Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.943 |
R-squared | 0.8892 |
RMSE | 27357.3072 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 210907 | 161692.710526316 | 49214.2894736842 |
2 | 120982 | 115681.714285714 | 5300.28571428571 |
3 | 176508 | 183594.9 | -7086.89999999999 |
4 | 179321 | 228546.942307692 | -49225.9423076923 |
5 | 123185 | 115681.714285714 | 7503.28571428571 |
6 | 52746 | 47861.2857142857 | 4884.71428571428 |
7 | 385534 | 322592.294117647 | 62941.705882353 |
8 | 33170 | 25494.3529411765 | 7675.64705882353 |
9 | 101645 | 95634.6129032258 | 6010.3870967742 |
10 | 149061 | 149150.294117647 | -89.2941176470486 |
11 | 165446 | 161692.710526316 | 3753.28947368421 |
12 | 237213 | 228546.942307692 | 8666.05769230769 |
13 | 173326 | 161692.710526316 | 11633.2894736842 |
14 | 133131 | 161692.710526316 | -28561.7105263158 |
15 | 258873 | 228546.942307692 | 30326.0576923077 |
16 | 180083 | 161692.710526316 | 18390.2894736842 |
17 | 324799 | 322592.294117647 | 2206.70588235295 |
18 | 230964 | 228546.942307692 | 2417.05769230769 |
19 | 236785 | 228546.942307692 | 8238.05769230769 |
20 | 135473 | 117064.7 | 18408.3 |
21 | 202925 | 183594.9 | 19330.1 |
22 | 215147 | 228546.942307692 | -13399.9423076923 |
23 | 344297 | 228546.942307692 | 115750.057692308 |
24 | 153935 | 161692.710526316 | -7757.71052631579 |
25 | 132943 | 161692.710526316 | -28749.7105263158 |
26 | 174724 | 228546.942307692 | -53822.9423076923 |
27 | 174415 | 228546.942307692 | -54131.9423076923 |
28 | 225548 | 228546.942307692 | -2998.94230769231 |
29 | 223632 | 161692.710526316 | 61939.2894736842 |
30 | 124817 | 161692.710526316 | -36875.7105263158 |
31 | 221698 | 228546.942307692 | -6848.94230769231 |
32 | 210767 | 228546.942307692 | -17779.9423076923 |
33 | 170266 | 161692.710526316 | 8573.28947368421 |
34 | 260561 | 228546.942307692 | 32014.0576923077 |
35 | 84853 | 84594.8823529412 | 258.117647058825 |
36 | 294424 | 322592.294117647 | -28168.294117647 |
37 | 101011 | 84594.8823529412 | 16416.1176470588 |
38 | 215641 | 228546.942307692 | -12905.9423076923 |
39 | 325107 | 228546.942307692 | 96560.0576923077 |
40 | 7176 | 25494.3529411765 | -18318.3529411765 |
41 | 167542 | 161692.710526316 | 5849.28947368421 |
42 | 106408 | 84594.8823529412 | 21813.1176470588 |
43 | 96560 | 117064.7 | -20504.7 |
44 | 265769 | 228546.942307692 | 37222.0576923077 |
45 | 269651 | 322592.294117647 | -52941.294117647 |
46 | 149112 | 161692.710526316 | -12580.7105263158 |
47 | 175824 | 228546.942307692 | -52722.9423076923 |
48 | 152871 | 161692.710526316 | -8821.71052631579 |
49 | 111665 | 84594.8823529412 | 27070.1176470588 |
50 | 116408 | 149150.294117647 | -32742.294117647 |
51 | 362301 | 322592.294117647 | 39708.705882353 |
52 | 78800 | 84594.8823529412 | -5794.88235294117 |
53 | 183167 | 183594.9 | -427.899999999994 |
54 | 277965 | 322592.294117647 | -44627.294117647 |
55 | 150629 | 228546.942307692 | -77917.9423076923 |
56 | 168809 | 161692.710526316 | 7116.28947368421 |
57 | 24188 | 57076.6956521739 | -32888.6956521739 |
58 | 329267 | 228546.942307692 | 100720.057692308 |
59 | 65029 | 84594.8823529412 | -19565.8823529412 |
60 | 101097 | 95634.6129032258 | 5462.3870967742 |
61 | 218946 | 228546.942307692 | -9600.94230769231 |
62 | 244052 | 183594.9 | 60457.1 |
63 | 341570 | 322592.294117647 | 18977.705882353 |
64 | 103597 | 95634.6129032258 | 7962.3870967742 |
65 | 233328 | 228546.942307692 | 4781.05769230769 |
66 | 256462 | 228546.942307692 | 27915.0576923077 |
67 | 206161 | 228546.942307692 | -22385.9423076923 |
68 | 311473 | 322592.294117647 | -11119.294117647 |
69 | 235800 | 228546.942307692 | 7253.05769230769 |
70 | 177939 | 149150.294117647 | 28788.705882353 |
71 | 207176 | 228546.942307692 | -21370.9423076923 |
72 | 196553 | 161692.710526316 | 34860.2894736842 |
73 | 174184 | 161692.710526316 | 12491.2894736842 |
74 | 143246 | 161692.710526316 | -18446.7105263158 |
75 | 187559 | 228546.942307692 | -40987.9423076923 |
76 | 187681 | 228546.942307692 | -40865.9423076923 |
77 | 119016 | 117064.7 | 1951.3 |
78 | 182192 | 228546.942307692 | -46354.9423076923 |
79 | 73566 | 95634.6129032258 | -22068.6129032258 |
80 | 194979 | 183594.9 | 11384.1 |
81 | 167488 | 228546.942307692 | -61058.9423076923 |
82 | 143756 | 161692.710526316 | -17936.7105263158 |
83 | 275541 | 228546.942307692 | 46994.0576923077 |
84 | 243199 | 228546.942307692 | 14652.0576923077 |
85 | 182999 | 161692.710526316 | 21306.2894736842 |
86 | 135649 | 161692.710526316 | -26043.7105263158 |
87 | 152299 | 161692.710526316 | -9393.71052631579 |
88 | 120221 | 117064.7 | 3156.3 |
89 | 346485 | 322592.294117647 | 23892.705882353 |
90 | 145790 | 149150.294117647 | -3360.29411764705 |
91 | 193339 | 161692.710526316 | 31646.2894736842 |
92 | 80953 | 117064.7 | -36111.7 |
93 | 122774 | 149150.294117647 | -26376.294117647 |
94 | 130585 | 115681.714285714 | 14903.2857142857 |
95 | 112611 | 115681.714285714 | -3070.71428571429 |
96 | 286468 | 322592.294117647 | -36124.294117647 |
97 | 241066 | 228546.942307692 | 12519.0576923077 |
98 | 148446 | 228546.942307692 | -80100.9423076923 |
99 | 204713 | 228546.942307692 | -23833.9423076923 |
100 | 182079 | 161692.710526316 | 20386.2894736842 |
101 | 140344 | 161692.710526316 | -21348.7105263158 |
102 | 220516 | 228546.942307692 | -8030.94230769231 |
103 | 243060 | 228546.942307692 | 14513.0576923077 |
104 | 162765 | 161692.710526316 | 1072.28947368421 |
105 | 182613 | 161692.710526316 | 20920.2894736842 |
106 | 232138 | 228546.942307692 | 3591.05769230769 |
107 | 265318 | 228546.942307692 | 36771.0576923077 |
108 | 85574 | 84594.8823529412 | 979.117647058825 |
109 | 310839 | 322592.294117647 | -11753.294117647 |
110 | 225060 | 228546.942307692 | -3486.94230769231 |
111 | 232317 | 228546.942307692 | 3770.05769230769 |
112 | 144966 | 161692.710526316 | -16726.7105263158 |
113 | 43287 | 57076.6956521739 | -13789.6956521739 |
114 | 155754 | 183594.9 | -27840.9 |
115 | 164709 | 183594.9 | -18885.9 |
116 | 201940 | 228546.942307692 | -26606.9423076923 |
117 | 235454 | 228546.942307692 | 6907.05769230769 |
118 | 220801 | 149150.294117647 | 71650.705882353 |
119 | 99466 | 84594.8823529412 | 14871.1176470588 |
120 | 92661 | 117064.7 | -24403.7 |
121 | 133328 | 117064.7 | 16263.3 |
122 | 61361 | 95634.6129032258 | -34273.6129032258 |
123 | 125930 | 149150.294117647 | -23220.294117647 |
124 | 100750 | 161692.710526316 | -60942.7105263158 |
125 | 224549 | 161692.710526316 | 62856.2894736842 |
126 | 82316 | 84594.8823529412 | -2278.88235294117 |
127 | 102010 | 95634.6129032258 | 6375.3870967742 |
128 | 101523 | 115681.714285714 | -14158.7142857143 |
129 | 243511 | 228546.942307692 | 14964.0576923077 |
130 | 22938 | 25494.3529411765 | -2556.35294117647 |
131 | 41566 | 57076.6956521739 | -15510.6956521739 |
132 | 152474 | 183594.9 | -31120.9 |
133 | 61857 | 59371.75 | 2485.25 |
134 | 99923 | 149150.294117647 | -49227.294117647 |
135 | 132487 | 161692.710526316 | -29205.7105263158 |
136 | 317394 | 322592.294117647 | -5198.29411764705 |
137 | 21054 | 25494.3529411765 | -4440.35294117647 |
138 | 209641 | 228546.942307692 | -18905.9423076923 |
139 | 22648 | 25494.3529411765 | -2846.35294117647 |
140 | 31414 | 25494.3529411765 | 5919.64705882353 |
141 | 46698 | 57076.6956521739 | -10378.6956521739 |
142 | 131698 | 117064.7 | 14633.3 |
143 | 91735 | 95634.6129032258 | -3899.6129032258 |
144 | 244749 | 228546.942307692 | 16202.0576923077 |
145 | 184510 | 161692.710526316 | 22817.2894736842 |
146 | 79863 | 95634.6129032258 | -15771.6129032258 |
147 | 128423 | 161692.710526316 | -33269.7105263158 |
148 | 97839 | 95634.6129032258 | 2204.3870967742 |
149 | 38214 | 57076.6956521739 | -18862.6956521739 |
150 | 151101 | 161692.710526316 | -10591.7105263158 |
151 | 272458 | 228546.942307692 | 43911.0576923077 |
152 | 172494 | 161692.710526316 | 10801.2894736842 |
153 | 108043 | 117064.7 | -9021.7 |
154 | 328107 | 322592.294117647 | 5514.70588235295 |
155 | 250579 | 228546.942307692 | 22032.0576923077 |
156 | 351067 | 322592.294117647 | 28474.705882353 |
157 | 158015 | 161692.710526316 | -3677.71052631579 |
158 | 98866 | 95634.6129032258 | 3231.3870967742 |
159 | 85439 | 84594.8823529412 | 844.117647058825 |
160 | 229242 | 228546.942307692 | 695.057692307688 |
161 | 351619 | 322592.294117647 | 29026.705882353 |
162 | 84207 | 57076.6956521739 | 27130.3043478261 |
163 | 120445 | 117064.7 | 3380.3 |
164 | 324598 | 322592.294117647 | 2005.70588235295 |
165 | 131069 | 149150.294117647 | -18081.294117647 |
166 | 204271 | 161692.710526316 | 42578.2894736842 |
167 | 165543 | 183594.9 | -18051.9 |
168 | 141722 | 161692.710526316 | -19970.7105263158 |
169 | 116048 | 115681.714285714 | 366.28571428571 |
170 | 250047 | 149150.294117647 | 100896.705882353 |
171 | 299775 | 322592.294117647 | -22817.294117647 |
172 | 195838 | 183594.9 | 12243.1 |
173 | 173260 | 149150.294117647 | 24109.705882353 |
174 | 254488 | 228546.942307692 | 25941.0576923077 |
175 | 104389 | 161692.710526316 | -57303.7105263158 |
176 | 136084 | 149150.294117647 | -13066.294117647 |
177 | 199476 | 228546.942307692 | -29070.9423076923 |
178 | 92499 | 84594.8823529412 | 7904.11764705883 |
179 | 224330 | 228546.942307692 | -4216.94230769231 |
180 | 135781 | 117064.7 | 18716.3 |
181 | 74408 | 95634.6129032258 | -21226.6129032258 |
182 | 81240 | 117064.7 | -35824.7 |
183 | 14688 | 25494.3529411765 | -10806.3529411765 |
184 | 181633 | 149150.294117647 | 32482.705882353 |
185 | 271856 | 228546.942307692 | 43309.0576923077 |
186 | 7199 | 25494.3529411765 | -18295.3529411765 |
187 | 46660 | 57076.6956521739 | -10416.6956521739 |
188 | 17547 | 25494.3529411765 | -7947.35294117647 |
189 | 133368 | 117064.7 | 16303.3 |
190 | 95227 | 84594.8823529412 | 10632.1176470588 |
191 | 152601 | 117064.7 | 35536.3 |
192 | 98146 | 95634.6129032258 | 2511.3870967742 |
193 | 79619 | 117064.7 | -37445.7 |
194 | 59194 | 57076.6956521739 | 2117.30434782609 |
195 | 139942 | 117064.7 | 22877.3 |
196 | 118612 | 117064.7 | 1547.3 |
197 | 72880 | 95634.6129032258 | -22754.6129032258 |
198 | 65475 | 57076.6956521739 | 8398.30434782609 |
199 | 99643 | 95634.6129032258 | 4008.3870967742 |
200 | 71965 | 84594.8823529412 | -12629.8823529412 |
201 | 77272 | 59371.75 | 17900.25 |
202 | 49289 | 25494.3529411765 | 23794.6470588235 |
203 | 135131 | 117064.7 | 18066.3 |
204 | 108446 | 95634.6129032258 | 12811.3870967742 |
205 | 89746 | 149150.294117647 | -59404.294117647 |
206 | 44296 | 47861.2857142857 | -3565.28571428572 |
207 | 77648 | 84594.8823529412 | -6946.88235294117 |
208 | 181528 | 149150.294117647 | 32377.705882353 |
209 | 134019 | 95634.6129032258 | 38384.3870967742 |
210 | 124064 | 117064.7 | 6999.3 |
211 | 92630 | 95634.6129032258 | -3004.6129032258 |
212 | 121848 | 84594.8823529412 | 37253.1176470588 |
213 | 52915 | 59371.75 | -6456.75 |
214 | 81872 | 84594.8823529412 | -2722.88235294117 |
215 | 58981 | 95634.6129032258 | -36653.6129032258 |
216 | 53515 | 57076.6956521739 | -3561.69565217391 |
217 | 60812 | 95634.6129032258 | -34822.6129032258 |
218 | 56375 | 57076.6956521739 | -701.695652173912 |
219 | 65490 | 59371.75 | 6118.25 |
220 | 80949 | 57076.6956521739 | 23872.3043478261 |
221 | 76302 | 84594.8823529412 | -8292.88235294117 |
222 | 104011 | 95634.6129032258 | 8376.3870967742 |
223 | 98104 | 149150.294117647 | -51046.294117647 |
224 | 67989 | 59371.75 | 8617.25 |
225 | 30989 | 25494.3529411765 | 5494.64705882353 |
226 | 135458 | 149150.294117647 | -13692.294117647 |
227 | 73504 | 84594.8823529412 | -11090.8823529412 |
228 | 63123 | 84594.8823529412 | -21471.8823529412 |
229 | 61254 | 84594.8823529412 | -23340.8823529412 |
230 | 74914 | 95634.6129032258 | -20720.6129032258 |
231 | 31774 | 47861.2857142857 | -16087.2857142857 |
232 | 81437 | 84594.8823529412 | -3157.88235294117 |
233 | 87186 | 95634.6129032258 | -8448.6129032258 |
234 | 50090 | 57076.6956521739 | -6986.69565217391 |
235 | 65745 | 84594.8823529412 | -18849.8823529412 |
236 | 56653 | 59371.75 | -2718.75 |
237 | 158399 | 95634.6129032258 | 62764.3870967742 |
238 | 46455 | 59371.75 | -12916.75 |
239 | 73624 | 95634.6129032258 | -22010.6129032258 |
240 | 38395 | 57076.6956521739 | -18681.6956521739 |
241 | 91899 | 57076.6956521739 | 34822.3043478261 |
242 | 139526 | 95634.6129032258 | 43891.3870967742 |
243 | 52164 | 59371.75 | -7207.75 |
244 | 51567 | 59371.75 | -7804.75 |
245 | 70551 | 84594.8823529412 | -14043.8823529412 |
246 | 84856 | 95634.6129032258 | -10778.6129032258 |
247 | 102538 | 117064.7 | -14526.7 |
248 | 86678 | 57076.6956521739 | 29601.3043478261 |
249 | 85709 | 84594.8823529412 | 1114.11764705883 |
250 | 34662 | 57076.6956521739 | -22414.6956521739 |
251 | 150580 | 95634.6129032258 | 54945.3870967742 |
252 | 99611 | 84594.8823529412 | 15016.1176470588 |
253 | 19349 | 25494.3529411765 | -6145.35294117647 |
254 | 99373 | 95634.6129032258 | 3738.3870967742 |
255 | 86230 | 95634.6129032258 | -9404.6129032258 |
256 | 30837 | 25494.3529411765 | 5342.64705882353 |
257 | 31706 | 59371.75 | -27665.75 |
258 | 89806 | 84594.8823529412 | 5211.11764705883 |
259 | 62088 | 47861.2857142857 | 14226.7142857143 |
260 | 40151 | 47861.2857142857 | -7710.28571428572 |
261 | 27634 | 25494.3529411765 | 2139.64705882353 |
262 | 76990 | 59371.75 | 17618.25 |
263 | 37460 | 25494.3529411765 | 11965.6470588235 |
264 | 54157 | 59371.75 | -5214.75 |
265 | 49862 | 57076.6956521739 | -7214.69565217391 |
266 | 84337 | 84594.8823529412 | -257.882352941175 |
267 | 64175 | 84594.8823529412 | -20419.8823529412 |
268 | 59382 | 59371.75 | 10.25 |
269 | 119308 | 84594.8823529412 | 34713.1176470588 |
270 | 76702 | 84594.8823529412 | -7892.88235294117 |
271 | 103425 | 95634.6129032258 | 7790.3870967742 |
272 | 70344 | 59371.75 | 10972.25 |
273 | 43410 | 57076.6956521739 | -13666.6956521739 |
274 | 104838 | 115681.714285714 | -10843.7142857143 |
275 | 62215 | 59371.75 | 2843.25 |
276 | 69304 | 84594.8823529412 | -15290.8823529412 |
277 | 53117 | 47861.2857142857 | 5255.71428571428 |
278 | 19764 | 25494.3529411765 | -5730.35294117647 |
279 | 86680 | 84594.8823529412 | 2085.11764705883 |
280 | 84105 | 57076.6956521739 | 27028.3043478261 |
281 | 77945 | 84594.8823529412 | -6649.88235294117 |
282 | 89113 | 84594.8823529412 | 4518.11764705883 |
283 | 91005 | 95634.6129032258 | -4629.6129032258 |
284 | 40248 | 25494.3529411765 | 14753.6470588235 |
285 | 64187 | 57076.6956521739 | 7110.30434782609 |
286 | 50857 | 47861.2857142857 | 2995.71428571428 |
287 | 56613 | 57076.6956521739 | -463.695652173912 |
288 | 62792 | 59371.75 | 3420.25 |
289 | 72535 | 57076.6956521739 | 15458.3043478261 |