| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.8272 | 0.0294 | 0.0783 | -0.5674 | -0.1155 | -0.278 | -0.9996 |
| (p-val) | (0.0328 ) | (0.8823 ) | (0.7234 ) | (0.0964 ) | (0.4752 ) | (0.1507 ) | (0.0025 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.8611 | 0 | 0.0785 | -0.5887 | -0.1182 | -0.2756 | -0.9996 |
| (p-val) | (0.0024 ) | (NA ) | (0.7114 ) | (0.0333 ) | (0.4601 ) | (0.1518 ) | (0.0023 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.9555 | 0 | 0 | -0.6712 | -0.1276 | -0.2565 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.4234 ) | (0.1654 ) | (0.0019 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.9417 | 0 | 0 | -0.666 | 0 | -0.19 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.2809 ) | (1e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.9376 | 0 | 0 | -0.6558 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -22.787471581832 |
| 1.44574719773886 |
| 352.284156091724 |
| -317.277820457272 |
| 583.2455328017 |
| -177.561050115913 |
| 47.7290533763983 |
| 315.517786549919 |
| -195.640006742834 |
| 272.732108362703 |
| 180.144309287073 |
| 81.43400894854 |
| 346.399468767131 |
| 496.104066801279 |
| -56.8583254968443 |
| 35.2555013730774 |
| -78.392336457738 |
| -225.037380166856 |
| -440.7677135388 |
| -54.9869970263222 |
| 72.8618565777437 |
| 35.1713395236923 |
| -345.413740861905 |
| -430.93925847312 |
| -248.688789044805 |
| 72.0424516268662 |
| 83.2395251071178 |
| 55.2607812142757 |
| -489.494552047858 |
| -230.66753330671 |
| 298.515457302983 |
| 201.106286191849 |
| -87.1966622508845 |
| -27.1700034787083 |
| 571.683038485704 |
| -791.781710697608 |
| -219.141781381835 |
| 83.8633136773636 |
| -18.0008079912234 |
| 291.243076069444 |
| 37.6943145016096 |
| 176.518963652305 |
| -219.5155721685 |
| -50.9632798071187 |
| 79.723550287784 |
| -258.854540977451 |
| -454.214132511586 |
| -35.3473420132799 |
| -96.172309637059 |
| 206.126860051457 |
| -72.3252194412076 |
| -87.2705837670111 |
| 81.3430110256555 |
| 48.5498785207623 |
| 120.904954010927 |
| -260.944102538451 |
| -293.168702509862 |
| 193.019653643002 |
