| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.790051014944359 |
| beta | 0.0588166529110655 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 104.42 | 104.42 | 0 |
| 4 | 104.42 | 104.42 | 0 |
| 5 | 104.42 | 104.42 | 0 |
| 6 | 104.42 | 104.42 | 0 |
| 7 | 104.42 | 104.42 | 0 |
| 8 | 104.44 | 104.42 | 0.019999999999996 |
| 9 | 104.44 | 104.436730383425 | 0.00326961657455627 |
| 10 | 104.44 | 104.440394843499 | -0.000394843499336162 |
| 11 | 105.19 | 104.441145845523 | 0.748854154476831 |
| 12 | 105.19 | 105.068639650761 | 0.121360349238756 |
| 13 | 105.19 | 105.20602072998 | -0.0160207299801129 |
| 14 | 106.38 | 105.234119294343 | 1.14588070565723 |
| 15 | 106.38 | 106.23342623096 | 0.146573769040245 |
| 16 | 106.38 | 106.450040720875 | -0.0700407208748999 |
| 17 | 106.38 | 106.492264050014 | -0.112264050013991 |
| 18 | 106.38 | 106.495912091686 | -0.11591209168634 |
| 19 | 106.38 | 106.491291773136 | -0.111291773136102 |
| 20 | 106.72 | 106.485150218434 | 0.234849781566268 |
| 21 | 106.73 | 106.763391186702 | -0.033391186701806 |
| 22 | 106.72 | 106.828156478856 | -0.108156478856401 |
| 23 | 108.6 | 106.828827543894 | 1.77117245610575 |
| 24 | 108.6 | 108.396567459987 | 0.203432540012543 |
| 25 | 109.65 | 108.735165999274 | 0.91483400072606 |
| 26 | 109.65 | 109.67831863399 | -0.0283186339899686 |
| 27 | 109.65 | 109.87501665769 | -0.22501665768992 |
| 28 | 109.65 | 109.905857098902 | -0.255857098902226 |
| 29 | 109.65 | 109.900442810564 | -0.250442810563996 |
| 30 | 109.65 | 109.88766847055 | -0.237668470550076 |
| 31 | 109.65 | 109.873942495186 | -0.223942495185625 |
| 32 | 109.65 | 109.860654545714 | -0.210654545714192 |
| 33 | 112.27 | 109.848076025848 | 2.42192397415225 |
| 34 | 112.27 | 112.027911179368 | 0.24208882063202 |
| 35 | 112.27 | 112.496814778601 | -0.226814778600541 |
| 36 | 112.27 | 112.584720948759 | -0.314720948758847 |
| 37 | 112.27 | 112.588552257717 | -0.318552257717087 |
| 38 | 114.98 | 112.574554101034 | 2.40544589896594 |
| 39 | 114.98 | 114.824430088817 | 0.155569911183235 |
| 40 | 114.98 | 115.304018315906 | -0.32401831590559 |
| 41 | 114.98 | 115.389650843671 | -0.409650843670889 |
| 42 | 114.98 | 115.388593586519 | -0.408593586519359 |
| 43 | 114.98 | 115.3693850258 | -0.389385025800451 |
| 44 | 116.04 | 115.347258203722 | 0.692741796277545 |
| 45 | 116.59 | 116.21225720981 | 0.377742790189942 |
| 46 | 116.59 | 116.845943942458 | -0.255943942458032 |
| 47 | 116.59 | 116.967092585691 | -0.377092585691344 |
| 48 | 116.59 | 116.975004823157 | -0.385004823157004 |
| 49 | 118.75 | 116.958775525073 | 1.79122447492706 |
| 50 | 118.75 | 118.745113291611 | 0.00488670838868188 |
| 51 | 118.75 | 119.120380168992 | -0.370380168991929 |
| 52 | 118.75 | 119.181956185429 | -0.431956185429485 |
| 53 | 118.75 | 119.174811800033 | -0.424811800032927 |
| 54 | 118.75 | 119.153571622436 | -0.403571622436161 |
| 55 | 118.75 | 119.130359039466 | -0.380359039466398 |
| 56 | 119.31 | 119.107810997925 | 0.202189002075315 |
| 57 | 119.31 | 119.554900978013 | -0.244900978013092 |
| 58 | 119.31 | 119.63738696863 | -0.327386968630009 |
| 59 | 119.31 | 119.639491749803 | -0.329491749803267 |
| 60 | 119.31 | 119.624622772336 | -0.31462277233571 |
| 61 | 121.19 | 119.606881105438 | 1.58311889456165 |
| 62 | 121.19 | 121.162016784854 | 0.0279832151462358 |
| 63 | 121.19 | 121.489816270787 | -0.29981627078682 |
| 64 | 121.19 | 121.54470553082 | -0.354705530819629 |
| 65 | 121.19 | 121.539746963197 | -0.349746963197433 |
| 66 | 122.91 | 121.522453820397 | 1.38754617960329 |
| 67 | 122.91 | 122.942187601108 | -0.0321876011077222 |
| 68 | 122.91 | 123.238763568937 | -0.328763568937106 |
| 69 | 122.91 | 123.285752355458 | -0.375752355458459 |
| 70 | 122.91 | 123.278157084304 | -0.368157084303547 |
| 71 | 122.91 | 123.259454883887 | -0.349454883886665 |
| 72 | 122.91 | 123.239289851717 | -0.329289851716808 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 73 | 123.219754731372 | 121.94116233432 | 124.498347128424 |
| 74 | 123.460375392588 | 121.79341042675 | 125.127340358425 |
| 75 | 123.700996053803 | 121.687697756671 | 125.714294350934 |
| 76 | 123.941616715018 | 121.603743315489 | 126.279490114548 |
| 77 | 124.182237376233 | 121.53220375361 | 126.832270998857 |
| 78 | 124.422858037449 | 121.467945425141 | 127.377770649756 |
| 79 | 124.663478698664 | 121.407836968534 | 127.919120428793 |
| 80 | 124.904099359879 | 121.349831250476 | 128.458367469283 |
| 81 | 125.144720021094 | 121.292522634047 | 128.996917408142 |
| 82 | 125.38534068231 | 121.234910363964 | 129.535771000655 |
| 83 | 125.625961343525 | 121.176262122652 | 130.075660564398 |
| 84 | 125.86658200474 | 121.116030594442 | 130.617133415038 |
