| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 10407 | NA | NA | 1.01742291984292 | NA |
| 2 | 10463 | NA | NA | 1.05569330228403 | NA |
| 3 | 10556 | NA | NA | 1.03252300167946 | NA |
| 4 | 10646 | NA | NA | 1.01650919133294 | NA |
| 5 | 10702 | NA | NA | 1.0344371752761 | NA |
| 6 | 11353 | NA | NA | 1.00171304275231 | NA |
| 7 | 11346 | 11465.843623631 | 11697.7916666667 | 0.980171638404482 | 0.989547770965238 |
| 8 | 11451 | 11508.8703947308 | 12056.3333333333 | 0.954591257269829 | 0.994971670307687 |
| 9 | 11964 | 11888.1867253603 | 12422.9166666667 | 0.956956167729828 | 1.00637719413323 |
| 10 | 12574 | 12477.738947552 | 12826.625 | 0.972799855577909 | 1.0077146230461 |
| 11 | 13031 | 13163.7666511834 | 13315 | 0.988641881425717 | 0.989914235438723 |
| 12 | 13812 | 13581.6000312963 | 13739.0416666667 | 0.988540566424488 | 1.01696412559439 |
| 13 | 14544 | 14339.5586322661 | 14094 | 1.01742291984292 | 1.01425715902259 |
| 14 | 14931 | 15278.8732150731 | 14472.8333333333 | 1.05569330228403 | 0.977231749345897 |
| 15 | 14886 | 15268.8210834606 | 14787.875 | 1.03252300167946 | 0.974927921326204 |
| 16 | 16005 | 15267.2056719272 | 15019.25 | 1.01650919133294 | 1.04832543321463 |
| 17 | 17064 | 15751.8489849678 | 15227.4583333333 | 1.0344371752761 | 1.08330139631763 |
| 18 | 15168 | 15425.0869790386 | 15398.7083333333 | 1.00171304275231 | 0.983333190964305 |
| 19 | 16050 | 15196.621922308 | 15504.0416666667 | 0.980171638404482 | 1.05615577475408 |
| 20 | 15839 | 14897.5500341315 | 15606.2083333333 | 0.954591257269829 | 1.06319495243926 |
| 21 | 15137 | 15032.5054534786 | 15708.6666666667 | 0.956956167729828 | 1.00695123955516 |
| 22 | 14954 | 15330.3529240523 | 15759 | 0.972799855577909 | 0.975450472280922 |
| 23 | 15648 | 15540.4205407191 | 15718.9583333333 | 0.988641881425717 | 1.00692255779044 |
| 24 | 15305 | 15514.8558657005 | 15694.7083333333 | 0.988540566424488 | 0.986473875908547 |
| 25 | 15579 | 15971.9289219107 | 15698.4166666667 | 1.01742291984292 | 0.975398780959281 |
| 26 | 16348 | 16545.7931522557 | 15672.9166666667 | 1.05569330228403 | 0.988045713467125 |
| 27 | 15928 | 16231.9069132772 | 15720.625 | 1.03252300167946 | 0.981277189741116 |
| 28 | 16171 | 16123.2758292281 | 15861.4166666667 | 1.01650919133294 | 1.00295995499161 |
| 29 | 15937 | 16585.4760435934 | 16033.3333333333 | 1.0344371752761 | 0.960900968902615 |
| 30 | 15713 | 16248.11945779 | 16220.3333333333 | 1.00171304275231 | 0.967065760491228 |
| 31 | 15594 | 16154.1679320593 | 16480.9583333333 | 0.980171638404482 | 0.965323628278766 |
| 32 | 15683 | 16035.4625874329 | 16798.25 | 0.954591257269829 | 0.978019805446141 |
| 33 | 16438 | 16393.3768703377 | 17130.75 | 0.956956167729828 | 1.00272202182718 |
| 34 | 17032 | 16932.027352934 | 17405.4583333333 | 0.972799855577909 | 1.00590435185239 |
| 35 | 17696 | 17410.3130792007 | 17610.3333333333 | 0.988641881425717 | 1.01640906280661 |
| 36 | 17745 | 17621.9712722245 | 17826.25 | 0.988540566424488 | 1.00698155307797 |
| 37 | 19394 | 18402.2979216855 | 18087.1666666667 | 1.01742291984292 | 1.05389012190406 |
| 38 | 20148 | 19357.5442884474 | 18336.3333333333 | 1.05569330228403 | 1.04083450358031 |
| 39 | 20108 | 19123.7457102309 | 18521.375 | 1.03252300167946 | 1.05146765203234 |
| 40 | 18584 | 19024.3930612923 | 18715.4166666667 | 1.01650919133294 | 0.976851137385909 |
| 41 | 18441 | 19537.1132185968 | 18886.7083333333 | 1.0344371752761 | 0.943895845495052 |
| 42 | 18391 | 19061.1383720557 | 19028.5416666667 | 1.00171304275231 | 0.964842688879582 |
| 43 | 19178 | 18787.6849220275 | 19167.75 | 0.980171638404482 | 1.02077504916611 |
| 44 | 18079 | 18491.5861177524 | 19371.2083333333 | 0.954591257269829 | 0.977687900046803 |
| 45 | 18483 | 18787.6413288241 | 19632.7083333333 | 0.956956167729828 | 0.983785014654461 |
| 46 | 19644 | 19344.287261476 | 19885.1666666667 | 0.972799855577909 | 1.01549360462202 |
| 47 | 19195 | 19936.0047323613 | 20165.0416666667 | 0.988641881425717 | 0.962830830835505 |
| 48 | 19650 | 20217.0550158499 | 20451.4166666667 | 0.988540566424488 | 0.971951650949887 |
| 49 | 20830 | 21044.7572076259 | 20684.375 | 1.01742291984292 | 0.989795215715388 |
| 50 | 23595 | 22082.3766760843 | 20917.4166666667 | 1.05569330228403 | 1.06849911792121 |
| 51 | 22937 | 21897.0164491585 | 21207.2916666667 | 1.03252300167946 | 1.04749430376765 |
| 52 | 21814 | 21837.1587028098 | 21482.5 | 1.01650919133294 | 0.99893948186552 |
| 53 | 21928 | 22574.0483590116 | 21822.5416666667 | 1.0344371752761 | 0.971380926064436 |
| 54 | 21777 | 22296.1706436243 | 22258.0416666667 | 1.00171304275231 | 0.976714806684854 |
| 55 | 21383 | 22212.894712432 | 22662.25 | 0.980171638404482 | 0.962639056134926 |
| 56 | 21467 | 21892.4367956834 | 22933.8333333333 | 0.954591257269829 | 0.980566951059224 |
| 57 | 22052 | 22171.5978306114 | 23168.875 | 0.956956167729828 | 0.994605809129088 |
| 58 | 22680 | 22911.909131826 | 23552.5416666667 | 0.972799855577909 | 0.989878227497687 |
| 59 | 24320 | 23881.427320661 | 24155.7916666667 | 0.988641881425717 | 1.01836459242784 |
| 60 | 24977 | 24679.1211867387 | 24965.2083333333 | 0.988540566424488 | 1.01207007376832 |
| 61 | 25204 | 26224.1181515729 | 25775.0416666667 | 1.01742291984292 | 0.9611000016978 |
| 62 | 25739 | 27982.3386320033 | 26506.125 | 1.05569330228403 | 0.919830194984575 |
| 63 | 26434 | 28143.0062170679 | 27256.5416666667 | 1.03252300167946 | 0.939274212431809 |
| 64 | 27525 | 28453.5746746463 | 27991.4583333333 | 1.01650919133294 | 0.967365271841442 |
| 65 | 30695 | 29658.0896430471 | 28670.75 | 1.0344371752761 | 1.03496214251938 |
| 66 | 32436 | 29420.8129221566 | 29370.5 | 1.00171304275231 | 1.10248483227915 |
| 67 | 30160 | NA | NA | 0.980171638404482 | NA |
| 68 | 30236 | NA | NA | 0.954591257269829 | NA |
| 69 | 31293 | NA | NA | 0.956956167729828 | NA |
| 70 | 31077 | NA | NA | 0.972799855577909 | NA |
| 71 | 32226 | NA | NA | 0.988641881425717 | NA |
| 72 | 33865 | NA | NA | 0.988540566424488 | NA |
