Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8614 |
R-squared | 0.742 |
RMSE | 38661.0078 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 158258 | 156304.319148936 | 1953.68085106384 |
2 | 186930 | 156304.319148936 | 30625.6808510638 |
3 | 7215 | 6214.69230769231 | 1000.30769230769 |
4 | 129098 | 201818.826086957 | -72720.8260869565 |
5 | 230587 | 253685 | -23098 |
6 | 508313 | 253685 | 254628 |
7 | 180745 | 156304.319148936 | 24440.6808510638 |
8 | 185559 | 156304.319148936 | 29254.6808510638 |
9 | 154581 | 156304.319148936 | -1723.31914893616 |
10 | 290658 | 253685 | 36973 |
11 | 121844 | 156304.319148936 | -34460.3191489362 |
12 | 184039 | 201818.826086957 | -17779.8260869565 |
13 | 100324 | 156304.319148936 | -55980.3191489362 |
14 | 209427 | 253685 | -44258 |
15 | 167592 | 156304.319148936 | 11287.6808510638 |
16 | 154593 | 156304.319148936 | -1711.31914893616 |
17 | 142018 | 156304.319148936 | -14286.3191489362 |
18 | 77855 | 123104.541666667 | -45249.5416666667 |
19 | 167047 | 253685 | -86638 |
20 | 27997 | 36422.8571428571 | -8425.85714285714 |
21 | 73019 | 82091.0526315789 | -9072.05263157895 |
22 | 241082 | 253685 | -12603 |
23 | 195820 | 156304.319148936 | 39515.6808510638 |
24 | 141899 | 201818.826086957 | -59919.8260869565 |
25 | 145433 | 156304.319148936 | -10871.3191489362 |
26 | 180241 | 156304.319148936 | 23936.6808510638 |
27 | 202232 | 156304.319148936 | 45927.6808510638 |
28 | 190230 | 156304.319148936 | 33925.6808510638 |
29 | 354924 | 253685 | 101239 |
30 | 192399 | 201818.826086957 | -9419.82608695651 |
31 | 182286 | 156304.319148936 | 25981.6808510638 |
32 | 181590 | 156304.319148936 | 25285.6808510638 |
33 | 133801 | 201818.826086957 | -68017.8260869565 |
34 | 233686 | 253685 | -19999 |
35 | 219428 | 201818.826086957 | 17609.1739130435 |
36 | 0 | 6214.69230769231 | -6214.69230769231 |
37 | 223044 | 201818.826086957 | 21225.1739130435 |
38 | 100129 | 156304.319148936 | -56175.3191489362 |
39 | 136733 | 156304.319148936 | -19571.3191489362 |
40 | 249965 | 201818.826086957 | 48146.1739130435 |
41 | 242379 | 201818.826086957 | 40560.1739130435 |
42 | 145794 | 156304.319148936 | -10510.3191489362 |
43 | 96404 | 82091.0526315789 | 14312.9473684211 |
44 | 195891 | 201818.826086957 | -5927.82608695651 |
45 | 117156 | 123104.541666667 | -5948.54166666667 |
46 | 157787 | 123104.541666667 | 34682.4583333333 |
47 | 81293 | 82091.0526315789 | -798.052631578947 |
48 | 224049 | 201818.826086957 | 22230.1739130435 |
49 | 223789 | 201818.826086957 | 21970.1739130435 |
50 | 160344 | 201818.826086957 | -41474.8260869565 |
51 | 48188 | 36422.8571428571 | 11765.1428571429 |
52 | 152206 | 156304.319148936 | -4098.31914893616 |
53 | 294283 | 201818.826086957 | 92464.1739130435 |
54 | 235223 | 156304.319148936 | 78918.6808510638 |
55 | 195583 | 156304.319148936 | 39278.6808510638 |
56 | 145942 | 156304.319148936 | -10362.3191489362 |
57 | 208834 | 156304.319148936 | 52529.6808510638 |
58 | 93764 | 82091.0526315789 | 11672.9473684211 |
59 | 151985 | 123104.541666667 | 28880.4583333333 |
60 | 190545 | 253685 | -63140 |
61 | 148922 | 156304.319148936 | -7382.31914893616 |
62 | 132856 | 156304.319148936 | -23448.3191489362 |
63 | 126107 | 123104.541666667 | 3002.45833333333 |
64 | 112718 | 123104.541666667 | -10386.5416666667 |
65 | 160930 | 123104.541666667 | 37825.4583333333 |
66 | 99184 | 123104.541666667 | -23920.5416666667 |
67 | 182022 | 201818.826086957 | -19796.8260869565 |
68 | 138708 | 253685 | -114977 |
69 | 114408 | 123104.541666667 | -8696.54166666667 |
70 | 31970 | 36422.8571428571 | -4452.85714285714 |
71 | 225558 | 253685 | -28127 |
72 | 137011 | 123104.541666667 | 13906.4583333333 |
73 | 113612 | 156304.319148936 | -42692.3191489362 |
74 | 108641 | 156304.319148936 | -47663.3191489362 |
75 | 162203 | 201818.826086957 | -39615.8260869565 |
76 | 100098 | 156304.319148936 | -56206.3191489362 |
77 | 174768 | 201818.826086957 | -27050.8260869565 |
78 | 158459 | 201818.826086957 | -43359.8260869565 |
79 | 80934 | 82091.0526315789 | -1157.05263157895 |
80 | 84971 | 123104.541666667 | -38133.5416666667 |
81 | 80545 | 82091.0526315789 | -1546.05263157895 |
82 | 287191 | 201818.826086957 | 85372.1739130435 |
83 | 62974 | 82091.0526315789 | -19117.0526315789 |
84 | 130982 | 156304.319148936 | -25322.3191489362 |
85 | 75555 | 82091.0526315789 | -6536.05263157895 |
86 | 162154 | 156304.319148936 | 5849.68085106384 |
87 | 226638 | 201818.826086957 | 24819.1739130435 |
88 | 115019 | 123104.541666667 | -8085.54166666667 |
89 | 105038 | 123104.541666667 | -18066.5416666667 |
90 | 155537 | 156304.319148936 | -767.319148936163 |
91 | 153133 | 156304.319148936 | -3171.31914893616 |
92 | 165577 | 201818.826086957 | -36241.8260869565 |
93 | 151517 | 123104.541666667 | 28412.4583333333 |
94 | 133686 | 123104.541666667 | 10581.4583333333 |
95 | 58128 | 82091.0526315789 | -23963.0526315789 |
96 | 245196 | 201818.826086957 | 43377.1739130435 |
97 | 195576 | 156304.319148936 | 39271.6808510638 |
98 | 19349 | 6214.69230769231 | 13134.3076923077 |
99 | 225371 | 201818.826086957 | 23552.1739130435 |
100 | 152796 | 156304.319148936 | -3508.31914893616 |
101 | 59117 | 36422.8571428571 | 22694.1428571429 |
102 | 91762 | 82091.0526315789 | 9670.94736842105 |
103 | 127987 | 123104.541666667 | 4882.45833333333 |
104 | 113552 | 123104.541666667 | -9552.54166666667 |
105 | 85338 | 82091.0526315789 | 3246.94736842105 |
106 | 27676 | 36422.8571428571 | -8746.85714285714 |
107 | 147984 | 156304.319148936 | -8320.31914893616 |
108 | 122417 | 123104.541666667 | -687.541666666672 |
109 | 0 | 6214.69230769231 | -6214.69230769231 |
110 | 91529 | 82091.0526315789 | 9437.94736842105 |
111 | 107205 | 123104.541666667 | -15899.5416666667 |
112 | 144664 | 156304.319148936 | -11640.3191489362 |
113 | 136540 | 156304.319148936 | -19764.3191489362 |
114 | 76656 | 82091.0526315789 | -5435.05263157895 |
115 | 3616 | 6214.69230769231 | -2598.69230769231 |
116 | 0 | 6214.69230769231 | -6214.69230769231 |
117 | 183065 | 123104.541666667 | 59960.4583333333 |
118 | 144636 | 156304.319148936 | -11668.3191489362 |
119 | 156889 | 156304.319148936 | 584.680851063837 |
120 | 113273 | 82091.0526315789 | 31181.9473684211 |
121 | 43410 | 82091.0526315789 | -38681.0526315789 |
122 | 175774 | 156304.319148936 | 19469.6808510638 |
123 | 95401 | 82091.0526315789 | 13309.9473684211 |
124 | 118893 | 156304.319148936 | -37411.3191489362 |
125 | 60493 | 82091.0526315789 | -21598.0526315789 |
126 | 19764 | 36422.8571428571 | -16658.8571428571 |
127 | 164062 | 156304.319148936 | 7757.68085106384 |
128 | 132696 | 123104.541666667 | 9591.45833333333 |
129 | 155367 | 156304.319148936 | -937.319148936163 |
130 | 11796 | 6214.69230769231 | 5581.30769230769 |
131 | 10674 | 6214.69230769231 | 4459.30769230769 |
132 | 142261 | 156304.319148936 | -14043.3191489362 |
133 | 6836 | 6214.69230769231 | 621.307692307692 |
134 | 154206 | 156304.319148936 | -2098.31914893616 |
135 | 5118 | 6214.69230769231 | -1096.69230769231 |
136 | 40248 | 36422.8571428571 | 3825.14285714286 |
137 | 0 | 6214.69230769231 | -6214.69230769231 |
138 | 122641 | 82091.0526315789 | 40549.9473684211 |
139 | 88837 | 123104.541666667 | -34267.5416666667 |
140 | 7131 | 6214.69230769231 | 916.307692307692 |
141 | 9056 | 6214.69230769231 | 2841.30769230769 |
142 | 76611 | 82091.0526315789 | -5480.05263157895 |
143 | 132697 | 123104.541666667 | 9592.45833333333 |
144 | 100681 | 123104.541666667 | -22423.5416666667 |