Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[63])
51	9946	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	9701	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	9049	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	10190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	9706	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	9765	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	9893	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	9994	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	10433	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	10073	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	9266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	9820	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	10097	9962.9702	9437.7119	10488.2285	0.3085	0.7032	0.8358	0.7032
65	9115	9080.7023	8548.1861	9613.2184	0.4498	1e-04	0.5464	0.0033
66	10411	10178.6977	9644.0742	10713.3211	0.1972	1	0.4835	0.9058
67	9678	9774.0087	9221.5237	10326.4937	0.3667	0.0119	0.5953	0.4352
68	10408	9883.7154	9327.6236	10439.8071	0.0323	0.7658	0.6622	0.5888
69	10153	9846.8447	9280.5262	10413.1632	0.1447	0.0261	0.4365	0.537
70	10368	10223.3056	9651.9447	10794.6664	0.3098	0.5953	0.7842	0.9167
71	10581	10347.0336	9768.7294	10925.3377	0.2139	0.4717	0.3854	0.963
72	10597	9989.727	9406.2261	10573.2279	0.0207	0.0235	0.3898	0.7157
73	10680	10084.6304	9499.8118	10669.449	0.023	0.043	0.4635	0.8124
74	9738	9290.7813	8701.0809	9880.4816	0.0686	0	0.5328	0.0393
75	9556	9749.2002	9154.7141	10343.6864	0.2621	0.5147	0.4077	0.4077

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
64	0.0269	0.0135	0	17963.9763	0	0
65	0.0299	0.0038	0.0086	1176.3354	9570.1559	97.8272
66	0.0268	0.0228	0.0134	53964.3664	24368.226	156.1033
67	0.0288	-0.0098	0.0125	9217.6749	20580.5883	143.4594
68	0.0287	0.053	0.0206	274874.3895	71439.3485	267.2814
69	0.0293	0.0311	0.0223	93731.0622	75154.6341	274.1435
70	0.0285	0.0142	0.0212	20936.4775	67409.1832	259.6328
71	0.0285	0.0226	0.0213	54740.2821	65825.5705	256.5649
72	0.0298	0.0608	0.0257	368780.5164	99487.2312	315.416
73	0.0296	0.059	0.0291	354464.9396	124985.002	353.5322
74	0.0324	0.0481	0.0308	200004.6044	131804.9659	363.0495
75	0.0311	-0.0198	0.0299	37326.3311	123931.7463	352.0394