Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 1 |
beta | 0 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 0.69 | 0.68 | 0.0099999999999999 |
4 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0 |
5 | 0.7 | 0.69 | 0.01 |
6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 |
7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 |
8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 |
9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 |
10 | 0.71 | 0.7 | 0.01 |
11 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0 |
12 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0 |
13 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0 |
14 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0 |
15 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0 |
16 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0 |
17 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0 |
18 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0 |
19 | 0.76 | 0.71 | 0.05 |
20 | 0.77 | 0.76 | 0.01 |
21 | 0.78 | 0.77 | 0.01 |
22 | 0.85 | 0.78 | 0.07 |
23 | 0.89 | 0.85 | 0.04 |
24 | 0.9 | 0.89 | 0.01 |
25 | 0.91 | 0.9 | 0.01 |
26 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0 |
27 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0 |
28 | 0.9 | 0.91 | -0.01 |
29 | 0.89 | 0.9 | -0.01 |
30 | 0.88 | 0.89 | -0.01 |
31 | 0.87 | 0.88 | -0.01 |
32 | 0.86 | 0.87 | -0.01 |
33 | 0.87 | 0.86 | 0.01 |
34 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0 |
35 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0 |
36 | 0.85 | 0.87 | -0.02 |
37 | 0.84 | 0.85 | -0.01 |
38 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0 |
39 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0 |
40 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0 |
41 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0 |
42 | 0.82 | 0.84 | -0.02 |
43 | 0.87 | 0.82 | 0.05 |
44 | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.05 |
45 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0 |
46 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0 |
47 | 0.93 | 0.92 | 0.01 |
48 | 0.94 | 0.93 | 0.0099999999999999 |
49 | 0.87 | 0.94 | -0.07 |
50 | 0.84 | 0.87 | -0.03 |
51 | 0.83 | 0.84 | -0.01 |
52 | 0.81 | 0.83 | -0.0199999999999999 |
53 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0 |
54 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0 |
55 | 0.8 | 0.81 | -0.01 |
56 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
57 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
58 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
59 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
60 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
61 | 0.79 | 0.8 | -0.01 |
62 | 0.8 | 0.79 | 0.01 |
63 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
64 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
65 | 0.81 | 0.8 | 0.01 |
66 | 0.83 | 0.81 | 0.0199999999999999 |
67 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0 |
68 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0 |
69 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0 |
70 | 0.82 | 0.83 | -0.01 |
71 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0 |
72 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
73 | 0.82 | 0.783968045643316 | 0.856031954356684 |
74 | 0.82 | 0.76904312146997 | 0.87095687853003 |
75 | 0.82 | 0.757590824358221 | 0.882409175641779 |
76 | 0.82 | 0.747936091286633 | 0.892063908713367 |
77 | 0.82 | 0.739430100696286 | 0.900569899303714 |
78 | 0.82 | 0.731740097390872 | 0.908259902609128 |
79 | 0.82 | 0.724668409520585 | 0.915331590479415 |
80 | 0.82 | 0.718086242939939 | 0.921913757060061 |
81 | 0.82 | 0.711904136929949 | 0.928095863070051 |
82 | 0.82 | 0.706056955685653 | 0.933943044314347 |
83 | 0.82 | 0.700495526935669 | 0.939504473064331 |
84 | 0.82 | 0.695181648716443 | 0.944818351283557 |