Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[63])
51	9946	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	9701	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	9049	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	10190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	9706	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	9765	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	9893	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	9994	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	10433	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	10073	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	9266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	9820	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	10097	10010.078	9452.5292	10567.6268	0.38	0.748	0.8614	0.748
65	9115	9249.3232	8687.839	9810.8074	0.3196	0.0015	0.7578	0.0232
66	10411	10178.3719	9607.2573	10749.4865	0.2123	0.9999	0.4841	0.8906
67	9678	9801.3635	9213.5751	10389.1519	0.3404	0.021	0.6248	0.4752
68	10408	9795.3466	9193.3813	10397.3119	0.023	0.6488	0.5394	0.468
69	10153	10004.8074	9389.2678	10620.3471	0.3185	0.0996	0.6391	0.7219
70	10368	10404.4742	9775.4479	11033.5006	0.4548	0.7834	0.8996	0.9657
71	10581	10455.0256	9812.8147	11097.2366	0.3503	0.6047	0.5268	0.9737
72	10597	10188.0808	9532.976	10843.1857	0.1106	0.1199	0.6347	0.8646
73	10680	10167.6279	9499.8448	10835.411	0.0663	0.1038	0.5648	0.8462
74	9738	9464.8511	8784.6456	10145.0567	0.2156	2e-04	0.7167	0.1531
75	9556	10049.0891	9356.6843	10741.4939	0.0814	0.8107	0.7417	0.7417

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
64	0.0284	0.0087	0	7555.4288	0	0
65	0.031	-0.0145	0.0116	18042.7265	12799.0777	113.133
66	0.0286	0.0229	0.0154	54115.8417	26571.3323	163.0072
67	0.0306	-0.0126	0.0147	15218.5583	23733.1388	154.0556
68	0.0314	0.0625	0.0242	375344.1796	94055.347	306.6844
69	0.0314	0.0148	0.0227	21961.0376	82039.6288	286.4256
70	0.0308	-0.0035	0.0199	1330.3703	70509.7347	265.5367
71	0.0313	0.012	0.0189	15869.5384	63679.7102	252.3484
72	0.0328	0.0401	0.0213	167214.8724	75183.6171	274.1963
73	0.0335	0.0504	0.0242	262525.1699	93917.7724	306.4601
74	0.0367	0.0289	0.0246	74610.3093	92162.5484	303.5829
75	0.0352	-0.0491	0.0267	243136.8371	104743.7392	323.6414