Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[92])
80	27.733	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	33.666	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	35.429	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	27.438	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	8.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	63.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	38.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	45.389	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	37.353	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	37.024	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	50.957	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	37.994	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	36.454	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	46.08	42.8078	36.2942	49.3214	0.1624	0.9721	0.997	0.9721
94	43.373	40.7766	34.0231	47.5302	0.2256	0.0619	0.9397	0.8952
95	37.395	34.6293	27.0994	42.1592	0.2358	0.0114	0.9694	0.3174
96	10.963	12.403	3.5408	21.2653	0.3751	0	0.8254	0
97	76.058	67.267	57.9039	76.6302	0.0329	1	0.7903	1
98	50.179	42.9678	32.797	53.1386	0.0823	0	0.8288	0.8953
99	57.452	47.6829	36.732	58.6338	0.0402	0.3275	0.6593	0.9778
100	47.568	40.052	28.5253	51.5787	0.1006	0.0015	0.6769	0.7297
101	50.05	41.3409	29.1385	53.5432	0.0809	0.1586	0.756	0.7838
102	50.856	49.998	37.1854	62.8106	0.4478	0.4968	0.4417	0.9809
103	41.992	40.4913	27.1227	53.86	0.4129	0.0643	0.6429	0.723
104	39.284	38.2025	24.2609	52.1442	0.4396	0.2971	0.5971	0.5971

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
93	0.0776	0.0764	0	10.7072	0	0
94	0.0845	0.0637	0.0701	6.7412	8.7242	2.9537
95	0.1109	0.0799	0.0733	7.6491	8.3658	2.8924
96	0.3646	-0.1161	0.084	2.0737	6.7928	2.6063
97	0.071	0.1307	0.0934	77.2809	20.8904	4.5706
98	0.1208	0.1678	0.1058	52.0015	26.0756	5.1064
99	0.1172	0.2049	0.1199	95.4356	35.9842	5.9987
100	0.1468	0.1877	0.1284	56.4901	38.5474	6.2087
101	0.1506	0.2107	0.1375	75.8491	42.692	6.5339
102	0.1307	0.0172	0.1255	0.7362	38.4965	6.2046
103	0.1684	0.0371	0.1175	2.252	35.2015	5.9331
104	0.1862	0.0283	0.11	1.1696	32.3655	5.6891