| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 1.01 | NA | NA | 0.956213052949742 | NA |
| 2 | 1.02 | NA | NA | 0.95917403255673 | NA |
| 3 | 1.04 | NA | NA | 0.99031701032971 | NA |
| 4 | 1.06 | NA | NA | 1.01307153781741 | NA |
| 5 | 1.06 | NA | NA | 1.02558541761086 | NA |
| 6 | 1.06 | NA | NA | 1.04145237312909 | NA |
| 7 | 1.06 | 1.0675387232476 | 1.02625 | 1.04023261705003 | 0.992938220334844 |
| 8 | 1.06 | 1.04505129738243 | 1.02083333333333 | 1.02372371988483 | 1.0143042764073 |
| 9 | 1.02 | 1.02400805151592 | 1.01583333333333 | 1.00804730255874 | 0.996085917967165 |
| 10 | 0.98 | 0.999308767578696 | 1.01125 | 0.988191611944322 | 0.980677876342984 |
| 11 | 0.99 | 0.998838828858585 | 1.00708333333333 | 0.991813483351511 | 0.991150895817011 |
| 12 | 0.99 | 0.965385100286415 | 1.00333333333333 | 0.962177840817025 | 1.02549749287231 |
| 13 | 0.94 | 0.957009897160534 | 1.00083333333333 | 0.956213052949742 | 0.982225996605675 |
| 14 | 0.96 | 0.957975065016034 | 0.99875 | 0.95917403255673 | 1.00211376585666 |
| 15 | 0.98 | 0.989079114066798 | 0.99875 | 0.99031701032971 | 0.990820639180755 |
| 16 | 1.01 | 1.01729266922498 | 1.00416666666667 | 1.01307153781741 | 0.992831296788432 |
| 17 | 1.01 | 1.0418238533897 | 1.01583333333333 | 1.02558541761086 | 0.96945371015824 |
| 18 | 1.02 | 1.07096019036775 | 1.02833333333333 | 1.04145237312909 | 0.952416354196836 |
| 19 | 1.04 | 1.08227535198914 | 1.04041666666667 | 1.04023261705003 | 0.960938450726574 |
| 20 | 1.03 | 1.07874886982864 | 1.05375 | 1.02372371988483 | 0.954809806812235 |
| 21 | 1.05 | 1.07777057431905 | 1.06916666666667 | 1.00804730255874 | 0.974233315530445 |
| 22 | 1.08 | 1.0738348849795 | 1.08666666666667 | 0.988191611944322 | 1.00574121320395 |
| 23 | 1.17 | 1.0984334328118 | 1.1075 | 0.991813483351511 | 1.0651533038329 |
| 24 | 1.11 | 1.09167094189365 | 1.13458333333333 | 0.962177840817025 | 1.01678991113802 |
| 25 | 1.11 | 1.11199609615947 | 1.16291666666667 | 0.956213052949742 | 0.998204943195066 |
| 26 | 1.11 | 1.13782019612042 | 1.18625 | 0.95917403255673 | 0.975549567308369 |
| 27 | 1.2 | 1.19168146909675 | 1.20333333333333 | 0.99031701032971 | 1.00698049866426 |
| 28 | 1.21 | 1.23045980530739 | 1.21458333333333 | 1.01307153781741 | 0.983372227829678 |
| 29 | 1.31 | 1.24480430062518 | 1.21375 | 1.02558541761086 | 1.05237425621206 |
| 30 | 1.37 | 1.25234647868773 | 1.2025 | 1.04145237312909 | 1.09394646235246 |
| 31 | 1.37 | 1.23570966300402 | 1.18791666666667 | 1.04023261705003 | 1.10867466769623 |
| 32 | 1.26 | 1.19988951001501 | 1.17208333333333 | 1.02372371988483 | 1.05009668763938 |
| 33 | 1.23 | 1.16093447678015 | 1.15166666666667 | 1.00804730255874 | 1.05949131893422 |
| 34 | 1.17 | 1.11418604246722 | 1.1275 | 0.988191611944322 | 1.05009392992321 |
| 35 | 1.06 | 1.09099483168666 | 1.1 | 0.991813483351511 | 0.971590303834212 |
| 36 | 0.95 | 1.02712484507217 | 1.0675 | 0.962177840817025 | 0.924911907795634 |
| 37 | 0.92 | 0.988485243486796 | 1.03375 | 0.956213052949742 | 0.930716979400502 |
| 38 | 0.92 | 0.964369558566412 | 1.00541666666667 | 0.95917403255673 | 0.953991124904056 |
| 39 | 0.9 | 0.974224358911853 | 0.98375 | 0.99031701032971 | 0.92381184248487 |
| 40 | 0.93 | 0.977191920853039 | 0.964583333333333 | 1.01307153781741 | 0.951706599444823 |
| 41 | 0.93 | 0.977724764789022 | 0.953333333333333 | 1.02558541761086 | 0.951187934981559 |
| 42 | 0.97 | 0.991983385405459 | 0.9525 | 1.04145237312909 | 0.977838958062313 |
| 43 | 0.96 | 0.997323021596719 | 0.95875 | 1.04023261705003 | 0.962576797297866 |
| 44 | 0.99 | 0.990452698988573 | 0.9675 | 1.02372371988483 | 0.999542937296213 |
| 45 | 0.98 | 0.986626297379364 | 0.97875 | 1.00804730255874 | 0.993283883272761 |
| 46 | 0.96 | 0.982427160874647 | 0.994166666666667 | 0.988191611944322 | 0.977171680743558 |
| 47 | 1 | 1.00338464065728 | 1.01166666666667 | 0.991813483351511 | 0.996626776492152 |
| 48 | 0.99 | 0.989840453740515 | 1.02875 | 0.962177840817025 | 1.0001611838139 |
| 49 | 1.03 | 0.998445796121689 | 1.04416666666667 | 0.956213052949742 | 1.03160332188375 |
| 50 | 1.02 | 1.01512585112254 | 1.05833333333333 | 0.95917403255673 | 1.00480152177395 |
| 51 | 1.07 | 1.06170236149098 | 1.07208333333333 | 0.99031701032971 | 1.00781540929924 |
| 52 | 1.13 | 1.10171529737643 | 1.0875 | 1.01307153781741 | 1.02567333202228 |
| 53 | 1.15 | 1.13113525017331 | 1.10291666666667 | 1.02558541761086 | 1.01667771367199 |
| 54 | 1.16 | 1.16599271941578 | 1.11958333333333 | 1.04145237312909 | 0.994860414378247 |
| 55 | 1.14 | 1.18456489266573 | 1.13875 | 1.04023261705003 | 0.962378681875809 |
| 56 | 1.15 | 1.18709296351645 | 1.15958333333333 | 1.02372371988483 | 0.968753109776194 |
| 57 | 1.15 | 1.19243595498511 | 1.18291666666667 | 1.00804730255874 | 0.964412382226737 |
| 58 | 1.16 | 1.19118263889788 | 1.20541666666667 | 0.988191611944322 | 0.973822117717619 |
| 59 | 1.17 | 1.2149715171056 | 1.225 | 0.991813483351511 | 0.962985537955049 |
| 60 | 1.22 | 1.19590687464883 | 1.24291666666667 | 0.962177840817025 | 1.02014632231147 |
| 61 | 1.26 | 1.20602371303286 | 1.26125 | 0.956213052949742 | 1.04475557684633 |
| 62 | 1.29 | 1.22734310582572 | 1.27958333333333 | 0.95917403255673 | 1.05105083808829 |
| 63 | 1.36 | 1.28534895299044 | 1.29791666666667 | 0.99031701032971 | 1.0580784283022 |
| 64 | 1.38 | 1.33472175107443 | 1.3175 | 1.01307153781741 | 1.03392336184611 |
| 65 | 1.37 | 1.37300247782654 | 1.33875 | 1.02558541761086 | 0.997813202907475 |
| 66 | 1.37 | 1.41463947350035 | 1.35833333333333 | 1.04145237312909 | 0.968444628941469 |
| 67 | 1.37 | NA | NA | 1.04023261705003 | NA |
| 68 | 1.36 | NA | NA | 1.02372371988483 | NA |
| 69 | 1.38 | NA | NA | 1.00804730255874 | NA |
| 70 | 1.4 | NA | NA | 0.988191611944322 | NA |
| 71 | 1.44 | NA | NA | 0.991813483351511 | NA |
| 72 | 1.42 | NA | NA | 0.962177840817025 | NA |
