Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[63])
519946-------
529701-------
539049-------
5410190-------
559706-------
569765-------
579893-------
589994-------
5910433-------
6010073-------
6110112-------
629266-------
639820-------
641009710014.50449449.722310595.67780.39040.74410.85480.7441
6591159238.71788692.8459801.21180.33320.00140.74570.0214
661041110179.73139596.497810780.1690.22510.99970.48660.8799
6796789799.97229211.420910406.74820.34680.02420.61930.4742
68104089793.05449190.72910414.49550.02620.64170.53530.4661
691015310003.62249381.207610646.0270.32430.10860.63210.7123
701036810417.28479768.199311087.24760.44270.78030.89220.9597
711058110460.04379796.169311145.68170.36480.60380.53080.9663
721059710191.10769523.009110881.85410.12470.13430.63120.8538
731068010171.15069490.999110874.8370.07820.11780.56540.836
7497389458.05388790.606510149.92130.21393e-040.70680.1526
75955610050.66249350.101510776.52880.09080.80070.73330.7333


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
640.02960.008206805.528900
650.0311-0.01340.010815306.082211055.8056105.1466
660.03010.02270.014853485.212525198.9412158.7417
670.0316-0.01240.014214877.22622618.5124150.3945
680.03240.06280.0239378158.034193726.4167306.1477
690.03280.01490.022422313.682181824.2943286.0495
700.0328-0.00470.01992428.984870482.1072265.4847
710.03340.01160.018914630.42763500.6472251.9933
720.03460.03980.0212164748.608774750.4207273.4052
730.03530.050.0241258927.663793168.145305.2346
740.03730.02960.024678369.85791822.8461303.0228
750.0368-0.04920.0266244690.9211104561.8523323.3603