Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[132])
131	362	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
132	405	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
133	417	458.4452	403.9003	512.9902	0.0682	0.9726	0.9726	0.9726
134	391	479.5696	390.087	569.0523	0.0262	0.9147	0.9147	0.9488
135	419	480.1408	369.2565	591.0251	0.1399	0.9424	0.9424	0.9079
136	461	456.6741	332.6834	580.6647	0.4727	0.7243	0.7243	0.793
137	472	435.8447	306.3823	565.3071	0.2921	0.3517	0.3517	0.6797
138	535	431.7389	298.0687	565.4092	0.065	0.2775	0.2775	0.6525
139	622	437.9286	298.6743	577.183	0.0048	0.0859	0.0859	0.6785
140	606	448.933	302.3952	595.4708	0.0178	0.0103	0.0103	0.7216
141	508	455.5613	300.3494	610.7731	0.2539	0.0287	0.0287	0.7384
142	461	454.6315	291.2826	617.9803	0.4695	0.261	0.261	0.7243
143	390	450.101	280.0296	620.1724	0.2443	0.45	0.45	0.6984
144	432	445.7117	269.9447	621.4787	0.4392	0.7328	0.7328	0.6751

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
133	0.0607	-0.0904	0	1717.7064	0	0
134	0.0952	-0.1847	0.1375	7844.5811	4781.1438	69.1458
135	0.1178	-0.1273	0.1341	3738.2006	4433.4961	66.5845
136	0.1385	0.0095	0.103	18.7136	3329.8004	57.7044
137	0.1515	0.083	0.099	1307.2037	2925.2811	54.0859
138	0.158	0.2392	0.1223	10662.8498	4214.8759	64.9221
139	0.1622	0.4203	0.1649	33882.2714	8453.0752	91.9406
140	0.1665	0.3499	0.188	24670.0492	10480.197	102.3728
141	0.1738	0.1151	0.1799	2749.8223	9621.2665	98.0881
142	0.1833	0.014	0.1633	40.5579	8663.1956	93.0763
143	0.1928	-0.1335	0.1606	3612.1294	8204.0078	90.576
144	0.2012	-0.0308	0.1498	188.0107	7536.008	86.8102