| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 313737 | NA | NA | -2121.01649305556 | NA |
| 2 | 312276 | NA | NA | -5295.33940972223 | NA |
| 3 | 309391 | NA | NA | -10127.4539930556 | NA |
| 4 | 302950 | NA | NA | -11862.5269097222 | NA |
| 5 | 300316 | NA | NA | -16894.0164930555 | NA |
| 6 | 304035 | NA | NA | -11935.6414930556 | NA |
| 7 | 333476 | 335871.660590278 | 316824.541666667 | 19047.1189236111 | -2395.66059027775 |
| 8 | 337698 | 340169.275173611 | 316694.083333333 | 23475.1918402778 | -2471.27517361112 |
| 9 | 335932 | 332178.764756944 | 316317.416666667 | 15861.3480902778 | 3753.23524305556 |
| 10 | 323931 | 322450.306423611 | 315884.541666667 | 6565.76475694446 | 1480.69357638893 |
| 11 | 313927 | 312964.118923611 | 315640.625 | -2676.50607638892 | 962.881076388876 |
| 12 | 314485 | 311424.660590278 | 315461.583333333 | -4036.92274305557 | 3060.33940972219 |
| 13 | 313218 | 313085.775173611 | 315206.791666667 | -2121.01649305556 | 132.224826388876 |
| 14 | 309664 | 309647.868923611 | 314943.208333333 | -5295.33940972223 | 16.1310763889342 |
| 15 | 302963 | 304360.296006944 | 314487.75 | -10127.4539930556 | -1397.29600694444 |
| 16 | 298989 | 301661.556423611 | 313524.083333333 | -11862.5269097222 | -2672.55642361112 |
| 17 | 298423 | 295262.441840278 | 312156.458333333 | -16894.0164930555 | 3160.55815972219 |
| 18 | 301631 | 298509.025173611 | 310444.666666667 | -11935.6414930556 | 3121.97482638888 |
| 19 | 329765 | 327627.285590278 | 308580.166666667 | 19047.1189236111 | 2137.71440972225 |
| 20 | 335083 | 330111.108506944 | 306635.916666667 | 23475.1918402778 | 4971.8914930555 |
| 21 | 327616 | 320352.514756944 | 304491.166666667 | 15861.3480902778 | 7263.48524305556 |
| 22 | 309119 | 308852.306423611 | 302286.541666667 | 6565.76475694446 | 266.693576388934 |
| 23 | 295916 | 297115.660590278 | 299792.166666667 | -2676.50607638892 | -1199.66059027781 |
| 24 | 291413 | 292764.285590278 | 296801.208333333 | -4036.92274305557 | -1351.28559027775 |
| 25 | 291542 | 291709.358506944 | 293830.375 | -2121.01649305556 | -167.35850694438 |
| 26 | 284678 | 285849.868923611 | 291145.208333333 | -5295.33940972223 | -1171.86892361107 |
| 27 | 276475 | 278013.296006944 | 288140.75 | -10127.4539930556 | -1538.29600694444 |
| 28 | 272566 | 273223.473090278 | 285086 | -11862.5269097222 | -657.473090277752 |
| 29 | 264981 | 265600.983506944 | 282495 | -16894.0164930555 | -619.983506944438 |
| 30 | 263290 | 268319.691840278 | 280255.333333333 | -11935.6414930556 | -5029.69184027775 |
| 31 | 296806 | 297326.577256944 | 278279.458333333 | 19047.1189236111 | -520.577256944496 |
| 32 | 303598 | 299866.441840278 | 276391.25 | 23475.1918402778 | 3731.55815972219 |
| 33 | 286994 | 290457.223090278 | 274595.875 | 15861.3480902778 | -3463.22309027781 |
| 34 | 276427 | 279480.764756944 | 272915 | 6565.76475694446 | -3053.76475694444 |
| 35 | 266424 | 268547.410590278 | 271223.916666667 | -2676.50607638892 | -2123.41059027775 |
| 36 | 267153 | 265781.702256944 | 269818.625 | -4036.92274305557 | 1371.29774305556 |
| 37 | 268381 | 266493.025173611 | 268614.041666667 | -2121.01649305556 | 1887.97482638888 |
| 38 | 262522 | 261872.785590278 | 267168.125 | -5295.33940972223 | 649.214409722248 |
| 39 | 255542 | 255609.046006944 | 265736.5 | -10127.4539930556 | -67.046006944438 |
| 40 | 253158 | 252566.931423611 | 264429.458333333 | -11862.5269097222 | 591.068576388876 |
| 41 | 243803 | 246444.941840278 | 263338.958333333 | -16894.0164930555 | -2641.94184027778 |
| 42 | 250741 | 250670.066840278 | 262605.708333333 | -11935.6414930556 | 70.9331597222481 |
| 43 | 280445 | 281183.868923611 | 262136.75 | 19047.1189236111 | -738.868923611095 |
| 44 | 285257 | 285499.066840278 | 262023.875 | 23475.1918402778 | -242.066840277723 |
| 45 | 270976 | 278281.181423611 | 262419.833333333 | 15861.3480902778 | -7305.18142361109 |
| 46 | 261076 | 269700.098090278 | 263134.333333333 | 6565.76475694446 | -8624.09809027778 |
| 47 | 255603 | 261365.243923611 | 264041.75 | -2676.50607638892 | -5762.24392361109 |
| 48 | 260376 | 261081.660590278 | 265118.583333333 | -4036.92274305557 | -705.660590277752 |
| 49 | 263903 | 264118.191840278 | 266239.208333333 | -2121.01649305556 | -215.191840277752 |
| 50 | 264291 | 262146.827256944 | 267442.166666667 | -5295.33940972223 | 2144.17274305556 |
| 51 | 263276 | 258635.712673611 | 268763.166666667 | -10127.4539930556 | 4640.28732638888 |
| 52 | 262572 | 258195.389756944 | 270057.916666667 | -11862.5269097222 | 4376.61024305556 |
| 53 | 256167 | 254427.983506944 | 271322 | -16894.0164930555 | 1739.01649305556 |
| 54 | 264221 | 260746.566840278 | 272682.208333333 | -11935.6414930556 | 3474.43315972225 |
| 55 | 293860 | 293100.618923611 | 274053.5 | 19047.1189236111 | 759.381076388934 |
| 56 | 300713 | NA | NA | 23475.1918402778 | NA |
| 57 | 287224 | NA | NA | 15861.3480902778 | NA |
| 58 | 275902 | NA | NA | 6565.76475694446 | NA |
| 59 | 271115 | NA | NA | -2676.50607638892 | NA |
| 60 | 277509 | NA | NA | -4036.92274305557 | NA |
| 61 | 279681 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
