| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 1 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 570 | 575.486111111111 | -5.48611111111109 |
| 14 | 460 | 465.448232323232 | -5.44823232323239 |
| 15 | 540 | 545.82702020202 | -5.82702020202032 |
| 16 | 510 | 512.872474747475 | -2.87247474747483 |
| 17 | 520 | 520.334595959596 | -0.334595959596072 |
| 18 | 520 | 520.713383838384 | -0.713383838384061 |
| 19 | 580 | 550.258838383839 | 29.7411616161614 |
| 20 | 480 | 509.387626262627 | -29.3876262626266 |
| 21 | 410 | 393.516414141414 | 16.4835858585855 |
| 22 | 530 | 484.728535353536 | 45.2714646464643 |
| 23 | 540 | 534.690656565657 | 5.30934343434296 |
| 24 | 670 | 695.902777777778 | -25.9027777777783 |
| 25 | 570 | 569.545454545455 | 0.454545454545041 |
| 26 | 400 | 459.545454545455 | -59.545454545455 |
| 27 | 510 | 539.545454545455 | -29.545454545455 |
| 28 | 570 | 509.545454545455 | 60.454545454545 |
| 29 | 470 | 519.545454545455 | -49.545454545455 |
| 30 | 640 | 519.545454545455 | 120.454545454545 |
| 31 | 650 | 579.545454545455 | 70.454545454545 |
| 32 | 500 | 479.545454545455 | 20.454545454545 |
| 33 | 340 | 409.545454545455 | -69.545454545455 |
| 34 | 450 | 529.545454545455 | -79.545454545455 |
| 35 | 600 | 539.545454545455 | 60.454545454545 |
| 36 | 680 | 669.545454545455 | 10.454545454545 |
| 37 | 630 | 569.545454545455 | 60.454545454545 |
| 38 | 480 | 399.545454545455 | 80.454545454545 |
| 39 | 400 | 509.545454545455 | -109.545454545455 |
| 40 | 520 | 569.545454545455 | -49.545454545455 |
| 41 | 470 | 469.545454545455 | 0.454545454545041 |
| 42 | 610 | 639.545454545455 | -29.545454545455 |
| 43 | 670 | 649.545454545455 | 20.454545454545 |
| 44 | 500 | 499.545454545455 | 0.454545454545041 |
| 45 | 290 | 339.545454545455 | -49.545454545455 |
| 46 | 470 | 449.545454545455 | 20.454545454545 |
| 47 | 660 | 599.545454545455 | 60.454545454545 |
| 48 | 650 | 679.545454545455 | -29.545454545455 |
| 49 | 570 | 629.545454545455 | -59.545454545455 |
| 50 | 500 | 479.545454545455 | 20.454545454545 |
| 51 | 400 | 399.545454545455 | 0.454545454545041 |
| 52 | 500 | 519.545454545455 | -19.545454545455 |
| 53 | 340 | 469.545454545455 | -129.545454545455 |
| 54 | 530 | 609.545454545455 | -79.545454545455 |
| 55 | 680 | 669.545454545455 | 10.454545454545 |
| 56 | 480 | 499.545454545455 | -19.545454545455 |
| 57 | 340 | 289.545454545455 | 50.454545454545 |
| 58 | 460 | 469.545454545455 | -9.54545454545496 |
| 59 | 630 | 659.545454545455 | -29.545454545455 |
| 60 | 650 | 649.545454545455 | 0.454545454545041 |
| 61 | 550 | 569.545454545455 | -19.545454545455 |
| 62 | 470 | 499.545454545455 | -29.545454545455 |
| 63 | 240 | 399.545454545455 | -159.545454545455 |
| 64 | 430 | 499.545454545455 | -69.545454545455 |
| 65 | 390 | 339.545454545455 | 50.454545454545 |
| 66 | 570 | 529.545454545455 | 40.454545454545 |
| 67 | 700 | 679.545454545455 | 20.454545454545 |
| 68 | 620 | 479.545454545455 | 140.454545454545 |
| 69 | 280 | 339.545454545455 | -59.545454545455 |
| 70 | 480 | 459.545454545455 | 20.454545454545 |
| 71 | 560 | 629.545454545455 | -69.545454545455 |
| 72 | 560 | 649.545454545455 | -89.545454545455 |
| 73 | 560 | 549.545454545455 | 10.454545454545 |
| 74 | 550 | 469.545454545455 | 80.454545454545 |
| 75 | 140 | 239.545454545455 | -99.545454545455 |
| 76 | 380 | 429.545454545455 | -49.545454545455 |
| 77 | 390 | 389.545454545455 | 0.454545454545041 |
| 78 | 500 | 569.545454545455 | -69.545454545455 |
| 79 | 750 | 699.545454545455 | 50.454545454545 |
| 80 | 680 | 619.545454545455 | 60.454545454545 |
| 81 | 280 | 279.545454545455 | 0.454545454545041 |
| 82 | 360 | 479.545454545455 | -119.545454545455 |
| 83 | 590 | 559.545454545455 | 30.454545454545 |
| 84 | 580 | 559.545454545455 | 20.454545454545 |
| 85 | 490 | 559.545454545455 | -69.545454545455 |
| 86 | 610 | 549.545454545455 | 60.454545454545 |
| 87 | 170 | 139.545454545455 | 30.454545454545 |
| 88 | 320 | 379.545454545455 | -59.545454545455 |
| 89 | 440 | 389.545454545455 | 50.454545454545 |
| 90 | 510 | 499.545454545455 | 10.454545454545 |
| 91 | 770 | 749.545454545455 | 20.454545454545 |
| 92 | 660 | 679.545454545455 | -19.545454545455 |
| 93 | 300 | 279.545454545455 | 20.454545454545 |
| 94 | 350 | 359.545454545455 | -9.54545454545496 |
| 95 | 580 | 589.545454545455 | -9.54545454545496 |
| 96 | 620 | 579.545454545455 | 40.454545454545 |
| 97 | 490 | 489.545454545455 | 0.454545454545041 |
| 98 | 640 | 609.545454545455 | 30.454545454545 |
| 99 | 150 | 169.545454545455 | -19.545454545455 |
| 100 | 290 | 319.545454545455 | -29.545454545455 |
| 101 | 370 | 439.545454545455 | -69.545454545455 |
| 102 | 560 | 509.545454545455 | 50.454545454545 |
| 103 | 780 | 769.545454545455 | 10.454545454545 |
| 104 | 690 | 659.545454545455 | 30.454545454545 |
| 105 | 310 | 299.545454545455 | 10.454545454545 |
| 106 | 280 | 349.545454545455 | -69.545454545455 |
| 107 | 590 | 579.545454545455 | 10.454545454545 |
| 108 | 590 | 619.545454545455 | -29.545454545455 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 109 | 489.545454545455 | 385.928462316055 | 593.162446774855 |
| 110 | 639.545454545455 | 535.928462316055 | 743.162446774855 |
| 111 | 149.545454545455 | 45.9284623160549 | 253.162446774855 |
| 112 | 289.545454545455 | 185.928462316055 | 393.162446774855 |
| 113 | 369.545454545455 | 265.928462316055 | 473.162446774855 |
| 114 | 559.545454545455 | 455.928462316055 | 663.162446774855 |
| 115 | 779.545454545455 | 675.928462316055 | 883.162446774855 |
| 116 | 689.545454545455 | 585.928462316055 | 793.162446774855 |
| 117 | 309.545454545455 | 205.928462316055 | 413.162446774855 |
| 118 | 279.545454545455 | 175.928462316055 | 383.162446774855 |
| 119 | 589.545454545455 | 485.928462316055 | 693.162446774855 |
| 120 | 589.545454545455 | 485.928462316055 | 693.162446774855 |
