Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.682187850039951
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
345.9345.030.899999999999999
445.9345.6439690650360.286030934964046
545.945.8390958936040.0609041063960021
645.9145.85064393500490.0593560649951073
745.8545.9011359213707-0.0511359213707294
845.5845.806251617111-0.226251617111025
945.5645.3819055128660.178094487134011
1045.545.48339940814790.0166005918520895
1145.545.43472413021290.0652758697871221
1245.545.47925453548240.0207454645175602
1345.5145.49340683931980.0165931606802445
1445.4945.5147264919296-0.0247264919295702
1545.445.4778583795611-0.0778583795611141
1645.3845.33474433900070.0452556609992811
1745.3845.345617201080.034382798920042
1845.3845.36907272875360.0109272712464232
1945.4945.3765271804320.113472819568024
2045.4145.5639369592511-0.153936959251062
2144.9945.3789230359779-0.388923035977882
2244.9844.69360446623310.286395533766871
2344.9344.87898001967460.0510199803254139
2444.9344.86378523036190.0662147696381368
2544.9144.90895614170220.0010438582978054
2644.8644.8896682491501-0.029668249150113
2744.7644.8194289300479-0.0594289300479502
2844.8944.67888723602840.211112763971641
2944.8944.9529057985982-0.062905798598166
304544.90999222709740.0900077729025597
3145.0145.0813944361807-0.0713944361807251
3245.1145.04269001925780.0673099807422233
3345.0545.1886080703065-0.138608070306546
3444.6745.0340513288259-0.36405132882593
3544.4844.405699935510.0743000644900107
3644.4844.26638653676230.213613463237742
3744.4844.4121110459880.0678889540119982
3844.5844.45842406556690.121575934433096
3944.7944.64136169089440.148638309105586
4044.7944.9527609394167-0.162760939416728
4144.4144.8417274040855-0.431727404085549
4244.4144.16720821448910.242791785510903
4344.4444.33283782065410.107162179345863
4444.4344.4359425573877-0.00594255738768368
4544.3644.4218886169396-0.0618886169396475
4644.3944.30966895440760.0803310455923594
4744.3944.3944698176918-0.00446981769175636
4844.4144.39142056237050.0185794376294481
4944.3244.4240952289819-0.104095228981926
5044.4344.26308272852330.166917271476663
5144.8244.48695166308650.333048336913464
5244.9745.1041531920049-0.134153192004916
5344.9145.1626355143751-0.252635514375086
5444.7944.9302906359798-0.140290635979802
5544.7644.714586068640.0454139313599953
5644.844.71556690083630.0844330991636539
5744.6544.813166135227-0.163166135227009
5844.4944.5518561802372-0.0618561802371644
5944.5644.34965864562950.210341354370506
6044.444.563150961942-0.163150961942002
6144.4544.29185135798280.158148642017167
6244.4644.44973844006730.0102615599327294
6344.3944.4667387515758-0.0767387515758315
6444.544.34438850762360.155611492376437
6544.4444.5605447770494-0.120544777049354
6644.4144.4183105947605-0.0083105947605091
6744.444.38264120798830.01735879201172
6844.4244.384483164990.0355168350099575
6944.4944.42871231830570.0612876816942887
7044.4644.5405220301147-0.0805220301146718
7144.4944.45559087950990.0344091204901105
7244.544.5090643634388-0.00906436343881012


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7344.512880764832544.154680233627744.8710812960373
7444.52576152966543.824771604703545.2267514546265
7544.538642294497543.439250903154945.6380336858401
7644.5515230593343.002473364107446.1005727545526
7744.564403824162542.519045390058146.609762258267
7844.57728458899541.99273557673647.1618336012541
7944.590165353827541.426593631071547.7537370765836
8044.6030461186640.823126524667148.382965712653
8144.615926883492540.184433281873549.0474204851116
8244.62880764832539.512301034846449.7453142618037
8344.641688413157538.808273550564350.4751032757508
8444.654569177990138.073700974661551.2354373813186