Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[63])
51	9946	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	9701	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	9049	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	10190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	9705.99999999999	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	9764.99999999999	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	9893	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	9993.99999999999	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	10433	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	10073	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	9266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	9820	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	10097	9969.4531	9429.2032	10540.6568	0.3308	0.696	0.8215	0.696
65	9115	9075.2585	8577.621	9601.7667	0.4412	1e-04	0.5389	0.0028
66	10411	10176.4416	9615.845	10769.7206	0.2192	0.9998	0.4821	0.8805
67	9678	9765.5906	9210.2494	10354.4166	0.3853	0.0158	0.5786	0.4281
68	10408	9868.8604	9303.8997	10468.1271	0.0389	0.7338	0.633	0.5635
69	10153	9846.6868	9272.8254	10456.0624	0.1623	0.0355	0.4408	0.5342
70	10368	10247.3366	9644.8088	10887.5054	0.3559	0.6136	0.781	0.9046
71	10581	10352.0233	9736.0553	11006.9615	0.2466	0.4809	0.4043	0.9443
72	10597	9990.1888	9390.4498	10628.2313	0.0312	0.0348	0.3996	0.6994
73	10680	10083.5437	9476.6928	10729.2551	0.0351	0.0596	0.4656	0.7881
74	9738	9287.4555	8723.9078	9887.4073	0.0705	0	0.5279	0.0409
75	9556	9754.0222	9157.4411	10389.4688	0.2707	0.5197	0.4194	0.4194

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
64	0.0292	0.0128	0	16268.2185	0	0
65	0.0296	0.0044	0.0086	1579.3903	8923.8044	94.4659
66	0.0297	0.023	0.0134	55017.6221	24288.4103	155.8474
67	0.0308	-0.009	0.0123	7672.1047	20134.3339	141.8955
68	0.031	0.0546	0.0208	290671.5553	74241.7782	272.4734
69	0.0316	0.0311	0.0225	93827.7694	77506.11	278.3992
70	0.0319	0.0118	0.021	14559.6479	68513.7583	261.7513
71	0.0323	0.0221	0.0211	52430.3374	66503.3307	257.8824
72	0.0326	0.0607	0.0255	368219.8409	100027.3874	316.2711
73	0.0327	0.0592	0.0289	355760.0715	125600.6558	354.4018
74	0.033	0.0485	0.0307	202990.3621	132636.0837	364.1924
75	0.0332	-0.0203	0.0298	39212.797	124850.8098	353.3423