| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 19064 | NA | NA | 661.52739197531 | NA |
| 2 | 18993 | NA | NA | 41.8329475308631 | NA |
| 3 | 18921 | NA | NA | -48.0096450617287 | NA |
| 4 | 18772 | NA | NA | 89.8560956790117 | NA |
| 5 | 20246 | NA | NA | 1118.84220679012 | NA |
| 6 | 20168 | NA | NA | 877.059799382715 | NA |
| 7 | 19064 | 18848.9301697531 | 18945.9583333333 | -97.0281635802478 | 215.069830246917 |
| 8 | 18330 | 18049.2635030864 | 18930.5 | -881.236496913579 | 280.736496913582 |
| 9 | 18401 | 18853.7588734568 | 18915.0833333333 | -61.324459876542 | -452.758873456787 |
| 10 | 18401 | 17259.8885030864 | 18887.5 | -1627.61149691358 | 1141.11149691358 |
| 11 | 18480 | 18531.8977623457 | 18869.0833333333 | -337.185570987654 | -51.8977623456776 |
| 12 | 18622 | 19147.7773919753 | 18884.5 | 263.277391975308 | -525.777391975309 |
| 13 | 18843 | 19604.4857253086 | 18942.9583333333 | 661.52739197531 | -761.485725308641 |
| 14 | 18843 | 19058.4162808642 | 19016.5833333333 | 41.8329475308631 | -215.4162808642 |
| 15 | 18701 | 19045.1986882716 | 19093.2083333333 | -48.0096450617287 | -344.198688271605 |
| 16 | 18330 | 19247.5227623457 | 19157.6666666667 | 89.8560956790117 | -917.522762345678 |
| 17 | 20246 | 20322.5088734568 | 19203.6666666667 | 1118.84220679012 | -76.5088734567871 |
| 18 | 20538 | 20135.9347993827 | 19258.875 | 877.059799382715 | 402.065200617286 |
| 19 | 20097 | 19214.0968364198 | 19311.125 | -97.0281635802478 | 882.90316358025 |
| 20 | 19064 | 18463.7218364198 | 19344.9583333333 | -881.236496913579 | 600.278163580246 |
| 21 | 19506 | 19311.2172067901 | 19372.5416666667 | -61.324459876542 | 194.782793209877 |
| 22 | 18843 | 17775.4718364198 | 19403.0833333333 | -1627.61149691358 | 1067.52816358025 |
| 23 | 19142 | 19078.0644290123 | 19415.25 | -337.185570987654 | 63.9355709876581 |
| 24 | 19285 | 19687.7357253086 | 19424.4583333333 | 263.277391975308 | -402.735725308641 |
| 25 | 19434 | 20104.4023919753 | 19442.875 | 661.52739197531 | -670.402391975309 |
| 26 | 19064 | 19512.3329475309 | 19470.5 | 41.8329475308631 | -448.33294753086 |
| 27 | 19142 | 19477.6986882716 | 19525.7083333333 | -48.0096450617287 | -335.698688271605 |
| 28 | 18622 | 19676.981095679 | 19587.125 | 89.8560956790117 | -1054.98109567901 |
| 29 | 20246 | 20779.5922067901 | 19660.75 | 1118.84220679012 | -533.592206790116 |
| 30 | 20759 | 20626.8514660494 | 19749.7916666667 | 877.059799382715 | 132.148533950618 |
| 31 | 20318 | 19735.8468364198 | 19832.875 | -97.0281635802478 | 582.153163580249 |
| 32 | 19506 | 19019.3051697531 | 19900.5416666667 | -881.236496913579 | 486.694830246914 |
| 33 | 20389 | 19922.0088734568 | 19983.3333333333 | -61.324459876542 | 466.991126543213 |
| 34 | 19434 | 18490.7635030864 | 20118.375 | -1627.61149691358 | 943.236496913582 |
| 35 | 20318 | 19922.481095679 | 20259.6666666667 | -337.185570987654 | 395.518904320987 |
| 36 | 20246 | 20617.944058642 | 20354.6666666667 | 263.277391975308 | -371.944058641973 |
| 37 | 20467 | 21046.7773919753 | 20385.25 | 661.52739197531 | -579.777391975305 |
| 38 | 19655 | 20436.2496141975 | 20394.4166666667 | 41.8329475308631 | -781.249614197528 |
| 39 | 20538 | 20361.7820216049 | 20409.7916666667 | -48.0096450617287 | 176.21797839506 |
| 40 | 20467 | 20505.856095679 | 20416 | 89.8560956790117 | -38.8560956790134 |
| 41 | 21792 | 21531.8422067901 | 20413 | 1118.84220679012 | 260.157793209877 |
| 42 | 21493 | 21293.018132716 | 20415.9583333333 | 877.059799382715 | 199.981867283954 |
| 43 | 20318 | 20334.0968364198 | 20431.125 | -97.0281635802478 | -16.0968364197543 |
| 44 | 19726 | 19574.5551697531 | 20455.7916666667 | -881.236496913579 | 151.444830246914 |
| 45 | 20538 | 20403.7172067901 | 20465.0416666667 | -61.324459876542 | 134.282793209873 |
| 46 | 19434 | 18837.1801697531 | 20464.7916666667 | -1627.61149691358 | 596.819830246914 |
| 47 | 20246 | 20118.1477623457 | 20455.3333333333 | -337.185570987654 | 127.852237654322 |
| 48 | 20389 | 20672.6107253086 | 20409.3333333333 | 263.277391975308 | -283.610725308645 |
| 49 | 20688 | 21021.8607253086 | 20360.3333333333 | 661.52739197531 | -333.860725308637 |
| 50 | 20026 | 20350.2079475309 | 20308.375 | 41.8329475308631 | -324.207947530867 |
| 51 | 20389 | 20196.2820216049 | 20244.2916666667 | -48.0096450617287 | 192.71797839506 |
| 52 | 20610 | 20217.8144290123 | 20127.9583333333 | 89.8560956790117 | 392.185570987651 |
| 53 | 21422 | 21090.3838734568 | 19971.5416666667 | 1118.84220679012 | 331.616126543213 |
| 54 | 20759 | 20728.9764660494 | 19851.9166666667 | 877.059799382715 | 30.023533950618 |
| 55 | 19876 | 19672.0551697531 | 19769.0833333333 | -97.0281635802478 | 203.944830246917 |
| 56 | 18921 | 18807.9718364198 | 19689.2083333333 | -881.236496913579 | 113.028163580249 |
| 57 | 19805 | 19520.6755401235 | 19582 | -61.324459876542 | 284.324459876541 |
| 58 | 17375 | 17822.8468364198 | 19450.4583333333 | -1627.61149691358 | -447.846836419751 |
| 59 | 18551 | 18960.0644290123 | 19297.25 | -337.185570987654 | -409.064429012342 |
| 60 | 19213 | 19391.944058642 | 19128.6666666667 | 263.277391975308 | -178.944058641973 |
| 61 | 19876 | 19615.4023919753 | 18953.875 | 661.52739197531 | 260.597608024691 |
| 62 | 18921 | 18823.8746141975 | 18782.0416666667 | 41.8329475308631 | 97.1253858024684 |
| 63 | 18921 | 18555.9486882716 | 18603.9583333333 | -48.0096450617287 | 365.051311728395 |
| 64 | 18921 | 18509.481095679 | 18419.625 | 89.8560956790117 | 411.518904320987 |
| 65 | 19434 | 19369.5922067901 | 18250.75 | 1118.84220679012 | 64.4077932098771 |
| 66 | 18701 | 18974.393132716 | 18097.3333333333 | 877.059799382715 | -273.393132716046 |
| 67 | 17739 | 17831.7218364198 | 17928.75 | -97.0281635802478 | -92.7218364197506 |
| 68 | 16934 | 16863.4718364198 | 17744.7083333333 | -881.236496913579 | 70.5281635802457 |
| 69 | 17518 | 17508.2588734568 | 17569.5833333333 | -61.324459876542 | 9.74112654321289 |
| 70 | 15238 | 15760.6385030864 | 17388.25 | -1627.61149691358 | -522.638503086418 |
| 71 | 16635 | 16870.0227623457 | 17207.2083333333 | -337.185570987654 | -235.022762345678 |
| 72 | 17447 | 17307.7773919753 | 17044.5 | 263.277391975308 | 139.222608024691 |
| 73 | 17596 | 17549.569058642 | 16888.0416666667 | 661.52739197531 | 46.4309413580268 |
| 74 | 16784 | 16773.4579475309 | 16731.625 | 41.8329475308631 | 10.5420524691363 |
| 75 | 16855 | 16557.7403549383 | 16605.75 | -48.0096450617287 | 297.259645061727 |
| 76 | 16635 | 16579.231095679 | 16489.375 | 89.8560956790117 | 55.7689043209866 |
| 77 | 17375 | 17488.8838734568 | 16370.0416666667 | 1118.84220679012 | -113.883873456791 |
| 78 | 16855 | 17142.893132716 | 16265.8333333333 | 877.059799382715 | -287.89313271605 |
| 79 | 15830 | 16058.0968364198 | 16155.125 | -97.0281635802478 | -228.096836419751 |
| 80 | 15089 | 15151.0135030864 | 16032.25 | -881.236496913579 | -62.0135030864203 |
| 81 | 16342 | 15802.3422067901 | 15863.6666666667 | -61.324459876542 | 539.657793209877 |
| 82 | 13621 | 14033.9301697531 | 15661.5416666667 | -1627.61149691358 | -412.930169753083 |
| 83 | 15388 | 15131.1477623457 | 15468.3333333333 | -337.185570987654 | 256.852237654321 |
| 84 | 16193 | 15532.194058642 | 15268.9166666667 | 263.277391975308 | 660.805941358025 |
| 85 | 16193 | 15706.6523919753 | 15045.125 | 661.52739197531 | 486.347608024691 |
| 86 | 15238 | 14838.4996141975 | 14796.6666666667 | 41.8329475308631 | 399.500385802468 |
| 87 | 14355 | 14481.8236882716 | 14529.8333333333 | -48.0096450617287 | -126.823688271603 |
| 88 | 14284 | 14355.856095679 | 14266 | 89.8560956790117 | -71.8560956790097 |
| 89 | 15089 | 15151.5505401235 | 14032.7083333333 | 1118.84220679012 | -62.5505401234568 |
| 90 | 14355 | 14710.268132716 | 13833.2083333333 | 877.059799382715 | -355.26813271605 |
| 91 | 12959 | 13567.5551697531 | 13664.5833333333 | -97.0281635802478 | -608.555169753086 |
| 92 | 11997 | 12636.1385030864 | 13517.375 | -881.236496913579 | -639.138503086418 |
| 93 | 13030 | 13308.8422067901 | 13370.1666666667 | -61.324459876542 | -278.842206790125 |
| 94 | 10601 | 11622.9301697531 | 13250.5416666667 | -1627.61149691358 | -1021.93016975308 |
| 95 | 12809 | 12805.8977623457 | 13143.0833333333 | -337.185570987654 | 3.10223765432238 |
| 96 | 13984 | 13298.9023919753 | 13035.625 | 263.277391975308 | 685.097608024693 |
| 97 | 14355 | 13577.194058642 | 12915.6666666667 | 661.52739197531 | 777.805941358025 |
| 98 | 13543 | 12801.0412808642 | 12759.2083333333 | 41.8329475308631 | 741.958719135804 |
| 99 | 12517 | 12539.6153549383 | 12587.625 | -48.0096450617287 | -22.6153549382689 |
| 100 | 13251 | 12502.606095679 | 12412.75 | 89.8560956790117 | 748.393904320988 |
| 101 | 13543 | 13368.9255401235 | 12250.0833333333 | 1118.84220679012 | 174.074459876541 |
| 102 | 13322 | 12952.3514660494 | 12075.2916666667 | 877.059799382715 | 369.648533950618 |
| 103 | 11113 | 11800.4718364198 | 11897.5 | -97.0281635802478 | -687.471836419752 |
| 104 | 10088 | 10838.4301697531 | 11719.6666666667 | -881.236496913579 | -750.430169753086 |
| 105 | 10821 | 11468.0505401235 | 11529.375 | -61.324459876542 | -647.050540123459 |
| 106 | 8613 | 9705.22183641975 | 11332.8333333333 | -1627.61149691358 | -1092.22183641975 |
| 107 | 10893 | 10793.1477623457 | 11130.3333333333 | -337.185570987654 | 99.8522376543224 |
| 108 | 11705 | 11175.9857253086 | 10912.7083333333 | 263.277391975308 | 529.014274691357 |
| 109 | 12367 | 11341.5273919753 | 10680 | 661.52739197531 | 1025.47260802469 |
| 110 | 11263 | 10491.7912808642 | 10449.9583333333 | 41.8329475308631 | 771.208719135802 |
| 111 | 10230 | 10180.7820216049 | 10228.7916666667 | -48.0096450617287 | 49.2179783950633 |
| 112 | 10821 | 10094.5227623457 | 10004.6666666667 | 89.8560956790117 | 726.477237654322 |
| 113 | 11113 | 10905.5922067901 | 9786.75 | 1118.84220679012 | 207.407793209877 |
| 114 | 10529 | 10495.1847993827 | 9618.125 | 877.059799382715 | 33.8152006172841 |
| 115 | 8321 | NA | NA | -97.0281635802478 | NA |
| 116 | 7359 | NA | NA | -881.236496913579 | NA |
| 117 | 8242 | NA | NA | -61.324459876542 | NA |
| 118 | 5813 | NA | NA | -1627.61149691358 | NA |
| 119 | 8463 | NA | NA | -337.185570987654 | NA |
| 120 | 10088 | NA | NA | 263.277391975308 | NA |
