| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1325 | -0.1378 | -0.0897 | -0.7112 | 0.48 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.495 ) | (0.4173 ) | (0.5659 ) | (0 ) | (0.012 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.0845 | -0.0968 | 0 | -0.7541 | 0.4693 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.6246 ) | (0.5285 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0144 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | -0.0687 | 0 | -1.2707 | 0.4894 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.632 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0085 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2464 | 0.4849 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0094 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -0.339837453464972 |
| -0.229834025039331 |
| 0.180804252454954 |
| -0.894997989697314 |
| 0.639098359418733 |
| -0.352168077867037 |
| -1.97216927635724 |
| -1.86922135528661 |
| -1.26503102233795 |
| 0.837436183538405 |
| -0.0189750051356586 |
| 1.34532835844129 |
| 0.474159379127209 |
| -0.625898757860026 |
| 1.33026642658926 |
| 0.671548949316993 |
| 0.129979127642735 |
| -1.14159111125828 |
| 2.10052322741484 |
| -1.01126758845496 |
| 1.73874638212821 |
| 0.802102220780754 |
| -0.876011540814214 |
| 1.52953567370826 |
| -0.85364958435913 |
| 0.134775936029556 |
| 1.46759852609786 |
| 0.150803090635396 |
| 1.59426199782531 |
| 0.686344933225289 |
| -1.43146938852617 |
| -1.23101669635621 |
| 1.73725786949742 |
| 0.113832771751524 |
| 1.60331641541995 |
| 0.364752306878049 |
| -0.24024149217635 |
| 1.07636468024137 |
| 0.951945567189278 |
| -1.03712866303324 |
| -0.260707409151646 |
| 1.02969511844019 |
| 0.464398761066116 |
| 0.751915072344171 |
| -0.290312312508989 |
| -2.11352943943749 |
| 0.757610031614504 |
| 0.200984694694926 |
| 0.663787668457638 |
| -0.785388321224488 |
| -0.479343711443757 |
| 0.534568622359615 |
| -0.342597678734731 |
| 0.645665113158761 |
| -0.771026423006032 |
| 1.79866783389585 |
| 0.292197665734959 |
| -0.0892991364530624 |
| 0.0182263308508214 |
| 1.32345064500162 |
| 1.05886020215569 |
| 0.402216604887907 |
| -2.1954028742421 |
