Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[96])
84	8.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	63.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	38.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	45.389	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	37.353	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	37.024	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	50.957	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	37.994	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	36.454	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	46.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	43.373	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
95	37.395	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	10.963	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	76.058	69.0512	62.5689	75.5335	0.0171	1	0.956	1
98	50.179	43.7345	37.0093	50.4597	0.0302	0	0.9515	1
99	57.452	47.6361	40.1467	55.1255	0.0051	0.2529	0.7218	1
100	47.568	41.077	32.276	49.878	0.0742	1e-04	0.7965	1
101	50.05	41.7826	32.4748	51.0905	0.0409	0.1116	0.8418	1
102	50.856	50.3594	40.2542	60.4647	0.4616	0.5239	0.4539	1
103	41.992	41.1494	30.269	52.0299	0.4397	0.0402	0.7151	1
104	39.284	38.6024	27.1431	50.0618	0.4536	0.281	0.6434	1
105	44.521	44.8912	32.762	57.0204	0.4761	0.8176	0.4238	1
106	43.832	43.9678	31.2289	56.7066	0.4917	0.4661	0.5365	1
107	41.153	37.1965	23.9011	50.4919	0.2799	0.164	0.4883	0.9999
108	17.1	13.3983	-0.467	27.2637	0.3004	0	0.6347	0.6347

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
97	0.0479	0.1015	0	49.095	0	0
98	0.0785	0.1474	0.1244	41.5319	45.3134	6.7315
99	0.0802	0.2061	0.1516	96.3523	62.3264	7.8947
100	0.1093	0.158	0.1532	42.1329	57.278	7.5682
101	0.1137	0.1979	0.1622	68.3497	59.4924	7.7131
102	0.1024	0.0099	0.1368	0.2466	49.6181	7.044
103	0.1349	0.0205	0.1202	0.7099	42.6312	6.5293
104	0.1515	0.0177	0.1073	0.4646	37.3604	6.1123
105	0.1379	-0.0082	0.0963	0.1371	33.2244	5.7641
106	0.1478	-0.0031	0.087	0.0184	29.9038	5.4684
107	0.1824	0.1064	0.0888	15.654	28.6084	5.3487
108	0.528	0.2763	0.1044	13.7024	27.3662	5.2313