Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[132])
131	362	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
132	405	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
133	417	435.9938	379.6114	492.3763	0.2545	0.8594	0.8594	0.8594
134	391	447.6916	354.2267	541.1566	0.1172	0.7401	0.7401	0.8147
135	419	438.8382	320.9769	556.6994	0.3707	0.7868	0.7868	0.7132
136	461	428.5107	297.2417	559.7796	0.3138	0.5565	0.5565	0.6372
137	472	424.3843	283.785	564.9836	0.2534	0.3049	0.3049	0.6065
138	535	426.2551	276.8246	575.6855	0.0769	0.2742	0.2742	0.6098
139	622	429.3835	270.3612	588.4058	0.0088	0.0965	0.0965	0.6181
140	606	430.8641	261.9552	599.773	0.0211	0.0133	0.0133	0.618
141	508	430.5207	252.2091	608.8323	0.1972	0.0269	0.0269	0.6105
142	461	429.6098	242.6756	616.5441	0.371	0.2056	0.2056	0.6018
143	390	429.0968	234.1564	624.0371	0.3471	0.3742	0.3742	0.5957
144	432	429.1334	226.5432	631.7236	0.4889	0.6475	0.6475	0.5923

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
133	0.066	-0.0436	0	360.7663	0	0
134	0.1065	-0.1266	0.0851	3213.94	1787.3532	42.2771
135	0.137	-0.0452	0.0718	393.5534	1322.7532	36.3697
136	0.1563	0.0758	0.0728	1055.5558	1255.9539	35.4394
137	0.169	0.1122	0.0807	2267.255	1458.2141	38.1866
138	0.1789	0.2551	0.1098	11825.4578	3186.088	56.4454
139	0.189	0.4486	0.1582	37101.1158	8031.092	89.6164
140	0.2	0.4065	0.1892	30672.5732	10861.2772	104.2175
141	0.2113	0.18	0.1882	6003.0382	10321.4728	101.5946
142	0.222	0.0731	0.1767	985.3423	9387.8598	96.891
143	0.2318	-0.0911	0.1689	1528.5579	8673.3778	93.131
144	0.2409	0.0067	0.1554	8.2175	7951.2811	89.17