Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.9357 |
R-squared | 0.8755 |
RMSE | 29003.7256 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 210907 | 145472.614035088 | 65434.3859649123 |
2 | 120982 | 125386.181818182 | -4404.18181818182 |
3 | 176508 | 145472.614035088 | 31035.3859649123 |
4 | 179321 | 236424.6 | -57103.6 |
5 | 123185 | 125386.181818182 | -2201.18181818182 |
6 | 52746 | 39424.1333333333 | 13321.8666666667 |
7 | 385534 | 322592.294117647 | 62941.705882353 |
8 | 33170 | 19387.4 | 13782.6 |
9 | 101645 | 84318.9245283019 | 17326.0754716981 |
10 | 149061 | 145472.614035088 | 3588.38596491228 |
11 | 165446 | 145472.614035088 | 19973.3859649123 |
12 | 237213 | 236424.6 | 788.399999999994 |
13 | 173326 | 145472.614035088 | 27853.3859649123 |
14 | 133131 | 145472.614035088 | -12341.6140350877 |
15 | 258873 | 209288.15625 | 49584.84375 |
16 | 180083 | 145472.614035088 | 34610.3859649123 |
17 | 324799 | 322592.294117647 | 2206.70588235295 |
18 | 230964 | 209288.15625 | 21675.84375 |
19 | 236785 | 236424.6 | 360.399999999994 |
20 | 135473 | 125386.181818182 | 10086.8181818182 |
21 | 202925 | 209288.15625 | -6363.15625 |
22 | 215147 | 209288.15625 | 5858.84375 |
23 | 344297 | 236424.6 | 107872.4 |
24 | 153935 | 145472.614035088 | 8462.38596491228 |
25 | 132943 | 145472.614035088 | -12529.6140350877 |
26 | 174724 | 236424.6 | -61700.6 |
27 | 174415 | 236424.6 | -62009.6 |
28 | 225548 | 236424.6 | -10876.6 |
29 | 223632 | 236424.6 | -12792.6 |
30 | 124817 | 145472.614035088 | -20655.6140350877 |
31 | 221698 | 209288.15625 | 12409.84375 |
32 | 210767 | 209288.15625 | 1478.84375 |
33 | 170266 | 145472.614035088 | 24793.3859649123 |
34 | 260561 | 236424.6 | 24136.4 |
35 | 84853 | 84318.9245283019 | 534.075471698117 |
36 | 294424 | 322592.294117647 | -28168.294117647 |
37 | 101011 | 84318.9245283019 | 16692.0754716981 |
38 | 215641 | 209288.15625 | 6352.84375 |
39 | 325107 | 236424.6 | 88682.4 |
40 | 7176 | 19387.4 | -12211.4 |
41 | 167542 | 145472.614035088 | 22069.3859649123 |
42 | 106408 | 84318.9245283019 | 22089.0754716981 |
43 | 96560 | 144951.266666667 | -48391.2666666667 |
44 | 265769 | 236424.6 | 29344.4 |
45 | 269651 | 322592.294117647 | -52941.294117647 |
46 | 149112 | 145472.614035088 | 3639.38596491228 |
47 | 175824 | 236424.6 | -60600.6 |
48 | 152871 | 145472.614035088 | 7398.38596491228 |
49 | 111665 | 84318.9245283019 | 27346.0754716981 |
50 | 116408 | 144951.266666667 | -28543.2666666667 |
51 | 362301 | 322592.294117647 | 39708.705882353 |
52 | 78800 | 84318.9245283019 | -5518.92452830188 |
53 | 183167 | 209288.15625 | -26121.15625 |
54 | 277965 | 322592.294117647 | -44627.294117647 |
55 | 150629 | 209288.15625 | -58659.15625 |
56 | 168809 | 145472.614035088 | 23336.3859649123 |
57 | 24188 | 39424.1333333333 | -15236.1333333333 |
58 | 329267 | 236424.6 | 92842.4 |
59 | 65029 | 60147 | 4882 |
60 | 101097 | 84318.9245283019 | 16778.0754716981 |
61 | 218946 | 209288.15625 | 9657.84375 |
62 | 244052 | 209288.15625 | 34763.84375 |
63 | 341570 | 322592.294117647 | 18977.705882353 |
64 | 103597 | 84318.9245283019 | 19278.0754716981 |
65 | 233328 | 236424.6 | -3096.60000000001 |
66 | 256462 | 236424.6 | 20037.4 |
67 | 206161 | 209288.15625 | -3127.15625 |
68 | 311473 | 322592.294117647 | -11119.294117647 |
69 | 235800 | 236424.6 | -624.600000000006 |
70 | 177939 | 144951.266666667 | 32987.7333333333 |
71 | 207176 | 209288.15625 | -2112.15625 |
72 | 196553 | 145472.614035088 | 51080.3859649123 |
73 | 174184 | 145472.614035088 | 28711.3859649123 |
74 | 143246 | 145472.614035088 | -2226.61403508772 |
75 | 187559 | 236424.6 | -48865.6 |
76 | 187681 | 209288.15625 | -21607.15625 |
77 | 119016 | 145472.614035088 | -26456.6140350877 |
78 | 182192 | 209288.15625 | -27096.15625 |
79 | 73566 | 84318.9245283019 | -10752.9245283019 |
80 | 194979 | 209288.15625 | -14309.15625 |
81 | 167488 | 145472.614035088 | 22015.3859649123 |
82 | 143756 | 145472.614035088 | -1716.61403508772 |
83 | 275541 | 209288.15625 | 66252.84375 |
84 | 243199 | 236424.6 | 6774.39999999999 |
85 | 182999 | 145472.614035088 | 37526.3859649123 |
86 | 135649 | 145472.614035088 | -9823.61403508772 |
87 | 152299 | 145472.614035088 | 6826.38596491228 |
88 | 120221 | 145472.614035088 | -25251.6140350877 |
89 | 346485 | 322592.294117647 | 23892.705882353 |
90 | 145790 | 145472.614035088 | 317.385964912275 |
91 | 193339 | 236424.6 | -43085.6 |
92 | 80953 | 125386.181818182 | -44433.1818181818 |
93 | 122774 | 144951.266666667 | -22177.2666666667 |
94 | 130585 | 125386.181818182 | 5198.81818181818 |
95 | 112611 | 125386.181818182 | -12775.1818181818 |
96 | 286468 | 322592.294117647 | -36124.294117647 |
97 | 241066 | 236424.6 | 4641.39999999999 |
98 | 148446 | 236424.6 | -87978.6 |
99 | 204713 | 209288.15625 | -4575.15625 |
100 | 182079 | 209288.15625 | -27209.15625 |
101 | 140344 | 145472.614035088 | -5128.61403508772 |
102 | 220516 | 209288.15625 | 11227.84375 |
103 | 243060 | 209288.15625 | 33771.84375 |
104 | 162765 | 145472.614035088 | 17292.3859649123 |
105 | 182613 | 145472.614035088 | 37140.3859649123 |
106 | 232138 | 209288.15625 | 22849.84375 |
107 | 265318 | 236424.6 | 28893.4 |
108 | 85574 | 145472.614035088 | -59898.6140350877 |
109 | 310839 | 322592.294117647 | -11753.294117647 |
110 | 225060 | 236424.6 | -11364.6 |
111 | 232317 | 209288.15625 | 23028.84375 |
112 | 144966 | 145472.614035088 | -506.614035087725 |
113 | 43287 | 60147 | -16860 |
114 | 155754 | 209288.15625 | -53534.15625 |
115 | 164709 | 145472.614035088 | 19236.3859649123 |
116 | 201940 | 209288.15625 | -7348.15625 |
117 | 235454 | 236424.6 | -970.600000000006 |
118 | 220801 | 144951.266666667 | 75849.7333333333 |
119 | 99466 | 84318.9245283019 | 15147.0754716981 |
120 | 92661 | 105271.692307692 | -12610.6923076923 |
121 | 133328 | 145472.614035088 | -12144.6140350877 |
122 | 61361 | 84318.9245283019 | -22957.9245283019 |
123 | 125930 | 144951.266666667 | -19021.2666666667 |
124 | 100750 | 145472.614035088 | -44722.6140350877 |
125 | 224549 | 145472.614035088 | 79076.3859649123 |
126 | 82316 | 84318.9245283019 | -2002.92452830188 |
127 | 102010 | 84318.9245283019 | 17691.0754716981 |
128 | 101523 | 145472.614035088 | -43949.6140350877 |
129 | 243511 | 209288.15625 | 34222.84375 |
130 | 22938 | 19387.4 | 3550.6 |
131 | 41566 | 60147 | -18581 |
132 | 152474 | 145472.614035088 | 7001.38596491228 |
133 | 61857 | 39424.1333333333 | 22432.8666666667 |
134 | 99923 | 144951.266666667 | -45028.2666666667 |
135 | 132487 | 105271.692307692 | 27215.3076923077 |
136 | 317394 | 322592.294117647 | -5198.29411764705 |
137 | 21054 | 19387.4 | 1666.6 |
138 | 209641 | 209288.15625 | 352.84375 |
139 | 22648 | 60147 | -37499 |
140 | 31414 | 39424.1333333333 | -8010.13333333333 |
141 | 46698 | 60147 | -13449 |
142 | 131698 | 209288.15625 | -77590.15625 |
143 | 91735 | 84318.9245283019 | 7416.07547169812 |
144 | 244749 | 236424.6 | 8324.39999999999 |
145 | 184510 | 145472.614035088 | 39037.3859649123 |
146 | 79863 | 105271.692307692 | -25408.6923076923 |
147 | 128423 | 84318.9245283019 | 44104.0754716981 |
148 | 97839 | 84318.9245283019 | 13520.0754716981 |
149 | 38214 | 39424.1333333333 | -1210.13333333333 |
150 | 151101 | 105271.692307692 | 45829.3076923077 |
151 | 272458 | 209288.15625 | 63169.84375 |
152 | 172494 | 125386.181818182 | 47107.8181818182 |
153 | 108043 | 145472.614035088 | -37429.6140350877 |
154 | 328107 | 322592.294117647 | 5514.70588235295 |
155 | 250579 | 236424.6 | 14154.4 |
156 | 351067 | 322592.294117647 | 28474.705882353 |
157 | 158015 | 125386.181818182 | 32628.8181818182 |
158 | 98866 | 84318.9245283019 | 14547.0754716981 |
159 | 85439 | 84318.9245283019 | 1120.07547169812 |
160 | 229242 | 236424.6 | -7182.60000000001 |
161 | 351619 | 322592.294117647 | 29026.705882353 |
162 | 84207 | 84318.9245283019 | -111.924528301883 |
163 | 120445 | 145472.614035088 | -25027.6140350877 |
164 | 324598 | 322592.294117647 | 2005.70588235295 |
165 | 131069 | 145472.614035088 | -14403.6140350877 |
166 | 204271 | 145472.614035088 | 58798.3859649123 |
167 | 165543 | 209288.15625 | -43745.15625 |
168 | 141722 | 145472.614035088 | -3750.61403508772 |
169 | 116048 | 125386.181818182 | -9338.18181818182 |
170 | 250047 | 144951.266666667 | 105095.733333333 |
171 | 299775 | 322592.294117647 | -22817.294117647 |
172 | 195838 | 209288.15625 | -13450.15625 |
173 | 173260 | 144951.266666667 | 28308.7333333333 |
174 | 254488 | 236424.6 | 18063.4 |
175 | 104389 | 105271.692307692 | -882.692307692312 |
176 | 136084 | 145472.614035088 | -9388.61403508772 |
177 | 199476 | 209288.15625 | -9812.15625 |
178 | 92499 | 84318.9245283019 | 8180.07547169812 |
179 | 224330 | 236424.6 | -12094.6 |
180 | 135781 | 105271.692307692 | 30509.3076923077 |
181 | 74408 | 145472.614035088 | -71064.6140350877 |
182 | 81240 | 105271.692307692 | -24031.6923076923 |
183 | 14688 | 19387.4 | -4699.4 |
184 | 181633 | 144951.266666667 | 36681.7333333333 |
185 | 271856 | 236424.6 | 35431.4 |
186 | 7199 | 19387.4 | -12188.4 |
187 | 46660 | 39424.1333333333 | 7235.86666666667 |
188 | 17547 | 19387.4 | -1840.4 |
189 | 133368 | 144951.266666667 | -11583.2666666667 |
190 | 95227 | 84318.9245283019 | 10908.0754716981 |
191 | 152601 | 145472.614035088 | 7128.38596491228 |
192 | 98146 | 84318.9245283019 | 13827.0754716981 |
193 | 79619 | 105271.692307692 | -25652.6923076923 |
194 | 59194 | 105271.692307692 | -46077.6923076923 |
195 | 139942 | 145472.614035088 | -5530.61403508772 |
196 | 118612 | 145472.614035088 | -26860.6140350877 |
197 | 72880 | 84318.9245283019 | -11438.9245283019 |
198 | 65475 | 60147 | 5328 |
199 | 99643 | 145472.614035088 | -45829.6140350877 |
200 | 71965 | 60147 | 11818 |
201 | 77272 | 60147 | 17125 |
202 | 49289 | 39424.1333333333 | 9864.86666666667 |
203 | 135131 | 145472.614035088 | -10341.6140350877 |
204 | 108446 | 105271.692307692 | 3174.30769230769 |
205 | 89746 | 105271.692307692 | -15525.6923076923 |
206 | 44296 | 39424.1333333333 | 4871.86666666667 |
207 | 77648 | 84318.9245283019 | -6670.92452830188 |
208 | 181528 | 145472.614035088 | 36055.3859649123 |
209 | 134019 | 145472.614035088 | -11453.6140350877 |
210 | 124064 | 125386.181818182 | -1322.18181818182 |
211 | 92630 | 84318.9245283019 | 8311.07547169812 |
212 | 121848 | 145472.614035088 | -23624.6140350877 |
213 | 52915 | 60147 | -7232 |
214 | 81872 | 60147 | 21725 |
215 | 58981 | 84318.9245283019 | -25337.9245283019 |
216 | 53515 | 60147 | -6632 |
217 | 60812 | 84318.9245283019 | -23506.9245283019 |
218 | 56375 | 60147 | -3772 |
219 | 65490 | 60147 | 5343 |
220 | 80949 | 60147 | 20802 |
221 | 76302 | 84318.9245283019 | -8016.92452830188 |
222 | 104011 | 145472.614035088 | -41461.6140350877 |
223 | 98104 | 144951.266666667 | -46847.2666666667 |
224 | 67989 | 60147 | 7842 |
225 | 30989 | 19387.4 | 11601.6 |
226 | 135458 | 144951.266666667 | -9493.26666666666 |
227 | 73504 | 60147 | 13357 |
228 | 63123 | 84318.9245283019 | -21195.9245283019 |
229 | 61254 | 84318.9245283019 | -23064.9245283019 |
230 | 74914 | 145472.614035088 | -70558.6140350877 |
231 | 31774 | 60147 | -28373 |
232 | 81437 | 84318.9245283019 | -2881.92452830188 |
233 | 87186 | 145472.614035088 | -58286.6140350877 |
234 | 50090 | 60147 | -10057 |
235 | 65745 | 84318.9245283019 | -18573.9245283019 |
236 | 56653 | 60147 | -3494 |
237 | 158399 | 145472.614035088 | 12926.3859649123 |
238 | 46455 | 60147 | -13692 |
239 | 73624 | 84318.9245283019 | -10694.9245283019 |
240 | 38395 | 60147 | -21752 |
241 | 91899 | 84318.9245283019 | 7580.07547169812 |
242 | 139526 | 144951.266666667 | -5425.26666666666 |
243 | 52164 | 60147 | -7983 |
244 | 51567 | 60147 | -8580 |
245 | 70551 | 84318.9245283019 | -13767.9245283019 |
246 | 84856 | 84318.9245283019 | 537.075471698117 |
247 | 102538 | 144951.266666667 | -42413.2666666667 |
248 | 86678 | 60147 | 26531 |
249 | 85709 | 84318.9245283019 | 1390.07547169812 |
250 | 34662 | 39424.1333333333 | -4762.13333333333 |
251 | 150580 | 105271.692307692 | 45308.3076923077 |
252 | 99611 | 84318.9245283019 | 15292.0754716981 |
253 | 19349 | 19387.4 | -38.4000000000015 |
254 | 99373 | 84318.9245283019 | 15054.0754716981 |
255 | 86230 | 84318.9245283019 | 1911.07547169812 |
256 | 30837 | 39424.1333333333 | -8587.13333333333 |
257 | 31706 | 39424.1333333333 | -7718.13333333333 |
258 | 89806 | 84318.9245283019 | 5487.07547169812 |
259 | 62088 | 60147 | 1941 |
260 | 40151 | 39424.1333333333 | 726.866666666669 |
261 | 27634 | 39424.1333333333 | -11790.1333333333 |
262 | 76990 | 84318.9245283019 | -7328.92452830188 |
263 | 37460 | 39424.1333333333 | -1964.13333333333 |
264 | 54157 | 60147 | -5990 |
265 | 49862 | 60147 | -10285 |
266 | 84337 | 84318.9245283019 | 18.0754716981173 |
267 | 64175 | 84318.9245283019 | -20143.9245283019 |
268 | 59382 | 60147 | -765 |
269 | 119308 | 60147 | 59161 |
270 | 76702 | 84318.9245283019 | -7616.92452830188 |
271 | 103425 | 105271.692307692 | -1846.69230769231 |
272 | 70344 | 60147 | 10197 |
273 | 43410 | 60147 | -16737 |
274 | 104838 | 125386.181818182 | -20548.1818181818 |
275 | 62215 | 60147 | 2068 |
276 | 69304 | 84318.9245283019 | -15014.9245283019 |
277 | 53117 | 60147 | -7030 |
278 | 19764 | 19387.4 | 376.599999999999 |
279 | 86680 | 84318.9245283019 | 2361.07547169812 |
280 | 84105 | 60147 | 23958 |
281 | 77945 | 84318.9245283019 | -6373.92452830188 |
282 | 89113 | 84318.9245283019 | 4794.07547169812 |
283 | 91005 | 84318.9245283019 | 6686.07547169812 |
284 | 40248 | 39424.1333333333 | 823.866666666669 |
285 | 64187 | 60147 | 4040 |
286 | 50857 | 84318.9245283019 | -33461.9245283019 |
287 | 56613 | 84318.9245283019 | -27705.9245283019 |
288 | 62792 | 60147 | 2645 |
289 | 72535 | 84318.9245283019 | -11783.9245283019 |