Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 126.81 | NA | NA | 1.00533021478423 | NA |
2 | 125.8 | NA | NA | 1.00597981492971 | NA |
3 | 123.07 | NA | NA | 1.00050676797037 | NA |
4 | 119.52 | NA | NA | 0.995433315884174 | NA |
5 | 118.03 | NA | NA | 0.99648352433009 | NA |
6 | 117.27 | NA | NA | 0.995282372109872 | NA |
7 | 117.27 | 117.927214339373 | 117.646666666667 | 1.00238466316688 | 0.994426949342822 |
8 | 116.69 | 116.406344623898 | 116.400833333333 | 1.00004734751811 | 1.00243676903539 |
9 | 115.38 | 115.395387274518 | 115.21 | 1.00160912485477 | 0.999866656069351 |
10 | 114.31 | 114.183635008387 | 114.119166666667 | 1.00056492124507 | 1.00110668215812 |
11 | 113.33 | 112.875962917263 | 113.044583333333 | 0.998508372439453 | 1.00402244260871 |
12 | 111.79 | 111.704429085174 | 111.942916666667 | 0.99786956076727 | 1.00076604764491 |
13 | 111.79 | 111.439597646063 | 110.84875 | 1.00533021478423 | 1.00314432536853 |
14 | 110.92 | 110.385326775724 | 109.729166666667 | 1.00597981492971 | 1.00484369834192 |
15 | 109.37 | 108.659620657602 | 108.604583333333 | 1.00050676797037 | 1.00653765711769 |
16 | 107.04 | 107.007422402022 | 107.498333333333 | 0.995433315884174 | 1.00030444241387 |
17 | 104.72 | 106.017542959352 | 106.391666666667 | 0.99648352433009 | 0.987761054226189 |
18 | 104.14 | 104.82604233753 | 105.322916666667 | 0.995282372109872 | 0.993455420788268 |
19 | 104.14 | 104.539114181951 | 104.290416666667 | 1.00238466316688 | 0.996182154544987 |
20 | 102.95 | 103.296557270725 | 103.291666666667 | 1.00004734751811 | 0.996645025934248 |
21 | 102.13 | 102.488401689358 | 102.32375 | 1.00160912485477 | 0.996503002452468 |
22 | 101.01 | 101.446443560937 | 101.389166666667 | 1.00056492124507 | 0.995697793381245 |
23 | 100.07 | 100.41707470015 | 100.567083333333 | 0.998508372439453 | 0.996543668482816 |
24 | 99.4 | 99.6023502079851 | 99.815 | 0.99786956076727 | 0.997968419343896 |
25 | 99.4 | 99.5846599758096 | 99.0566666666667 | 1.00533021478423 | 0.998145698585963 |
26 | 99.34 | 98.9154802525006 | 98.3275 | 1.00597981492971 | 1.0042917422674 |
27 | 97.72 | 97.6882301911672 | 97.63875 | 1.00050676797037 | 1.00032521634152 |
28 | 96.26 | 96.5292424606964 | 96.9720833333333 | 0.995433315884174 | 0.997210767909983 |
29 | 95.77 | 95.9364513048794 | 96.275 | 0.99648352433009 | 0.998264983719791 |
30 | 95.04 | 95.076007399749 | 95.5266666666667 | 0.995282372109872 | 0.999621277746786 |
31 | 95.04 | 94.9943238872203 | 94.7683333333333 | 1.00238466316688 | 1.00048082991605 |
32 | 94.55 | 93.9936168204375 | 93.9891666666667 | 1.00004734751811 | 1.0059193719572 |
33 | 94 | 93.378766698804 | 93.22875 | 1.00160912485477 | 1.00665283257809 |
34 | 93.14 | 92.6206271514545 | 92.5683333333333 | 1.00056492124507 | 1.00560752895461 |
35 | 91.21 | 91.8477926388431 | 91.985 | 0.998508372439453 | 0.993055982941789 |
36 | 90.3 | 91.2460241945265 | 91.4408333333333 | 0.99786956076727 | 0.989632159835155 |
37 | 90.3 | 91.4037853530029 | 90.9191666666666 | 1.00533021478423 | 0.987924073945734 |
38 | 89.74 | 90.9355453705707 | 90.395 | 1.00597981492971 | 0.986852826738997 |
39 | 89.07 | 89.9234639160771 | 89.8779166666667 | 1.00050676797037 | 0.990508996440866 |
40 | 89.06 | 88.99298273169 | 89.40125 | 0.995433315884174 | 1.00075306239046 |
41 | 88.97 | 88.7268930063512 | 89.04 | 0.99648352433009 | 1.00273994710523 |
42 | 88.78 | 88.3868804571939 | 88.8058333333333 | 0.995282372109872 | 1.00444771374182 |
43 | 88.78 | 88.8254816059807 | 88.6141666666667 | 1.00238466316688 | 0.999487966683001 |
44 | 88.23 | 88.4116858757073 | 88.4075 | 1.00004734751811 | 0.997945001569559 |
45 | 87.91 | 88.300191098655 | 88.1583333333333 | 1.00160912485477 | 0.995581084323826 |
46 | 87.79 | 87.870862089894 | 87.82125 | 1.00056492124507 | 0.999079762187706 |
47 | 87.89 | 87.3012511830021 | 87.4316666666667 | 0.998508372439453 | 1.00674387605011 |
48 | 88 | 86.8445878735755 | 87.03 | 0.99786956076727 | 1.01330436535788 |
49 | 88 | 87.0699743521039 | 86.6083333333333 | 1.00533021478423 | 1.01068135892788 |
50 | 87.08 | 86.6429456686144 | 86.1279166666667 | 1.00597981492971 | 1.00504431524128 |
51 | 85.75 | 85.6358755375041 | 85.5925 | 1.00050676797037 | 1.00133267117058 |
52 | 84.29 | 84.6367176830519 | 85.025 | 0.995433315884174 | 0.995903460193834 |
53 | 84.39 | 84.0907534094055 | 84.3875 | 0.99648352433009 | 1.0035586146926 |
54 | 83.72 | 83.2810818882703 | 83.6758333333333 | 0.995282372109872 | 1.00527032192399 |
55 | 83.72 | 83.1219128725612 | 82.9241666666667 | 1.00238466316688 | 1.00719530033381 |
56 | 81.76 | 82.1851410782226 | 82.18125 | 1.00004734751811 | 0.994827032324274 |
57 | 81.53 | 81.5977567048352 | 81.4666666666667 | 1.00160912485477 | 0.99916962539693 |
58 | 80.55 | 80.8506484612083 | 80.805 | 1.00056492124507 | 0.996281434138992 |
59 | 79.83 | 80.0375188186603 | 80.1570833333333 | 0.998508372439453 | 0.997407230737244 |
60 | 78.98 | 79.2890521826326 | 79.4583333333333 | 0.99786956076727 | 0.996102208638832 |
61 | 78.98 | 79.1479722596042 | 78.7283333333333 | 1.00533021478423 | 0.997877743992566 |
62 | 78.27 | 78.5259460369003 | 78.0591666666667 | 1.00597981492971 | 0.996740618231074 |
63 | 77.41 | 77.4821622563656 | 77.4429166666667 | 1.00050676797037 | 0.999068659750011 |
64 | 76.75 | 76.4745792566833 | 76.8254166666667 | 0.995433315884174 | 1.00360146791252 |
65 | 76.38 | 75.9660910743675 | 76.2341666666667 | 0.99648352433009 | 1.00544860107686 |
66 | 74.96 | 75.3383138578451 | 75.6954166666667 | 0.995282372109872 | 0.9949784666198 |
67 | 74.96 | NA | NA | 1.00238466316688 | NA |
68 | 74.46 | NA | NA | 1.00004734751811 | NA |
69 | 74.04 | NA | NA | 1.00160912485477 | NA |
70 | 73.22 | NA | NA | 1.00056492124507 | NA |
71 | 72.97 | NA | NA | 0.998508372439453 | NA |
72 | 72.91 | NA | NA | 0.99786956076727 | NA |