Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.859090117482426 |
beta | 0.0739570283337536 |
gamma | 1 |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
13 | 299.5 | 239.394497863248 | 60.1055021367521 |
14 | 347.4 | 339.492687410756 | 7.90731258924438 |
15 | 338.3 | 339.929491887113 | -1.62949188711269 |
16 | 327.7 | 329.22395755945 | -1.52395755944974 |
17 | 351.6 | 353.166427606604 | -1.56642760660441 |
18 | 396.6 | 400.389554566437 | -3.78955456643666 |
19 | 438.8 | 384.599542925439 | 54.2004570745614 |
20 | 395.6 | 427.763510672222 | -32.1635106722219 |
21 | 363.5 | 393.90201437851 | -30.4020143785102 |
22 | 378.8 | 345.07635395866 | 33.7236460413397 |
23 | 357 | 410.295571899348 | -53.2955718993481 |
24 | 369 | 383.104598762058 | -14.1045987620579 |
25 | 464.8 | 456.976349628355 | 7.82365037164504 |
26 | 479.1 | 502.592157461922 | -23.4921574619217 |
27 | 431.3 | 470.50284979557 | -39.2028497955702 |
28 | 366.5 | 420.938726552737 | -54.4387265527371 |
29 | 326.3 | 389.460118106086 | -63.1601181060856 |
30 | 355.1 | 369.58551331217 | -14.48551331217 |
31 | 331.6 | 338.228558771616 | -6.62855877161644 |
32 | 261.3 | 298.551050153261 | -37.2510501532606 |
33 | 249 | 241.829537110763 | 7.17046288923711 |
34 | 205.5 | 217.967581386681 | -12.4675813866814 |
35 | 235.6 | 211.957331684542 | 23.6426683154577 |
36 | 240.9 | 241.988791886475 | -1.0887918864747 |
37 | 264.9 | 316.562325993368 | -51.6623259933685 |
38 | 253.8 | 289.312251522348 | -35.5122515223484 |
39 | 232.3 | 226.569741231469 | 5.73025876853075 |
40 | 193.8 | 198.202113954416 | -4.40211395441639 |
41 | 177 | 196.401440515575 | -19.4014405155752 |
42 | 213.2 | 211.679362402571 | 1.52063759742936 |
43 | 207.2 | 186.898365671572 | 20.3016343284285 |
44 | 180.6 | 159.470447421727 | 21.1295525782726 |
45 | 188.6 | 156.300958206077 | 32.2990417939228 |
46 | 175.4 | 149.994479718461 | 25.4055202815389 |
47 | 199 | 182.750182367092 | 16.2498176329084 |
48 | 179.6 | 203.617154073344 | -24.0171540733444 |
49 | 225.8 | 250.581620945867 | -24.7816209458666 |
50 | 234 | 249.622858322185 | -15.6228583221851 |
51 | 200.2 | 211.96495270279 | -11.7649527027905 |
52 | 183.6 | 168.214385528103 | 15.3856144718968 |
53 | 178.2 | 183.631603723917 | -5.43160372391736 |
54 | 203.2 | 217.078589038264 | -13.8785890382636 |
55 | 208.5 | 183.955882611485 | 24.5441173885148 |
56 | 191.8 | 162.800036528604 | 28.9999634713956 |
57 | 172.8 | 170.97661845396 | 1.82338154604037 |
58 | 148 | 138.591929629814 | 9.40807037018644 |
59 | 159.4 | 156.372335669959 | 3.02766433004112 |
60 | 154.5 | 159.424275934005 | -4.92427593400538 |
61 | 213.2 | 223.114609211206 | -9.91460921120554 |
62 | 196.4 | 237.594180801579 | -41.1941808015788 |
63 | 182.8 | 178.262799760325 | 4.53720023967503 |
64 | 176.4 | 153.129781835644 | 23.2702181643558 |
65 | 153.6 | 173.67493513226 | -20.0749351322602 |
66 | 173.2 | 193.709042121911 | -20.5090421219108 |
67 | 171 | 160.240373884818 | 10.7596261151817 |
68 | 151.2 | 126.93052816103 | 24.2694718389698 |
69 | 161.9 | 125.973435002333 | 35.9265649976673 |
70 | 157.2 | 124.881675573487 | 32.3183244265131 |
71 | 201.7 | 163.82707632672 | 37.8729236732796 |
72 | 236.4 | 200.289731456659 | 36.1102685433414 |
73 | 356.1 | 305.73241363323 | 50.3675863667696 |
74 | 398.3 | 378.625462123986 | 19.6745378760142 |
75 | 403.7 | 392.93037829375 | 10.7696217062501 |
76 | 384.6 | 391.087800001002 | -6.48780000100203 |
77 | 365.8 | 393.366236037287 | -27.566236037287 |
78 | 368.1 | 419.833367569896 | -51.733367569896 |
79 | 367.9 | 374.892290362597 | -6.99229036259692 |
80 | 347 | 338.053774113893 | 8.94622588610736 |
81 | 343.3 | 334.419812173428 | 8.8801878265719 |
82 | 292.9 | 316.710509488051 | -23.8105094880509 |
83 | 311.5 | 311.77886280598 | -0.27886280597977 |
84 | 300.9 | 316.35329838902 | -15.4532983890202 |
85 | 366.9 | 377.367075471289 | -10.4670754712891 |
86 | 356.9 | 387.667386022288 | -30.767386022288 |
87 | 329.7 | 348.173160300283 | -18.4731603002825 |
88 | 316.2 | 307.708500690044 | 8.49149930995566 |
89 | 269 | 309.768910811547 | -40.768910811547 |
90 | 289.3 | 310.533091409793 | -21.2330914097927 |
91 | 266.2 | 289.081542105615 | -22.8815421056147 |
92 | 253.6 | 230.811667742154 | 22.7883322578464 |
93 | 233.8 | 229.912532395136 | 3.88746760486373 |
94 | 228.4 | 193.84288977486 | 34.5571102251398 |
95 | 253.6 | 236.613859543986 | 16.9861404560139 |
96 | 260.1 | 249.222935445931 | 10.8770645540691 |
97 | 306.6 | 330.57306919561 | -23.97306919561 |
98 | 309.2 | 322.565480154245 | -13.3654801542449 |
99 | 309.5 | 297.0145613871 | 12.4854386129 |
100 | 271 | 286.173816735983 | -15.1738167359828 |
101 | 279.9 | 258.686817021151 | 21.2131829788488 |
102 | 317.9 | 317.114578730617 | 0.785421269383164 |
103 | 298.4 | 317.408182699646 | -19.0081826996459 |
104 | 246.7 | 272.208856180452 | -25.5088561804516 |
105 | 227.3 | 227.393813157532 | -0.0938131575317982 |
106 | 209.1 | 192.211641881398 | 16.8883581186024 |
107 | 259.9 | 216.191135150407 | 43.7088648495929 |
108 | 266 | 251.4579558263 | 14.5420441737 |
109 | 320.6 | 331.840111835225 | -11.2401118352251 |
110 | 308.5 | 337.869195516853 | -29.3691955168528 |
111 | 282.2 | 302.798685634971 | -20.5986856349709 |
112 | 262.7 | 258.122602326404 | 4.57739767359607 |
113 | 263.5 | 252.470239788877 | 11.0297602111226 |
114 | 313.1 | 298.363314923532 | 14.7366850764681 |
115 | 284.3 | 307.831866174973 | -23.5318661749727 |
116 | 252.6 | 257.521531948133 | -4.92153194813298 |
117 | 250.3 | 234.973370772295 | 15.3266292277048 |
118 | 246.5 | 217.410738648675 | 29.0892613513254 |
119 | 312.7 | 258.405409058459 | 54.2945909415411 |
120 | 333.2 | 302.083228497537 | 31.1167715024629 |
121 | 446.4 | 397.551495514047 | 48.848504485953 |
122 | 511.6 | 460.945211166622 | 50.6547888333779 |
123 | 515.5 | 509.24041352315 | 6.2595864768499 |
124 | 506.4 | 506.274072424588 | 0.125927575412106 |
125 | 483.2 | 512.512377188484 | -29.312377188484 |
126 | 522.3 | 536.512774692791 | -14.2127746927911 |
127 | 509.8 | 526.121899968481 | -16.3218999684809 |
128 | 460.7 | 495.489232971947 | -34.7892329719472 |
129 | 405.8 | 459.09880068269 | -53.2988006826901 |
130 | 375 | 389.12347213966 | -14.1234721396601 |
131 | 378.5 | 398.404078112998 | -19.9040781129979 |
132 | 406.8 | 372.216189998842 | 34.5838100011579 |
133 | 467.8 | 470.525432412874 | -2.72543241287417 |
134 | 469.8 | 483.954123473305 | -14.1541234733052 |
135 | 429.8 | 460.286335606016 | -30.486335606016 |
136 | 355.8 | 412.522391646778 | -56.7223916467779 |
137 | 332.7 | 349.797567198498 | -17.0975671984976 |
138 | 378 | 371.218195698952 | 6.781804301048 |
139 | 360.5 | 364.699191314889 | -4.19919131488905 |
140 | 334.7 | 328.781850809113 | 5.91814919088711 |
141 | 319.5 | 314.243978390401 | 5.25602160959932 |
142 | 323.1 | 293.302465786577 | 29.7975342134231 |
143 | 363.6 | 335.500939767786 | 28.0990602322143 |
144 | 352.1 | 357.280180836376 | -5.18018083637611 |
145 | 411.9 | 412.695121167534 | -0.795121167534489 |
146 | 388.6 | 422.818142247417 | -34.2181422474168 |
147 | 416.4 | 374.98383573684 | 41.4161642631596 |
148 | 360.7 | 385.233730369835 | -24.5337303698354 |
149 | 338 | 357.730557989374 | -19.7305579893741 |
150 | 417.2 | 382.071922416252 | 35.1280775837478 |
151 | 388.4 | 401.976465130285 | -13.5764651302848 |
152 | 371.1 | 362.451917133404 | 8.64808286659621 |
153 | 331.5 | 353.362534337187 | -21.862534337187 |
154 | 353.7 | 314.055413027326 | 39.6445869726741 |
155 | 396.7 | 366.573233905234 | 30.126766094766 |
156 | 447 | 387.633087863441 | 59.3669121365592 |
157 | 533.5 | 505.446748995593 | 28.0532510044074 |
158 | 565.4 | 543.805443437586 | 21.594556562414 |
159 | 542.3 | 566.284953845707 | -23.9849538457074 |
160 | 488.7 | 518.609150799593 | -29.9091507995927 |
161 | 467.1 | 494.376039391577 | -27.2760393915765 |
162 | 531.3 | 526.697088456681 | 4.60291154331912 |
163 | 496.1 | 518.307181163603 | -22.207181163603 |
164 | 444 | 478.743739592731 | -34.7437395927311 |
165 | 403.4 | 429.564702208672 | -26.1647022086715 |
166 | 386.3 | 396.442329515043 | -10.1423295150425 |
167 | 394.1 | 402.89803553054 | -8.79803553054023 |
168 | 404.1 | 390.215574175929 | 13.8844258240709 |
169 | 462.1 | 457.2308840541 | 4.86911594589952 |
170 | 448.1 | 465.976809417729 | -17.8768094177293 |
171 | 432.3 | 436.830999113449 | -4.53099911344941 |
172 | 386.3 | 394.975883254872 | -8.67588325487247 |
173 | 395.2 | 380.646930027698 | 14.5530699723015 |
174 | 421.9 | 447.344493179188 | -25.4444931791877 |
175 | 382.9 | 401.40374633766 | -18.5037463376605 |
176 | 384.2 | 355.531060486583 | 28.668939513417 |
177 | 345.5 | 358.342768894595 | -12.8427688945945 |
178 | 323.4 | 336.073935863088 | -12.6739358630883 |
179 | 372.6 | 337.534428429881 | 35.0655715701193 |
180 | 376 | 365.508088925684 | 10.4919110743164 |
181 | 462.7 | 427.900178185214 | 34.7998218147865 |
182 | 487 | 460.617422941469 | 26.382577058531 |
183 | 444.2 | 475.650295578897 | -31.4502955788973 |
184 | 399.3 | 412.65001012335 | -13.3500101233498 |
185 | 394.9 | 399.846762703068 | -4.94676270306798 |
186 | 455.4 | 445.185236787112 | 10.2147632128882 |
187 | 414 | 434.151738608337 | -20.151738608337 |
188 | 375.5 | 396.700384154201 | -21.2003841542007 |
189 | 347 | 350.841962139078 | -3.84196213907836 |
190 | 339.4 | 336.922819170623 | 2.47718082937701 |
191 | 385.8 | 359.682488023097 | 26.1175119769031 |
192 | 378.8 | 377.493798924108 | 1.30620107589158 |
193 | 451.8 | 435.823650940622 | 15.9763490593784 |
194 | 446.1 | 450.391690398507 | -4.29169039850666 |
195 | 422.5 | 428.182394150977 | -5.68239415097673 |
196 | 383.1 | 388.765764693687 | -5.66576469368721 |
197 | 352.8 | 383.132498938445 | -30.3324989384452 |
198 | 445.3 | 406.570266636767 | 38.7297333632328 |
199 | 367.5 | 415.337997290182 | -47.8379972901823 |
200 | 355.1 | 351.778059801717 | 3.32194019828319 |
201 | 326.2 | 328.814714534774 | -2.61471453477384 |
202 | 319.8 | 316.300508680224 | 3.49949131977644 |
203 | 331.8 | 342.794735054668 | -10.9947350546675 |
204 | 340.9 | 322.394312257622 | 18.5056877423781 |
205 | 394.1 | 395.827214314572 | -1.72721431457239 |
206 | 417.2 | 389.465493350546 | 27.7345066494545 |
207 | 369.9 | 393.743594079095 | -23.8435940790949 |
208 | 349.2 | 336.743286493259 | 12.4567135067414 |
209 | 321.4 | 342.370587319689 | -20.9705873196891 |
210 | 405.7 | 383.344959186726 | 22.355040813274 |
211 | 342.9 | 364.569053506191 | -21.6690535061908 |
212 | 316.5 | 331.084150283876 | -14.5841502838757 |
213 | 284.2 | 291.148261888218 | -6.94826188821833 |
214 | 270.9 | 274.74430073495 | -3.84430073495002 |
215 | 288.8 | 291.392175220439 | -2.59217522043883 |
216 | 278.8 | 281.406079633933 | -2.60607963393284 |
217 | 324.4 | 331.548573088642 | -7.14857308864231 |
218 | 310.9 | 322.033931876023 | -11.1339318760226 |
219 | 299 | 280.536209451956 | 18.4637905480442 |
220 | 273 | 262.568393858032 | 10.4316061419681 |
221 | 279.3 | 259.188605093525 | 20.1113949064753 |
222 | 359.2 | 341.614182874135 | 17.5858171258652 |
223 | 305 | 312.287709889258 | -7.2877098892576 |
224 | 282.1 | 292.819794800918 | -10.7197948009177 |
225 | 250.3 | 258.189017955925 | -7.88901795592506 |
226 | 246.5 | 242.263779527081 | 4.23622047291923 |
227 | 257.9 | 267.392926941997 | -9.49292694199659 |
228 | 266.5 | 252.401000184423 | 14.0989998155771 |
229 | 315.9 | 318.240445580035 | -2.34044558003501 |
230 | 318.4 | 314.586196245985 | 3.813803754015 |
231 | 295.4 | 293.341606487178 | 2.05839351282185 |
232 | 266.4 | 262.347002142977 | 4.05299785702346 |
233 | 245.8 | 256.644862137143 | -10.8448621371432 |
234 | 362.8 | 311.946987675618 | 50.8530123243816 |
235 | 324.9 | 309.635404948473 | 15.264595051527 |
236 | 294.2 | 312.431512532697 | -18.2315125326971 |
237 | 289.5 | 274.642290068753 | 14.8577099312466 |
238 | 295.2 | 284.308249577911 | 10.891750422089 |
239 | 290.3 | 317.984531433373 | -27.6845314333725 |
240 | 272 | 294.296902373435 | -22.2969023734349 |
241 | 307.4 | 327.848256250696 | -20.4482562506962 |
242 | 328.7 | 309.65021558839 | 19.0497844116101 |
243 | 292.9 | 302.3606364003 | -9.46063640030042 |
244 | 249.1 | 262.13262133736 | -13.0326213373596 |
245 | 230.4 | 238.949005941188 | -8.54900594118786 |
246 | 361.5 | 304.359054953153 | 57.140945046847 |
247 | 321.7 | 302.275857787847 | 19.4241422121533 |
248 | 277.2 | 304.030983001452 | -26.830983001452 |
249 | 260.7 | 263.075789422776 | -2.37578942277605 |
250 | 251 | 255.841984245508 | -4.84198424550806 |
251 | 257.6 | 268.030343313098 | -10.4303433130984 |
252 | 241.8 | 258.485597270855 | -16.6855972708549 |
253 | 287.5 | 296.035389246684 | -8.53538924668408 |
254 | 292.3 | 293.311460964079 | -1.01146096407871 |
255 | 274.7 | 263.169679564275 | 11.5303204357248 |
256 | 254.2 | 240.204751811024 | 13.9952481889759 |
257 | 230 | 242.322825473091 | -12.3228254730913 |
258 | 339 | 314.957941966701 | 24.0420580332989 |
259 | 318.2 | 278.232940400308 | 39.9670595996923 |
260 | 287 | 291.531480962192 | -4.53148096219155 |
261 | 295.8 | 275.009365595265 | 20.7906344047346 |
262 | 284 | 290.631809056547 | -6.63180905654662 |
263 | 271 | 303.683088525327 | -32.6830885253269 |
264 | 262.7 | 275.913953207475 | -13.2139532074752 |
265 | 340.6 | 319.589369984925 | 21.0106300150749 |
266 | 379.4 | 347.180284108716 | 32.2197158912835 |
267 | 373.3 | 353.337660495238 | 19.9623395047617 |
268 | 355.2 | 344.482985562489 | 10.7170144375114 |
269 | 338.4 | 346.387055178653 | -7.98705517865272 |
270 | 466.9 | 434.457407813977 | 32.4425921860229 |
271 | 451 | 414.313193742951 | 36.6868062570488 |
272 | 422 | 425.434985112529 | -3.43498511252898 |
273 | 429.2 | 420.404229643883 | 8.7957703561168 |
274 | 425.9 | 428.077042793118 | -2.17704279311778 |
275 | 460.7 | 447.786654269509 | 12.9133457304909 |
276 | 463.6 | 471.331531394261 | -7.73153139426097 |
277 | 541.4 | 534.286927176612 | 7.1130728233876 |
278 | 544.2 | 560.382569088662 | -16.1825690886617 |
279 | 517.5 | 529.020070591125 | -11.5200705911252 |
280 | 469.4 | 495.605387268538 | -26.2053872685377 |
281 | 439.4 | 464.597282316292 | -25.1972823162915 |
282 | 549 | 543.92905513558 | 5.07094486441963 |
283 | 533 | 499.4787222342 | 33.5212777658004 |
284 | 506.1 | 500.636899395101 | 5.46310060489913 |
285 | 484 | 503.948599258883 | -19.9485992588831 |
286 | 457 | 482.529699094898 | -25.5296990948981 |
287 | 481.5 | 479.968398984442 | 1.53160101555767 |
288 | 469.5 | 485.767856568263 | -16.2678565682633 |
289 | 544.7 | 537.880761423344 | 6.81923857665561 |
290 | 541.2 | 554.821948325977 | -13.6219483259765 |
291 | 521.5 | 520.859498155089 | 0.640501844910659 |
292 | 469.7 | 491.13841952318 | -21.4384195231802 |
293 | 434.4 | 459.986377618636 | -25.5863776186362 |
294 | 542.6 | 538.843009599196 | 3.7569904008036 |
295 | 517.3 | 492.783356139096 | 24.5166438609038 |
296 | 485.7 | 477.190502334357 | 8.50949766564275 |
297 | 465.8 | 474.67056277421 | -8.87056277420987 |
298 | 447 | 457.81810414325 | -10.8181041432497 |
299 | 426.6 | 468.479148728365 | -41.8791487283652 |
300 | 411.6 | 428.48916034173 | -16.8891603417301 |
301 | 467.5 | 477.29445373111 | -9.79445373111042 |
302 | 484.5 | 469.999997676847 | 14.5000023231531 |
303 | 451.2 | 456.910688022213 | -5.71068802221339 |
304 | 417.4 | 412.922829551058 | 4.47717044894159 |
305 | 379.9 | 399.397295919866 | -19.497295919866 |
306 | 484.7 | 483.95381206586 | 0.746187934139982 |
307 | 455 | 434.375598404989 | 20.6244015950107 |
308 | 420.8 | 409.07884621887 | 11.7211537811301 |
309 | 416.5 | 402.96849497445 | 13.5315050255502 |
310 | 376.3 | 402.609844364408 | -26.309844364408 |
311 | 405.6 | 392.123841300825 | 13.4761586991746 |
312 | 405.8 | 403.265989317784 | 2.53401068221564 |
313 | 500.8 | 471.04691955406 | 29.75308044594 |
314 | 514 | 504.953038855595 | 9.0469611444048 |
315 | 475.5 | 487.787076964121 | -12.2870769641206 |
316 | 430.1 | 442.623129418819 | -12.5231294188193 |
317 | 414.4 | 413.072491832794 | 1.32750816720568 |
318 | 538 | 521.652942786617 | 16.3470572133829 |
319 | 526 | 492.5505759498 | 33.4494240502 |
320 | 488.5 | 482.104223106612 | 6.39577689338842 |
321 | 520.2 | 476.422742659799 | 43.7772573402013 |
322 | 504.4 | 503.104318792736 | 1.29568120726367 |
323 | 568.5 | 530.364568479706 | 38.1354315202941 |
324 | 610.6 | 571.140520262925 | 39.4594797370748 |
325 | 818 | 686.816402393428 | 131.183597606572 |
326 | 830.9 | 823.724454383538 | 7.17554561646182 |
327 | 835.9 | 820.607373932554 | 15.2926260674461 |
328 | 782 | 819.518684587316 | -37.5186845873162 |
329 | 762.3 | 789.273262898008 | -26.9732628980084 |
330 | 856.9 | 892.686051835723 | -35.786051835723 |
331 | 820.9 | 834.923070258651 | -14.023070258651 |
332 | 769.6 | 790.581771362848 | -20.9817713628479 |
333 | 752.2 | 775.608807568442 | -23.4088075684418 |
334 | 724.4 | 743.277586017288 | -18.8775860172879 |
335 | 723.1 | 761.808702989775 | -38.7087029897747 |
336 | 719.5 | 735.28327672928 | -15.7832767292801 |
337 | 817.4 | 811.443684328295 | 5.9563156717054 |
338 | 803.3 | 810.358043321371 | -7.05804332137131 |
339 | 752.5 | 782.314249740777 | -29.8142497407767 |
340 | 689 | 718.324599906623 | -29.3245999066231 |
341 | 630.4 | 680.416753181498 | -50.0167531814983 |
342 | 765.5 | 745.139376464795 | 20.360623535205 |
343 | 757.7 | 724.593467430904 | 33.1065325690961 |
344 | 732.2 | 708.670009000146 | 23.5299909998537 |
345 | 702.6 | 723.332569468268 | -20.7325694682676 |
346 | 683.3 | 685.846910809691 | -2.54691080969121 |
347 | 709.5 | 708.558670126902 | 0.941329873098425 |
348 | 702.2 | 714.791330063741 | -12.5913300637409 |
349 | 784.8 | 792.424749328058 | -7.62474932805799 |
350 | 810.9 | 772.642533036507 | 38.2574669634931 |
351 | 755.6 | 778.006062405978 | -22.4060624059783 |
352 | 656.8 | 718.604184623442 | -61.8041846234416 |
353 | 615.1 | 645.96857893957 | -30.8685789395701 |
354 | 745.3 | 734.365531198338 | 10.9344688016622 |
355 | 694.1 | 704.226286331927 | -10.1262863319272 |
356 | 675.7 | 643.774237418459 | 31.9257625815407 |
357 | 643.7 | 653.907648081476 | -10.2076480814758 |
358 | 622.1 | 623.190251191308 | -1.09025119130797 |
359 | 634.6 | 642.901356733159 | -8.30135673315863 |
360 | 588 | 633.956006137365 | -45.956006137365 |
361 | 689.7 | 676.175328143539 | 13.5246718564608 |
362 | 673.9 | 674.920698593806 | -1.02069859380583 |
363 | 647.9 | 629.390155815901 | 18.5098441840985 |
364 | 568.8 | 593.584269672454 | -24.7842696724545 |
365 | 545.7 | 553.460453189643 | -7.76045318964293 |
366 | 632.6 | 665.417236164438 | -32.8172361644375 |
367 | 643.8 | 589.761273628369 | 54.0387263716307 |
368 | 593.1 | 589.472682854483 | 3.62731714551694 |
369 | 579.7 | 566.674582306773 | 13.0254176932274 |
370 | 546 | 555.993761806174 | -9.99376180617435 |
371 | 562.9 | 565.266689948433 | -2.36668994843342 |
372 | 572.5 | 554.717760847411 | 17.7822391525889 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
373 | 662.72897232513 | 615.085067232277 | 710.372877417984 |
374 | 649.60012168998 | 584.775717000758 | 714.424526379202 |
375 | 609.55762561815 | 529.496678783867 | 689.618572452433 |
376 | 552.432638033045 | 458.034949763685 | 646.830326302405 |
377 | 538.257345161095 | 429.979761907971 | 646.53492841422 |
378 | 656.101153149199 | 534.169138380113 | 778.033167918285 |
379 | 625.712929861659 | 490.216089728147 | 761.209769995171 |
380 | 573.299258922852 | 424.241236727722 | 722.357281117981 |
381 | 549.881308357237 | 387.208496635815 | 712.554120078659 |
382 | 525.111327701777 | 348.730576688271 | 701.492078715282 |
383 | 545.023966161265 | 354.814088633936 | 735.233843688593 |
384 | 540.477228178213 | 336.296781562956 | 744.65767479347 |