]100.2[/C][C]99.7235026508956[/C][C]0.476497349104363[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]11[/C][C]100.5[/C][C]100.558095194466[/C][C]-0.0580951944657784[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]12[/C][C]100.6[/C][C]100.853877625261[/C][C]-0.253877625260927[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]13[/C][C]100.9[/C][C]100.935446729832[/C][C]-0.0354467298323584[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]14[/C][C]101.9[/C][C]101.232873383835[/C][C]0.667126616165135[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]15[/C][C]102.1[/C][C]102.28130514653[/C][C]-0.18130514652961[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]16[/C][C]102.6[/C][C]102.468142835779[/C][C]0.131857164221145[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]17[/C][C]103.5[/C][C]102.977715343804[/C][C]0.522284656195808[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]18[/C][C]103.9[/C][C]103.915631934021[/C][C]-0.0156319340211724[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]19[/C][C]103.7[/C][C]104.314497093797[/C][C]-0.614497093796516[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]20[/C][C]103[/C][C]104.069886105864[/C][C]-1.06988610586376[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]21[/C][C]103.1[/C][C]103.292214988067[/C][C]-0.192214988066894[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]22[/C][C]103.2[/C][C]103.378260649471[/C][C]-0.178260649470801[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]23[/C][C]103.2[/C][C]103.46531936177[/C][C]-0.265319361769528[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]24[/C][C]103.1[/C][C]103.44605782422[/C][C]-0.346057824220026[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]25[/C][C]103.7[/C][C]103.320934871522[/C][C]0.379065128477677[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]26[/C][C]104.2[/C][C]103.94845407388[/C][C]0.25154592612023[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]27[/C][C]104.4[/C][C]104.466715693647[/C][C]-0.0667156936465148[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]28[/C][C]104.9[/C][C]104.661872297259[/C][C]0.238127702740925[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]29[/C][C]105.4[/C][C]105.179159786786[/C][C]0.220840213213847[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]30[/C][C]105.9[/C][C]105.695192246803[/C][C]0.204807753197031[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]31[/C][C]105.5[/C][C]106.210060789386[/C][C]-0.710060789386247[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]32[/C][C]106.1[/C][C]105.758512110594[/C][C]0.341487889405911[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]33[/C][C]105.4[/C][C]106.383303297188[/C][C]-0.983303297187561[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]34[/C][C]105.7[/C][C]105.611917879798[/C][C]0.0880821202015341[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]35[/C][C]106.2[/C][C]105.91831242656[/C][C]0.281687573439527[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]36[/C][C]106.7[/C][C]106.438762256293[/C][C]0.261237743706602[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]37[/C][C]106.8[/C][C]106.957727478342[/C][C]-0.157727478342011[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]38[/C][C]106.8[/C][C]107.046276848707[/C][C]-0.246276848706785[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]39[/C][C]106.8[/C][C]107.028397751089[/C][C]-0.228397751089105[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]40[/C][C]107.3[/C][C]107.011816632284[/C][C]0.288183367716115[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]41[/C][C]107.3[/C][C]107.532738040814[/C][C]-0.23273804081353[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]42[/C][C]107.5[/C][C]107.515841827577[/C][C]-0.015841827576665[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]43[/C][C]107.4[/C][C]107.714691749593[/C][C]-0.314691749592583[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]44[/C][C]106.9[/C][C]107.591845897293[/C][C]-0.691845897292652[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]45[/C][C]108.1[/C][C]107.041619575172[/C][C]1.05838042482833[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]46[/C][C]108.6[/C][C]108.318455408631[/C][C]0.281544591368885[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]47[/C][C]108.2[/C][C]108.838894858215[/C][C]-0.638894858214982[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]48[/C][C]108.3[/C][C]108.392512652184[/C][C]-0.0925126521836575[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]49[/C][C]108.3[/C][C]108.485796459623[/C][C]-0.185796459622523[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]50[/C][C]109.3[/C][C]108.472308090512[/C][C]0.827691909487498[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]51[/C][C]109.2[/C][C]109.532396501278[/C][C]-0.33239650127787[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]52[/C][C]109.4[/C][C]109.408265327254[/C][C]-0.00826532725429274[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]53[/C][C]109.7[/C][C]109.607665284686[/C][C]0.0923347153140526[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]54[/C][C]109.6[/C][C]109.914368559465[/C][C]-0.314368559465009[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]55[/C][C]109.3[/C][C]109.791546169979[/C][C]-0.491546169978847[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]56[/C][C]108.4[/C][C]109.455861118774[/C][C]-1.05586111877408[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]57[/C][C]108.7[/C][C]108.47920818078[/C][C]0.22079181921994[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]58[/C][C]109.4[/C][C]108.795237127511[/C][C]0.604762872488863[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]59[/C][C]109[/C][C]109.539141434755[/C][C]-0.53914143475545[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]60[/C][C]110.3[/C][C]109.100001083592[/C][C]1.19999891640768[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]61[/C][C]109.5[/C][C]110.487118073599[/C][C]-0.987118073598623[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]62[/C][C]109.7[/C][C]109.615455712761[/C][C]0.0845442872393107[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]63[/C][C]109.5[/C][C]109.821593421492[/C][C]-0.32159342149177[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]64[/C][C]110.9[/C][C]109.598246524671[/C][C]1.30175347532882[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]65[/C][C]110.9[/C][C]111.092750647092[/C][C]-0.19275064709187[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]66[/C][C]110.4[/C][C]111.078757420959[/C][C]-0.678757420959073[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]67[/C][C]111.1[/C][C]110.529481290248[/C][C]0.570518709752278[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]68[/C][C]110.8[/C][C]111.270899554928[/C][C]-0.470899554928053[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]69[/C][C]111.3[/C][C]110.936713397541[/C][C]0.363286602459027[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]70[/C][C]111.7[/C][C]111.463087117453[/C][C]0.236912882547202[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]71[/C][C]112.2[/C][C]111.880286414001[/C][C]0.319713585998642[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]72[/C][C]111.7[/C][C]112.403496839357[/C][C]-0.703496839357157[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]73[/C][C]111.3[/C][C]111.852424687303[/C][C]-0.552424687302889[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]74[/C][C]111.9[/C][C]111.412320004453[/C][C]0.487679995547239[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]75[/C][C]111.7[/C][C]112.047724380838[/C][C]-0.347724380838002[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]76[/C][C]111.8[/C][C]111.822480440201[/C][C]-0.02248044020088[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]77[/C][C]111.5[/C][C]111.920848415157[/C][C]-0.420848415156897[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]78[/C][C]112.9[/C][C]111.590295848254[/C][C]1.30970415174637[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]79[/C][C]112[/C][C]113.085377170361[/C][C]-1.08537717036054[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]80[/C][C]112.4[/C][C]112.106581439122[/C][C]0.29341856087764[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]81[/C][C]111.1[/C][C]112.527882909887[/C][C]-1.42788290988716[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]82[/C][C]111.7[/C][C]111.124222098623[/C][C]0.57577790137691[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]83[/C][C]111.4[/C][C]111.766022167768[/C][C]-0.366022167768378[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]84[/C][C]112.2[/C][C]111.439449852497[/C][C]0.760550147502556[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]85[/C][C]112.5[/C][C]112.294663935355[/C][C]0.205336064645195[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]86[/C][C]113.2[/C][C]112.609570832059[/C][C]0.590429167941352[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]87[/C][C]114.7[/C][C]113.352434547367[/C][C]1.34756545263321[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]88[/C][C]115.2[/C][C]114.950264507432[/C][C]0.249735492568462[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]89[/C][C]114.1[/C][C]115.468394694145[/C][C]-1.36839469414491[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]90[/C][C]113.7[/C][C]114.269052582028[/C][C]-0.56905258202751[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]91[/C][C]115.5[/C][C]113.827740754639[/C][C]1.67225924536142[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]92[/C][C]115[/C][C]115.749142690902[/C][C]-0.749142690902161[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]93[/C][C]115.4[/C][C]115.194756761528[/C][C]0.205243238471837[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]94[/C][C]115[/C][C]115.609656919279[/C][C]-0.609656919278606[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]95[/C][C]114.6[/C][C]115.165397316192[/C][C]-0.565397316192403[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]96[/C][C]114.6[/C][C]114.724350852174[/C][C]-0.124350852174103[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]97[/C][C]114.5[/C][C]114.715323284067[/C][C]-0.215323284067154[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]98[/C][C]115.2[/C][C]114.59969133963[/C][C]0.600308660370217[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]99[/C][C]116.3[/C][C]115.343272281955[/C][C]0.956727718045101[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]100[/C][C]116.5[/C][C]116.512728377216[/C][C]-0.0127283772163764[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]101[/C][C]118.4[/C][C]116.711804328123[/C][C]1.688195671877[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]102[/C][C]118.5[/C][C]118.734363210023[/C][C]-0.234363210022565[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]103[/C][C]118.7[/C][C]118.817349013471[/C][C]-0.117349013471028[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]104[/C][C]119.2[/C][C]119.00882976175[/C][C]0.191170238249967[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]105[/C][C]119.5[/C][C]119.522708254061[/C][C]-0.0227082540614845[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]106[/C][C]118.5[/C][C]119.821059690288[/C][C]-1.32105969028773[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]107[/C][C]118.6[/C][C]118.725153983822[/C][C]-0.125153983821733[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]108[/C][C]118.2[/C][C]118.816068110319[/C][C]-0.61606811031902[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]109[/C][C]118.6[/C][C]118.371343070424[/C][C]0.228656929575607[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]110[/C][C]120.6[/C][C]118.787943004955[/C][C]1.81205699504538[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]111[/C][C]124.5[/C][C]120.919493916351[/C][C]3.58050608364891[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]112[/C][C]124.6[/C][C]125.079429911661[/C][C]-0.479429911660603[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]113[/C][C]126.5[/C][C]125.144624471212[/C][C]1.35537552878755[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]114[/C][C]126[/C][C]127.143021423728[/C][C]-1.14302142372775[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]115[/C][C]126.3[/C][C]126.560040860507[/C][C]-0.260040860506933[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]116[/C][C]126.3[/C][C]126.841162529255[/C][C]-0.541162529254905[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]117[/C][C]125.1[/C][C]126.801875451568[/C][C]-1.7018754515682[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]118[/C][C]126.7[/C][C]125.47832345108[/C][C]1.22167654892036[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]119[/C][C]123.9[/C][C]127.167014184253[/C][C]-3.26701418425284[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]120[/C][C]123.6[/C][C]124.12983693505[/C][C]-0.529836935049985[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]121[/C][C]124.9[/C][C]123.791372067837[/C][C]1.10862793216333[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]122[/C][C]126.2[/C][C]125.171855747585[/C][C]1.02814425241459[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]123[/C][C]126.3[/C][C]126.546496508788[/C][C]-0.246496508787743[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]124[/C][C]126.4[/C][C]126.628601464385[/C][C]-0.228601464384738[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]125[/C][C]126.2[/C][C]126.712005556492[/C][C]-0.5120055564919[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]126[/C][C]125.8[/C][C]126.474835203804[/C][C]-0.674835203803909[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]127[/C][C]124.9[/C][C]126.025843816477[/C][C]-1.12584381647692[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]128[/C][C]126.2[/C][C]125.044110305582[/C][C]1.15588969441848[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]129[/C][C]125.9[/C][C]126.42802507382[/C][C]-0.528025073820217[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]130[/C][C]124.6[/C][C]126.089691743306[/C][C]-1.48969174330625[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]131[/C][C]122.9[/C][C]124.681543761721[/C][C]-1.7815437617209[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]132[/C][C]119.9[/C][C]122.852208036527[/C][C]-2.95220803652688[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=161078&T=2

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=161078&T=2

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
3100.1100.3-0.200000000000017
4100.2100.685480488555-0.485480488554586
5100.1100.750235791004-0.65023579100415
6100.4100.603030260956-0.203030260955629
799.8100.888290759967-1.08829075996709
899.7100.209283509241-0.509283509240703
999.4100.072310770534-0.672310770533812
10100.299.72350265089560.476497349104363
11100.5100.558095194466-0.0580951944657784
12100.6100.853877625261-0.253877625260927
13100.9100.935446729832-0.0354467298323584
14101.9101.2328733838350.667126616165135
15102.1102.28130514653-0.18130514652961
16102.6102.4681428357790.131857164221145
17103.5102.9777153438040.522284656195808
18103.9103.915631934021-0.0156319340211724
19103.7104.314497093797-0.614497093796516
20103104.069886105864-1.06988610586376
21103.1103.292214988067-0.192214988066894
22103.2103.378260649471-0.178260649470801
23103.2103.46531936177-0.265319361769528
24103.1103.44605782422-0.346057824220026
25103.7103.3209348715220.379065128477677
26104.2103.948454073880.25154592612023
27104.4104.466715693647-0.0667156936465148
28104.9104.6618722972590.238127702740925
29105.4105.1791597867860.220840213213847
30105.9105.6951922468030.204807753197031
31105.5106.210060789386-0.710060789386247
32106.1105.7585121105940.341487889405911
33105.4106.383303297188-0.983303297187561
34105.7105.6119178797980.0880821202015341
35106.2105.918312426560.281687573439527
36106.7106.4387622562930.261237743706602
37106.8106.957727478342-0.157727478342011
38106.8107.046276848707-0.246276848706785
39106.8107.028397751089-0.228397751089105
40107.3107.0118166322840.288183367716115
41107.3107.532738040814-0.23273804081353
42107.5107.515841827577-0.015841827576665
43107.4107.714691749593-0.314691749592583
44106.9107.591845897293-0.691845897292652
45108.1107.0416195751721.05838042482833
46108.6108.3184554086310.281544591368885
47108.2108.838894858215-0.638894858214982
48108.3108.392512652184-0.0925126521836575
49108.3108.485796459623-0.185796459622523
50109.3108.4723080905120.827691909487498
51109.2109.532396501278-0.33239650127787
52109.4109.408265327254-0.00826532725429274
53109.7109.6076652846860.0923347153140526
54109.6109.914368559465-0.314368559465009
55109.3109.791546169979-0.491546169978847
56108.4109.455861118774-1.05586111877408
57108.7108.479208180780.22079181921994
58109.4108.7952371275110.604762872488863
59109109.539141434755-0.53914143475545
60110.3109.1000010835921.19999891640768
61109.5110.487118073599-0.987118073598623
62109.7109.6154557127610.0845442872393107
63109.5109.821593421492-0.32159342149177
64110.9109.5982465246711.30175347532882
65110.9111.092750647092-0.19275064709187
66110.4111.078757420959-0.678757420959073
67111.1110.5294812902480.570518709752278
68110.8111.270899554928-0.470899554928053
69111.3110.9367133975410.363286602459027
70111.7111.4630871174530.236912882547202
71112.2111.8802864140010.319713585998642
72111.7112.403496839357-0.703496839357157
73111.3111.852424687303-0.552424687302889
74111.9111.4123200044530.487679995547239
75111.7112.047724380838-0.347724380838002
76111.8111.822480440201-0.02248044020088
77111.5111.920848415157-0.420848415156897
78112.9111.5902958482541.30970415174637
79112113.085377170361-1.08537717036054
80112.4112.1065814391220.29341856087764
81111.1112.527882909887-1.42788290988716
82111.7111.1242220986230.57577790137691
83111.4111.766022167768-0.366022167768378
84112.2111.4394498524970.760550147502556
85112.5112.2946639353550.205336064645195
86113.2112.6095708320590.590429167941352
87114.7113.3524345473671.34756545263321
88115.2114.9502645074320.249735492568462
89114.1115.468394694145-1.36839469414491
90113.7114.269052582028-0.56905258202751
91115.5113.8277407546391.67225924536142
92115115.749142690902-0.749142690902161
93115.4115.1947567615280.205243238471837
94115115.609656919279-0.609656919278606
95114.6115.165397316192-0.565397316192403
96114.6114.724350852174-0.124350852174103
97114.5114.715323284067-0.215323284067154
98115.2114.599691339630.600308660370217
99116.3115.3432722819550.956727718045101
100116.5116.512728377216-0.0127283772163764
101118.4116.7118043281231.688195671877
102118.5118.734363210023-0.234363210022565
103118.7118.817349013471-0.117349013471028
104119.2119.008829761750.191170238249967
105119.5119.522708254061-0.0227082540614845
106118.5119.821059690288-1.32105969028773
107118.6118.725153983822-0.125153983821733
108118.2118.816068110319-0.61606811031902
109118.6118.3713430704240.228656929575607
110120.6118.7879430049551.81205699504538
111124.5120.9194939163513.58050608364891
112124.6125.079429911661-0.479429911660603
113126.5125.1446244712121.35537552878755
114126127.143021423728-1.14302142372775
115126.3126.560040860507-0.260040860506933
116126.3126.841162529255-0.541162529254905
117125.1126.801875451568-1.7018754515682
118126.7125.478323451081.22167654892036
119123.9127.167014184253-3.26701418425284
120123.6124.12983693505-0.529836935049985
121124.9123.7913720678371.10862793216333
122126.2125.1718557475851.02814425241459
123126.3126.546496508788-0.246496508787743
124126.4126.628601464385-0.228601464384738
125126.2126.712005556492-0.5120055564919
126125.8126.474835203804-0.674835203803909
127124.9126.025843816477-1.12584381647692
128126.2125.0441103055821.15588969441848
129125.9126.42802507382-0.528025073820217
130124.6126.089691743306-1.48969174330625
131122.9124.681543761721-1.7815437617209
132119.9122.852208036527-2.95220803652688







Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
133119.637884944649117.953708581719121.322061307579
134119.375769889298116.906015251751121.845524526845
135119.113654833947115.980028767035122.247280900859
136118.851539778596115.106393376032122.59668618116
137118.589424723245114.259399988854122.919449457636
138118.327309667894113.426443552484123.228175783304
139118.065194612543112.600385054892123.530004170193
140117.803079557192111.776805655051123.829353459332
141117.540964501841110.952801776892124.129127226789
142117.27884944649110.126383100936124.431315792043
143117.016734391139109.296142715122124.737326067156
144116.754619335788108.461063428731125.048175242844

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
t & Forecast & 95% Lower Bound & 95% Upper Bound \tabularnewline
133 & 119.637884944649 & 117.953708581719 & 121.322061307579 \tabularnewline
134 & 119.375769889298 & 116.906015251751 & 121.845524526845 \tabularnewline
135 & 119.113654833947 & 115.980028767035 & 122.247280900859 \tabularnewline
136 & 118.851539778596 & 115.106393376032 & 122.59668618116 \tabularnewline
137 & 118.589424723245 & 114.259399988854 & 122.919449457636 \tabularnewline
138 & 118.327309667894 & 113.426443552484 & 123.228175783304 \tabularnewline
139 & 118.065194612543 & 112.600385054892 & 123.530004170193 \tabularnewline
140 & 117.803079557192 & 111.776805655051 & 123.829353459332 \tabularnewline
141 & 117.540964501841 & 110.952801776892 & 124.129127226789 \tabularnewline
142 & 117.27884944649 & 110.126383100936 & 124.431315792043 \tabularnewline
143 & 117.016734391139 & 109.296142715122 & 124.737326067156 \tabularnewline
144 & 116.754619335788 & 108.461063428731 & 125.048175242844 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=161078&T=3

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Forecast[/C][C]95% Lower Bound[/C][C]95% Upper Bound[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]133[/C][C]119.637884944649[/C][C]117.953708581719[/C][C]121.322061307579[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]134[/C][C]119.375769889298[/C][C]116.906015251751[/C][C]121.845524526845[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]135[/C][C]119.113654833947[/C][C]115.980028767035[/C][C]122.247280900859[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]136[/C][C]118.851539778596[/C][C]115.106393376032[/C][C]122.59668618116[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]137[/C][C]118.589424723245[/C][C]114.259399988854[/C][C]122.919449457636[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]138[/C][C]118.327309667894[/C][C]113.426443552484[/C][C]123.228175783304[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]139[/C][C]118.065194612543[/C][C]112.600385054892[/C][C]123.530004170193[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]140[/C][C]117.803079557192[/C][C]111.776805655051[/C][C]123.829353459332[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]141[/C][C]117.540964501841[/C][C]110.952801776892[/C][C]124.129127226789[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]142[/C][C]117.27884944649[/C][C]110.126383100936[/C][C]124.431315792043[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]143[/C][C]117.016734391139[/C][C]109.296142715122[/C][C]124.737326067156[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]144[/C][C]116.754619335788[/C][C]108.461063428731[/C][C]125.048175242844[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=161078&T=3

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=161078&T=3

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
133119.637884944649117.953708581719121.322061307579
134119.375769889298116.906015251751121.845524526845
135119.113654833947115.980028767035122.247280900859
136118.851539778596115.106393376032122.59668618116
137118.589424723245114.259399988854122.919449457636
138118.327309667894113.426443552484123.228175783304
139118.065194612543112.600385054892123.530004170193
140117.803079557192111.776805655051123.829353459332
141117.540964501841110.952801776892124.129127226789
142117.27884944649110.126383100936124.431315792043
143117.016734391139109.296142715122124.737326067156
144116.754619335788108.461063428731125.048175242844



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Double ; par3 = multiplicative ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Double ; par3 = multiplicative ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') K <- 1
if (par2 == 'Double') K <- 2
if (par2 == 'Triple') K <- par1
nx <- length(x)
nxmK <- nx - K
x <- ts(x, frequency = par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F, beta=F)
if (par2 == 'Double') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F)
if (par2 == 'Triple') fit <- HoltWinters(x, seasonal=par3)
fit
myresid <- x - fit$fitted[,'xhat']
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
plot(fit,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Interpolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
plot(myresid,ylab='Residuals',main='Interpolation Prediction Errors')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
p <- predict(fit, par1, prediction.interval=TRUE)
np <- length(p[,1])
plot(fit,p,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Extrapolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
acf(as.numeric(myresid),lag.max = nx/2,main='Residual ACF')
spectrum(myresid,main='Residals Periodogram')
cpgram(myresid,main='Residal Cumulative Periodogram')
qqnorm(myresid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot')
qqline(myresid)
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'alpha',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$alpha)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'beta',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$beta)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'gamma',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$gamma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Fitted',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:nxmK) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i+K,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i+K])
a<-table.element(a,fit$fitted[i,'xhat'])
a<-table.element(a,myresid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecast',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Lower Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Upper Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:np) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,nx+i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'fit'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'lwr'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'upr'])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')