| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.933090814754979 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 1.4721 | 1.4761 | -0.004 |
| 3 | 1.487 | 1.47236763674098 | 0.01463236325902 |
| 4 | 1.5167 | 1.48602096049613 | 0.0306790395038701 |
| 5 | 1.5812 | 1.5146472904627 | 0.0665527095373037 |
| 6 | 1.554 | 1.57674701242901 | -0.0227470124290103 |
| 7 | 1.5508 | 1.55552198406838 | -0.00472198406838364 |
| 8 | 1.5764 | 1.55111594410676 | 0.0252840558932446 |
| 9 | 1.5611 | 1.57470826442049 | -0.0136082644204936 |
| 10 | 1.4735 | 1.56201051788497 | -0.0885105178849739 |
| 11 | 1.4303 | 1.4794221666373 | -0.0491221666372985 |
| 12 | 1.2757 | 1.43358672414717 | -0.157886724147172 |
| 13 | 1.2727 | 1.28626407207369 | -0.0135640720736927 |
| 14 | 1.3917 | 1.27360756101106 | 0.118092438988944 |
| 15 | 1.2816 | 1.38379853112365 | -0.102198531123652 |
| 16 | 1.2644 | 1.28843802045072 | -0.0240380204507216 |
| 17 | 1.3308 | 1.26600836436326 | 0.0647916356367391 |
| 18 | 1.3275 | 1.32646484444885 | 0.00103515555114631 |
| 19 | 1.4098 | 1.32743073858547 | 0.082369261414529 |
| 20 | 1.4134 | 1.40428873982952 | 0.00911126017048036 |
| 21 | 1.4138 | 1.41279037300544 | 0.00100962699456231 |
| 22 | 1.4272 | 1.41373244668039 | 0.0134675533196076 |
| 23 | 1.4643 | 1.42629889698014 | 0.0380011030198588 |
| 24 | 1.48 | 1.46175737715853 | 0.0182426228414709 |
| 25 | 1.5023 | 1.47877940096895 | 0.023520599031055 |
| 26 | 1.4406 | 1.50072625588236 | -0.0601262558823572 |
| 27 | 1.3966 | 1.44462299879292 | -0.0480229987929222 |
| 28 | 1.357 | 1.39981317972226 | -0.0428131797222571 |
| 29 | 1.3479 | 1.35986459497296 | -0.0119645949729648 |
| 30 | 1.3315 | 1.34870054130143 | -0.017200541301428 |
| 31 | 1.2307 | 1.33265087420425 | -0.101950874204252 |
| 32 | 1.2271 | 1.23752144992802 | -0.010421449928024 |
| 33 | 1.3028 | 1.22779729072376 | 0.075002709276244 |
| 34 | 1.268 | 1.29778162983116 | -0.0297816298311573 |
| 35 | 1.3648 | 1.26999266458727 | 0.0948073354127286 |
| 36 | 1.3857 | 1.35845651843228 | 0.0272434815677169 |
| 37 | 1.2998 | 1.38387716084507 | -0.0840771608450661 |
| 38 | 1.3362 | 1.30542553432986 | 0.0307744656701421 |
| 39 | 1.3692 | 1.33414090557566 | 0.0350590944243401 |
| 40 | 1.3834 | 1.36685422455664 | 0.0165457754433609 |
| 41 | 1.4207 | 1.38229293564584 | 0.0384070643541625 |
| 42 | 1.486 | 1.41813021461641 | 0.0678697853835899 |
| 43 | 1.4385 | 1.48145888795723 | -0.0429588879572296 |
| 44 | 1.4453 | 1.44137434419225 | 0.00392565580774984 |
| 45 | 1.426 | 1.44503733756835 | -0.0190373375683512 |
| 46 | 1.445 | 1.42727377274593 | 0.0177262272540673 |
| 47 | 1.3503 | 1.44381395257696 | -0.0935139525769624 |
| 48 | 1.4001 | 1.35655694237597 | 0.0435430576240339 |
| 49 | 1.3418 | 1.3971865694913 | -0.0553865694912987 |
| 50 | 1.2939 | 1.34550587023818 | -0.0516058702381796 |
| 51 | 1.3176 | 1.2973529067315 | 0.0202470932685033 |
| 52 | 1.3443 | 1.31624528348582 | 0.0280547165141753 |
| 53 | 1.3356 | 1.34242288177576 | -0.00682288177575674 |
| 54 | 1.3214 | 1.33605651346064 | -0.0146565134606389 |
| 55 | 1.2403 | 1.32238065537418 | -0.082080655374184 |
| 56 | 1.259 | 1.24579194977546 | 0.013208050224536 |
| 57 | 1.2284 | 1.2581162601208 | -0.029716260120801 |
| 58 | 1.2611 | 1.23038829075321 | 0.0307117092467883 |
| 59 | 1.293 | 1.25904510455682 | 0.0339548954431843 |
| 60 | 1.2993 | 1.29072810561082 | 0.00857189438918327 |
| 61 | 1.2986 | 1.29872646153041 | -0.000126461530413291 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 62 | 1.29860846143796 | 1.19617936725679 | 1.40103755561914 |
| 63 | 1.29860846143796 | 1.1585141231385 | 1.43870279973743 |
| 64 | 1.29860846143796 | 1.12901740061118 | 1.46819952226475 |
| 65 | 1.29860846143796 | 1.1039399426653 | 1.49327698021063 |
| 66 | 1.29860846143796 | 1.08174321182445 | 1.51547371105148 |
| 67 | 1.29860846143796 | 1.06161639241724 | 1.53560053045869 |
| 68 | 1.29860846143796 | 1.04306992213809 | 1.55414700073784 |
| 69 | 1.29860846143796 | 1.02578131953984 | 1.57143560333609 |
| 70 | 1.29860846143796 | 1.00952481671711 | 1.58769210615881 |
| 71 | 1.29860846143796 | 0.994135050556358 | 1.60308187231957 |
| 72 | 1.29860846143796 | 0.979486600352471 | 1.61773032252346 |
| 73 | 1.29860846143796 | 0.965481658986618 | 1.63173526388931 |
