| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1147 | -0.1464 | 0.0176 | -0.7737 | 0.4318 | -0.0787 | -0.9995 |
| (p-val) | (0.4126 ) | (0.2111 ) | (0.924 ) | (0 ) | (0.0058 ) | (0.6576 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.1224 | -0.1538 | 0 | -0.7674 | 0.4365 | -0.0778 | -1.0001 |
| (p-val) | (0.408 ) | (0.2259 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.002 ) | (0.6036 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.1467 | -0.1554 | 0 | -0.7609 | 0.4302 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.2941 ) | (0.2211 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0023 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | -0.1128 | 0 | -1.2311 | 0.4688 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.3551 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (6e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8316 | 0.4497 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (8e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -33.1579304586938 |
| -426.395194173897 |
| 115.687577522959 |
| 265.113145329483 |
| -43.7979786610485 |
| 104.730451226474 |
| 97.2192014370563 |
| -132.282094543366 |
| -125.133222768855 |
| 29.1918581113976 |
| -58.5512240275229 |
| -25.1795393353579 |
| -81.2088568825942 |
| 133.413009969005 |
| -16.6057539278354 |
| -246.336509735913 |
| -355.776196060461 |
| -208.138319147209 |
| 171.769637219731 |
| -19.1843924368427 |
| 269.00071765825 |
| 62.0179871211327 |
| -122.99629628167 |
| 263.968262805608 |
| 93.2955197894017 |
| -95.9685190881598 |
| -143.647319817078 |
| 461.432734375821 |
| -213.505618049976 |
| 400.946590549262 |
| 220.032756163014 |
| -219.763185895052 |
| 331.312772959163 |
| -183.910689956407 |
| 27.6265277629161 |
| 283.839589129276 |
| 72.7484995371678 |
| 258.147252321059 |
| 96.9501772198689 |
| -118.374006559232 |
| -330.057819580437 |
| 364.638257936165 |
| 58.7408703018146 |
| 317.323215195281 |
| 99.5632300339978 |
| -8.2930869563625 |
| 179.614505777567 |
| 215.874254245903 |
| -156.729297644494 |
| -70.9144324530055 |
| 226.229975143716 |
| 81.5627538066213 |
| 210.801677712884 |
| 11.8310967048472 |
| -414.264239831256 |
| 151.270069254572 |
| 44.8750812826163 |
| 102.81879134915 |
| -126.982324572336 |
| -124.133346912509 |
| 60.6739747451969 |
| -117.637159583145 |
| 118.827209140994 |
| -131.604329369819 |
| 317.687898961627 |
| 110.541054240278 |
| 27.9313158734855 |
| 1.93239024898637 |
| 299.875112974968 |
| 241.329024937386 |
| 63.2428124560656 |
| -369.379221583421 |
| 29.7757110140673 |
| -51.8962574078111 |
| -144.57643515167 |
| -214.439110817606 |
| 35.4091849916785 |
| -151.622579435229 |
| 252.601171227209 |
| 330.142524308072 |
| -212.690069113988 |
| 94.7086109064701 |
| -69.1382102185765 |
| 136.270837376696 |
