Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[92])
80	27.733	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	33.666	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	35.429	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	27.438	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	8.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	63.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	38.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	45.389	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	37.353	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	37.024	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	50.957	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	37.994	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	36.454	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	46.08	42.387	32.8493	51.9247	0.224	0.8886	0.9634	0.8886
94	43.373	44.15	30.6616	57.6384	0.4551	0.3896	0.8975	0.8683
95	37.395	36.159	19.6391	52.6789	0.4417	0.196	0.8496	0.486
96	10.963	16.891	-2.1845	35.9665	0.2712	0.0176	0.8149	0.0222
97	76.058	72.131	50.804	93.458	0.3591	1	0.7886	0.9995
98	50.179	46.761	23.3984	70.1236	0.3872	0.007	0.7678	0.8064
99	57.452	54.11	28.8755	79.3445	0.3976	0.6199	0.7509	0.9149
100	47.568	46.074	19.0972	73.0508	0.4568	0.2042	0.7368	0.7577
101	50.05	45.745	17.1318	74.3582	0.384	0.4503	0.7249	0.7378
102	50.856	59.678	29.517	89.839	0.2832	0.7342	0.7146	0.9344
103	41.992	46.715	15.0819	78.3481	0.3849	0.3988	0.7055	0.7375
104	39.284	45.175	12.1353	78.2147	0.3634	0.5749	0.6975	0.6975

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
93	0.1148	0.0871	0	13.6382	0	0
94	0.1559	-0.0176	0.0524	0.6037	7.121	2.6685
95	0.2331	0.0342	0.0463	1.5277	5.2566	2.2927
96	0.5762	-0.351	0.1225	35.1412	12.7277	3.5676
97	0.1509	0.0544	0.1089	15.4213	13.2664	3.6423
98	0.2549	0.0731	0.1029	11.6827	13.0025	3.6059
99	0.2379	0.0618	0.097	11.169	12.7406	3.5694
100	0.2987	0.0324	0.0889	2.232	11.427	3.3804
101	0.3191	0.0941	0.0895	18.533	12.2165	3.4952
102	0.2579	-0.1478	0.0954	77.8277	18.7777	4.3333
103	0.3455	-0.1011	0.0959	22.3067	19.0985	4.3702
104	0.3731	-0.1304	0.0988	34.7039	20.3989	4.5165