Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 61 | 62.8164565928145 | -30.4920037691176 | 89.6755471763031 | 1.8164565928145 |
2 | 65 | 77.6450912703068 | -38.6217896032765 | 90.9766983329697 | 12.6450912703068 |
3 | 55 | 51.2736965399163 | -33.5515460295527 | 92.2778494896364 | -3.72630346008368 |
4 | 56 | 41.3398897985633 | -22.937467227032 | 93.5975774284686 | -14.6601102014367 |
5 | 91 | 94.2060939054511 | -7.12339927275198 | 94.9173053673009 | 3.20609390545108 |
6 | 80 | 65.4711486441837 | -1.67940115736288 | 96.2082525131791 | -14.5288513558163 |
7 | 135 | 152.536235012728 | 19.9645653282147 | 97.4991996590574 | 17.5362350127279 |
8 | 129 | 122.360499997335 | 36.8133259178448 | 98.8261740848198 | -6.63950000266463 |
9 | 129 | 133.7847533495 | 24.0620981399181 | 100.153148510582 | 4.78475334949971 |
10 | 130 | 132.528096382258 | 25.6117269043689 | 101.860176713373 | 2.52809638225801 |
11 | 109 | 100.871445035191 | 13.5613500486452 | 103.567204916164 | -8.1285549648092 |
12 | 126 | 132.982578638593 | 14.3925407636216 | 104.624880597785 | 6.98257863859328 |
13 | 73 | 70.8094474897113 | -30.4920037691176 | 105.682556279406 | -2.19055251028871 |
14 | 68 | 68.8850023559613 | -38.6217896032765 | 105.736787247315 | 0.885002355961348 |
15 | 74 | 75.7605278143286 | -33.5515460295527 | 105.791018215224 | 1.76052781432864 |
16 | 95 | 106.98627862035 | -22.937467227032 | 105.951188606682 | 11.9862786203498 |
17 | 105 | 111.012040274612 | -7.12339927275198 | 106.11135899814 | 6.01204027461165 |
18 | 108 | 111.380228440166 | -1.67940115736288 | 106.299172717197 | 3.38022844016591 |
19 | 127 | 127.548448235532 | 19.9645653282147 | 106.486986436254 | 0.54844823553168 |
20 | 108 | 72.959374456021 | 36.8133259178448 | 106.227299626134 | -35.040625543979 |
21 | 126 | 121.970289044067 | 24.0620981399181 | 105.967612816015 | -4.02971095593288 |
22 | 154 | 176.765167760429 | 25.6117269043689 | 105.623105335202 | 22.7651677604291 |
23 | 127 | 135.160052096966 | 13.5613500486452 | 105.278597854389 | 8.16005209696557 |
24 | 103 | 85.5714670881867 | 14.3925407636216 | 106.035992148192 | -17.4285329118133 |
25 | 95 | 113.698617327123 | -30.4920037691176 | 106.793386441994 | 18.6986173271233 |
26 | 59 | 48.2569451092088 | -38.6217896032765 | 108.364844494068 | -10.7430548907912 |
27 | 68 | 59.6152434834114 | -33.5515460295527 | 109.936302546141 | -8.38475651658858 |
28 | 82 | 75.8002416135861 | -22.937467227032 | 111.137225613446 | -6.19975838641393 |
29 | 92 | 78.7852505920014 | -7.12339927275198 | 112.338148680751 | -13.2147494079986 |
30 | 124 | 136.096239550709 | -1.67940115736288 | 113.583161606654 | 12.0962395507087 |
31 | 139 | 143.207260139228 | 19.9645653282147 | 114.828174532558 | 4.2072601392276 |
32 | 167 | 181.112156824021 | 36.8133259178448 | 116.074517258134 | 14.1121568240211 |
33 | 138 | 134.617041876371 | 24.0620981399181 | 117.320859983711 | -3.38295812362855 |
34 | 146 | 148.076506970796 | 25.6117269043689 | 118.311766124835 | 2.076506970796 |
35 | 128 | 123.135977685395 | 13.5613500486452 | 119.30267226596 | -4.86402231460497 |
36 | 145 | 156.016181037561 | 14.3925407636216 | 119.591278198817 | 11.0161810375614 |
37 | 91 | 92.6121196374434 | -30.4920037691176 | 119.879884131674 | 1.6121196374434 |
38 | 66 | 50.7463595778149 | -38.6217896032765 | 119.875430025462 | -15.2536404221851 |
39 | 89 | 91.6805701103037 | -33.5515460295527 | 119.870975919249 | 2.68057011030371 |
40 | 98 | 99.0642800532662 | -22.937467227032 | 119.873187173766 | 1.0642800532662 |
41 | 113 | 113.248000844469 | -7.12339927275198 | 119.875398428283 | 0.248000844469388 |
42 | 130 | 142.191723581154 | -1.67940115736288 | 119.487677576209 | 12.1917235811542 |
43 | 127 | 114.935477947651 | 19.9645653282147 | 119.099956724135 | -12.0645220523494 |
44 | 157 | 158.130184490027 | 36.8133259178448 | 119.056489592128 | 1.13018449002739 |
45 | 157 | 170.924879399961 | 24.0620981399181 | 119.013022460121 | 13.924879399961 |
46 | 136 | 127.207672224841 | 25.6117269043689 | 119.18060087079 | -8.79232777515904 |
47 | 145 | 157.090470669895 | 13.5613500486452 | 119.348179281459 | 12.0904706698954 |
48 | 112 | 90.3642967356198 | 14.3925407636216 | 119.243162500759 | -21.6357032643802 |
49 | 71 | 53.3538580490598 | -30.4920037691176 | 119.138145720058 | -17.6461419509402 |
50 | 95 | 109.722288576292 | -38.6217896032765 | 118.899501026985 | 14.7222885762919 |
51 | 95 | 104.890689695641 | -33.5515460295527 | 118.660856333911 | 9.89068969564131 |
52 | 105 | 114.65092427057 | -22.937467227032 | 118.286542956462 | 9.65092427057016 |
53 | 116 | 121.21116969374 | -7.12339927275198 | 117.912229579012 | 5.21116969373971 |
54 | 104 | 91.7737386378414 | -1.67940115736288 | 117.905662519521 | -12.2262613621586 |
55 | 128 | 118.136339211755 | 19.9645653282147 | 117.899095460031 | -9.86366078824543 |
56 | 181 | 207.312620896992 | 36.8133259178448 | 117.874053185163 | 26.3126208969922 |
57 | 130 | 118.088890949787 | 24.0620981399181 | 117.849010910295 | -11.9111090502134 |
58 | 124 | 104.646378317291 | 25.6117269043689 | 117.74189477834 | -19.3536216827086 |
59 | 123 | 114.803871304971 | 13.5613500486452 | 117.634778646384 | -8.19612869502934 |
60 | 152 | 172.11574149297 | 14.3925407636216 | 117.491717743408 | 20.1157414929701 |